Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:15

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-01-01

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £24,300

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Nine Tenths Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	138	t	/1481-	99	110	71	16d	—	—	+1	36.7	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Scored comfortably at Wolverhampton last month, taking AW record to 2-2
3 (6)	Julia Augusta Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	132	—	/9624-	93	108	80	26d	—	—	-10	25.7	0.41/1	13/8 38%
In-form filly but doesn't appear to be crying out for this drop to 7f
4 (8)	Wild Side Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	128	p	19261-	89	108	78	20d	—	—	+14	28.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Won at Southwell last month, taking record to 4-10; respected up just 2lb
6 (5)	Shades Of Summer Bay J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Laura Pearson T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	118	—	43771-	79	109	83	28d	—	—	+11	21	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Up just 2lb for 6f win last time; mixed record (1547) over 7f
5 (3)	Jilly Cooper Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Phillip Makin	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Phillip Makin	118	—	70725-	79	107	88	6d	—	—	+8	11.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Possibilities returned to her optimum distance on second run for new yard
7 (7)	Miss Bella Brand Bay J:Jimmy Quinn T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	114	—	04018-	75	106	73	19d	—	—	+11	14	8.25/1	33/1 3%
In decent form at Kempton the last twice; this is a harder task
8 (2)	Finery Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Appleby	J:Andrew Mullen T:Michael Appleby	114	p	61534-	75	106	82	16d	—	—	+9	12.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Not sure what to expect in cheekpieces (replacing usual hood)
2 (4)	Mqse De Maintenon Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	136	—	43377-	97	102	66	37d	—	—	+13	14.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Ex-French; last of seven at Lingfield on British debut; opposed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Nine Tenths	13/8	13/8	13/8	6/4	11/8
Julia Augusta	13/8	6/4	6/4	6/4	6/4
Wild Side	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Shades Of Summer	8/1	15/2	17/2	15/2	15/2
Jilly Cooper	25/1	22/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Miss Bella Brand	33/1	28/1	33/1	25/1	28/1
Finery	40/1	40/1	33/1	50/1	40/1
Mqse De Maintenon	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nine Tenths

36.7

OR: 12.3 Form: 13 Odds: 11.4

13/8

2nd

Wild Side

28.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 14.5 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

Julia Augusta

25.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 11.4

13/8

Shades Of Summer

OR: 7.3 Form: 10.9 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Mqse De Maintenon

14.6

OR: 11.8 Form: 2.4 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Miss Bella Brand

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Finery

12.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Jilly Cooper

11.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nine Tenths	99	110	71
Mqse De Maintenon	97	102	66
Julia Augusta	93	108	80
Wild Side	89	108	78
Shades Of Summer	79	109	83
Jilly Cooper	79	107	88
Miss Bella Brand	75	106	73
Finery	75	106	82

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jilly Cooper	6d ago	Quick return
Nine Tenths	16d ago	Fit
Finery	16d ago	Fit
Miss Bella Brand	19d ago	Fit
Wild Side	20d ago	Fit
Julia Augusta	26d ago	Fit
Shades Of Summer	28d ago	Fit
Mqse De Maintenon	37d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.