Luke Watson Memorial "National Hunt" Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race)

Ludlow

15:20

Date 2024-01-05

Distance 2m5f55y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,357

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10	Magical Escape Bay J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	J:David Bass T:Kim Bailey	162	p	65-02	-	123	113	27d	—	—	-17	7.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Big improvement when runner-up at Chepstow last month and sets the standard on that form
1	Awaythelad Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	162	tp	3P2-72	112	121	108	25d	—	—	+1	21.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Placed in four of six hurdle runs and he's respected back in a maiden; cheekpieces added
6	Haiti Couleurs Bay J:Ben Jones T:Rebecca Curtis	J:Ben Jones T:Rebecca Curtis	162	—	42/2	-	118	106	27d	—	—	-9	10.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Back from long layoff with promising second on hurdling debut at Chepstow; respected
7	He Knows Better Chestnut J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	162	t	352-3	-	111	74	48d	—	—	-8	7.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Fading third on his hurdling/stable debut at Uttoxeter and he needs improvement
13	Ted's Gift Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	162	—	321	-	-	-	30d	—	—	+8	17.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won a soft-ground bumper here last month and he needs a close look on his hurdling debut
14	Youlneverwalkalone Bay J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Paddy Brennan T:Fergal O'Brien	162	—	84	-	-	-	92d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Some promise in bumpers and interesting to see how he figures in market on hurdling debut
9	I See The Sea Brown J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	162	—	254	-	106	68	34d	—	—	-2	4.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Some promise on hurdling debut at Bangor and he's open to progress over this longer trip
5	Gustoso Bay J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	J:Richard Patrick T:Henry Daly	162	—	464	-	100	90	48d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Some promise in big field at Wetherby (2m3f) but he needs another big step forward here
8	Industrialist Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Henry Daly	162	t	904-P	-	-	-	27d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Pulled up on his hurdling debut at Aintree last month and can only be watched after that
3	Dish Of The Day Brown J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Martin	J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Martin	162	—	6-5	-	106	76	45d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Well held in a bumper and a maiden hurdle; looks one for handicaps later on
2	Best Life Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Mel Rowley	162	—	41D-4	-	88	35	29d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Made a low-key start over hurdles at Market Rasen last month and others are preferred
16	Molto Bene Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Charlie Longsdon	155	—	5	-	95	76	36d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Made a low-key start at Lingfield (2m3f) in November and others are preferred
4	Free The Lion Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:John Butler	J:Jack Quinlan T:John Butler	162	—	3FB3-4	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
0-6 in Irish points and is best watched on his rules/stable debut
11	Nippin N Poppin Chestnut J:Lee Edwards T:Dave Roberts	J:Lee Edwards T:Dave Roberts	162	—	7-	-	-	-	480d	—	—	-1	0.2	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Tailed off in sole bumper last autumn and can only be watched on his comeback
12	Shuile Warrior Bay J:Mr Huw Edwards(7) T:Simon Edwards	J:Mr Huw Edwards(7) T:Simon Edwards	162	—	3	-	-	-	19d	—	—	+2	3.2	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Remote third of three in a Southwell bumper 19 days ago; no appeal on hurdling debut
15	Lizzie Rey Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Richard Phillips	J:Tom Bellamy T:Richard Phillips	155	—	5-0	-	86	58	21d	—	—	-1	0.2	100.00/1	400/1 0%
Well held in sole bumper and was tailed off at a massive price on recent hurdling debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Magical Escape	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	9/4
Awaythelad	4/1	3/1	7/2	3/1	3/1
Haiti Couleurs	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
He Knows Better	9/2	4/1	4/1	5/1	9/2
Ted's Gift	8/1	8/1	9/1	8/1	15/2
Youlneverwalkalone	12/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	12/1
I See The Sea	12/1	16/1	22/1	14/1	14/1
Gustoso	33/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Industrialist	25/1	28/1	33/1	28/1	28/1
Dish Of The Day	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Best Life	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	50/1
Molto Bene	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Free The Lion	33/1	40/1	66/1	50/1	50/1
Nippin N Poppin	100/1	200/1	400/1	200/1	125/1
Shuile Warrior	100/1	200/1	400/1	200/1	125/1
Lizzie Rey	150/1	250/1	400/1	250/1	200/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Awaythelad

21.7

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

4/1

2nd

Ted's Gift

17.9

OR: 0 Form: 15 Odds: 2.9

9/1

3rd

Haiti Couleurs

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

He Knows Better

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Magical Escape

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

I See The Sea

4.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Shuile Warrior

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.2

400/1

Youlneverwalkalone

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Gustoso

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Industrialist

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Dish Of The Day

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Best Life

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Molto Bene

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Free The Lion

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Nippin N Poppin

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400/1

Lizzie Rey

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

400/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Awaythelad	112	121	108
Magical Escape	—	123	113
Haiti Couleurs	—	118	106
He Knows Better	—	111	74
Ted's Gift	—	—	—
Youlneverwalkalone	—	—	—
I See The Sea	—	106	68
Gustoso	—	100	90
Industrialist	—	—	—
Dish Of The Day	—	106	76
Best Life	—	88	35
Molto Bene	—	95	76
Free The Lion	—	—	—
Nippin N Poppin	—	—	—
Shuile Warrior	—	—	—
Lizzie Rey	—	86	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shuile Warrior	19d ago	Fit
Lizzie Rey	21d ago	Fit
Awaythelad	25d ago	Fit
Magical Escape	27d ago	Fit
Haiti Couleurs	27d ago	Fit
Industrialist	27d ago	Fit
Best Life	29d ago	Fit
Ted's Gift	30d ago	Fit
I See The Sea	34d ago	Fit
Molto Bene	36d ago	Fit
Dish Of The Day	45d ago	Fit
He Knows Better	48d ago	Fresh
Gustoso	48d ago	Fresh
Youlneverwalkalone	92d ago	Long break
Nippin N Poppin	480d ago	Long break
Free The Lion	—	—