Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

14:15

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-01-04

Distance 1m2f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 2m 5.33s (slow by 4.03s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Shalfa (IRE) Robert Havlin · Lydia Richards	11/2	Won
2nd	Pink Lily (GB) Alec Voikhansky · Richard Hannon	11/2	1.25
3rd	Fast Affair (GB) Daniel Muscutt · James Fanshawe	3/1F	0.3
4th	Clipsham Gold (IRE) Kyle Strydom · Dylan Cunha	4/1	.5
5th	Crazy Maisie (IRE) David Probert · Mark Hoad	10/1	0.2
6th	Moralisa (GB) Dylan Hogan · Julia Feilden	20/1	2.25
7th	Lady Valentine (IRE) Callum Shepherd · Michael Appleby	33/1	.75
8th	Devore (IRE) Billy Loughnane · Mark Loughnane	14/1	0.3
9th	Dalrymple (GB) Shane Kelly · Jamie Osborne	5/1	0.3

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (2)	Dalrymple Chestnut J:Shane Kelly T:Jamie Osborne	J:Shane Kelly T:Jamie Osborne	128	—	4605-	61	76	65	29d	—	—	-14	10	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Encouraging stable debut last month; 1m2f should suit and she's capable of better
5 (6)	Shalfa Chestnut J:Robert Havlin T:Lydia Richards	J:Robert Havlin T:Lydia Richards	132	v	01335-	64	78	73	22d	—	—	-4	15.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Met trouble in running behind Pink Lily here last time; change of headgear this afternoon
8 (9)	Fast Affair Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	127	p	55215-	60	78	65	59d	—	—	+1	16.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Wolverhampton winner in October; similar form next time but she'll need more to take this
6 (1)	Pink Lily Chestnut J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	J:Alec Voikhansky(5) T:Richard Hannon	128	—	14081-	61	80	50	22d	—	—	+5	18.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Two C&D wins last year, the latest in determined fashion 3 weeks ago; contender up 2lb
3 (11)	Clipsham Gold Chestnut J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	135	—	27433-	67	78	70	7d	—	—	+1	14	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Comes here in form but the widest stall won't make life easy today
11 (3)	Crazy Maisie Bay J:David Probert T:Mark Hoad	J:David Probert T:Mark Hoad	122	—	62415-	54	77	64	30d	—	—	+3	12	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Caught wide when creditable fifth over C&D last month; likely vulnerable in Class 5
1 (7)	Devore Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	137	—	73049-	70	79	-	160d	—	—	0	8.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Not at her best in 2023 but starts out for a new yard off a reduced mark as a consequence
9 (10)	Moralisa Brown J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	125	—	63756-	58	77	59	22d	—	—	-1	4.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
0-9; can leave recent stable debut behind in time but stamina for 1m2f is the query today
4 (4)	Lady Valentine Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Appleby	J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Appleby	133	p	523/0-	65	75	44	48d	—	—	+2	4.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
40-1 when well beaten on stable debut seven weeks ago; this test looks on the sharp side
NR (8)	Nikki's Girl Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Ed Dunlop	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ed Dunlop	136	—	05444-	68	78	-	21d	—	—	—	4.5	—	—
Behind Clipsham Gold at Chelmsford when upped to this trip last month; more needed to win
NR (5)	She's Out Of Reach Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Syd Hosie	J:NON-RUNNER T:Syd Hosie	123	ht	5329-	55	72	-	224d	—	—	—	6.3	—	—
Overall record unconvincing; likely best watched starting out for a new yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Dalrymple	5/2	3/1	11/4	3/1	5/2
Shalfa	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Fast Affair	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1
Pink Lily	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1	11/2
Clipsham Gold	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Crazy Maisie	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Devore	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Moralisa	20/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Lady Valentine	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Pink Lily

18.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 12 Odds: 4

6/1

2nd

Fast Affair

16.4

OR: 2.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

Shalfa

15.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Clipsham Gold

OR: 4.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Crazy Maisie

OR: 1 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.5

11/1

Dalrymple

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

3/1

Devore

8.1

OR: 5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.2

11/1

She's Out Of Reach

6.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Nikki's Girl

4.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Moralisa

4.3

OR: 2 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Lady Valentine

4.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Devore	70	79	—
Nikki's Girl	68	78	—
Clipsham Gold	67	78	70
Lady Valentine	65	75	44
Shalfa	64	78	73
Dalrymple	61	76	65
Pink Lily	61	80	50
Fast Affair	60	78	65
Moralisa	58	77	59
She's Out Of Reach	55	72	—
Crazy Maisie	54	77	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Clipsham Gold	7d ago	Quick return
Nikki's Girl	21d ago	Fit
Shalfa	22d ago	Fit
Pink Lily	22d ago	Fit
Moralisa	22d ago	Fit
Dalrymple	29d ago	Fit
Crazy Maisie	30d ago	Fit
Lady Valentine	48d ago	Fresh
Fast Affair	59d ago	Fresh
Devore	160d ago	Long break
She's Out Of Reach	224d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m2f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.