Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:10

Boost Your Acca-Fenwa With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-01-01

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £24,300

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (3)	To Catch A Thief Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	124	—	5311-	90	117	52	23d	—	—	+5	39.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
2-2 on AW since gelded; well on top over C&D latest; 6lb rise probably not beyond him
4 (11)	Storm Catcher Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon Pearce	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon Pearce	129	—	10412-	94	112	93	18d	—	—	+15	29	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Impressive over C&D in one Newcastle run; beaten by Penzance latest but lots went wrong
8 (8)	Penzance Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	122	—	29411-	88	116	92	18d	—	—	+18	31.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Easy wins over 1m2f at Chelmsford the last twice; big weights hike and upped in class
5 (5)	Beraz Bay J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton(3) T:Julie Camacho	126	—	21013-	91	114	38	51d	—	—	+15	27.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Two turf wins last year and ran well for 3rd in the November Handicap; more needed here
3 (13)	Teumessias Fox Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Andrew Balding	J:Harry Davies T:Andrew Balding	134	—	04455-	99	113	36	51d	—	—	+6	14.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
On a handy mark and ran OK in the November Handicap here last time; better over further
1 (7)	Sir Busker Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	J:Callum Shepherd T:William Knight	138	v	07972-	103	112	52	23d	—	—	+12	20.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Chased home To Catch A Thief over C&D last month; work to do to turn the tables
10 (12)	King's Code Bay J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	J:Finley Marsh T:David Evans	121	—	10421-	87	110	83	6d	—	—	+20	26.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
No match for Penzance at Chelmsford but won well at Wolverhampton on Tuesday; more needed
13 (2)	Wadacre Gomez Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	114	—	24831-	80	110	88	21d	—	—	+17	22	5.00/1	20/1 5%
C&D winner who continues to progress well; this is a tough task though
11 (4)	Dingle Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Julie Camacho	J:Hollie Doyle T:Julie Camacho	117	—	31364-	82	114	91	192d	—	—	+11	14	7.00/1	28/1 3%
In good form on AW in early 2023; stiff test at 1m2f might stretch him back from a break
9 (6)	Queen Of Ipanema Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	121	t	61051-	86	112	70	13d	—	—	+19	23	5.50/1	22/1 4%
7-11 in handicaps, two of the wins here; mark feasible still but this is much tougher
2 (10)	West End Charmer Bay J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	J:Jason Hart T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	/2559/	100	-	-	524d	—	—	+12	14.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has been a smart handicapper but absent for 524 days and others have more pressing claims
7 (1)	Sceptic Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Ian Williams	123	—	03287-	89	113	40	27d	—	—	+12	13.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Two wins for A Balding last year; wind op prior to low-key stable debut; new trip today
12 (9)	Southern Voyage Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	J:Cam Hardie T:Richard Fahey	114	—	97000-	79	111	70	16d	—	—	+6	7.6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Struggled badly for R Fahey in 2023; this a tough race in which to try and bounce back

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
To Catch A Thief	7/4	13/8	7/4	13/8	7/4
Storm Catcher	11/2	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Penzance	5/1	6/1	11/2	9/2	11/2
Beraz	7/1	15/2	13/2	13/2	5/1
Teumessias Fox	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Sir Busker	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
King's Code	16/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Wadacre Gomez	20/1	18/1	18/1	14/1	18/1
Dingle	28/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1
Queen Of Ipanema	20/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
West End Charmer	50/1	50/1	50/1	33/1	50/1
Sceptic	100/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Southern Voyage	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

To Catch A Thief

39.1

OR: 10 Form: 18.5 Odds: 10.6

7/4

2nd

Penzance

31.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 18 Odds: 4

6/1

3rd

Storm Catcher

OR: 11 Form: 14 Odds: 4

11/2

Beraz

27.9

OR: 10.3 Form: 14 Odds: 3.6

15/2

King's Code

26.7

OR: 9.3 Form: 15.5 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Queen Of Ipanema

OR: 9 Form: 13 Odds: 1

22/1

Wadacre Gomez

OR: 7.5 Form: 13.1 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Sir Busker

20.6

OR: 13.3 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Teumessias Fox

14.6

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

West End Charmer

14.6

OR: 12.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Dingle

OR: 8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Sceptic

13.5

OR: 9.8 Form: 3.4 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Southern Voyage

7.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sir Busker	103	112	52
West End Charmer	100	—	—
Teumessias Fox	99	113	36
Storm Catcher	94	112	93
Beraz	91	114	38
To Catch A Thief	90	117	52
Sceptic	89	113	40
Penzance	88	116	92
King's Code	87	110	83
Queen Of Ipanema	86	112	70
Dingle	82	114	91
Wadacre Gomez	80	110	88
Southern Voyage	79	111	70

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
King's Code	6d ago	Quick return
Queen Of Ipanema	13d ago	Quick return
Southern Voyage	16d ago	Fit
Storm Catcher	18d ago	Fit
Penzance	18d ago	Fit
Wadacre Gomez	21d ago	Fit
To Catch A Thief	23d ago	Fit
Sir Busker	23d ago	Fit
Sceptic	27d ago	Fit
Beraz	51d ago	Fresh
Teumessias Fox	51d ago	Fresh
Dingle	192d ago	Long break
West End Charmer	524d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.