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Musselburgh

13:55

Date 2024-01-05

Distance 2m3f171y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Duyfken Bay J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	J:Danny McMenamin T:N W Alexander	156	—	421-33	105	117	92	25d	—	—	-5	22.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Last-time-out third at Ayr has worked out well and this new trip could prompt improvement
7	Lihyan Bay J:William Maggs(7) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:William Maggs(7) T:Rebecca Menzies	156	h	0-5551	105	122	93	18d	—	—	-1	19.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Won over C&D last month and he's unexposed over this trip and under hold-up tactics
2	Leading Force Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	J:Ryan Mania T:Sandy Thomson	161	—	22224-	110	118	108	258d	—	—	+13	27.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Promise in novice hurdles last term & retains potential; firmly in calculations on return
6	Monochromix Grey J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	J:Patrick Wadge(3) T:Lucinda Russell	158	—	32-255	107	117	92	27d	—	—	+6	17.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Drops back in trip today and he was a close second on his last attempt at 2m4f
5	Big Bad Bear Brown J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Nicky Richards	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Nicky Richards	159	—	5876-5	108	117	93	91d	—	—	+7	17.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
10yo whose form is very patchy nowadays but he's dropped to a dangerous mark
3	City Derby Chestnut J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Lizzie Quinlan	J:Peter Kavanagh(3) T:Lizzie Quinlan	159	p	-22432	108	116	85	100d	—	—	+19	26.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Consistent run of form up to September; returns from a break and could be thereabouts
1	Heartbreak Kid Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	167	b	4-162O	116	-	-	10d	—	—	+13	17.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Ran out on Boxing Day when back over hurdles but on a good mark on chase form
4	Les's Legacy Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Susan Corbett	J:Sam Coltherd T:Susan Corbett	159	p	4-2254	108	112	96	25d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+12	15.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Hasn't shone over fences the last twice but he's on a handy mark now back hurdling

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Duyfken	9/4	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4
Lihyan	11/4	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4
Leading Force	5/1	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
Monochromix	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Big Bad Bear	8/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	7/1
City Derby	10/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Heartbreak Kid	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Les's Legacy	25/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Leading Force

27.9

OR: 15 Form: 8.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

City Derby

26.2

OR: 14.5 Form: 9.6 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

Duyfken

22.2

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Lihyan

19.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Heartbreak Kid

17.9

OR: 16.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Monochromix

17.6

OR: 14.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Big Bad Bear

17.4

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Les's Legacy

15.3

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Heartbreak Kid	116	—	—
Leading Force	110	118	108
Big Bad Bear	108	117	93
City Derby	108	116	85
Les's Legacy	108	112	96
Monochromix	107	117	92
Duyfken	105	117	92
Lihyan	105	122	93

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Heartbreak Kid	10d ago	Quick return
Lihyan	18d ago	Fit
Duyfken	25d ago	Fit
Les's Legacy	25d ago	Fit
Monochromix	27d ago	Fit
Big Bad Bear	91d ago	Long break
City Derby	100d ago	Long break
Leading Force	258d ago	Long break