BetMGM: It's Showtime Novice Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

11:32

BetMGM: It's Showtime Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-01-05

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,942

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (12)	Regimental Code b/br J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	133	h	42-	-	85	67	29d	—	—	-21	17.5	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Two promising runs at 1m, latest in a hood (retained); well worth a go at 7f
4 (1)	Jackson Street Bay J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	J:Clifford Lee T:K R Burke	133	—	952-	78	89	68	26d	—	—	-7	20.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Improved with each run and went close over C&D last month; good chance
6 (4)	Solomon Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	133	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
130,000euros 2yo; classy pedigree but already gelded and hooded for debut; check betting
11 (2)	Queen Of Zafeen Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
£110,000 yearling; dam bred two Listed winners; yard has 25% strike-rate on this track
8 (3)	Aloula Bay J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	J:George Wood T:Harry Eustace	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Likely type on pedigree but yard has a modest strike-rate at this level on AW
2 (5)	Cassanos Lad Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	133	—	U4-	-	76	68	27d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Unseated rider on debut; pleasing 4th of 10 over 6f next time; sure to appreciate 7f
12 (9)	The Sky Is Blue Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Alice Haynes	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	16.50/1	66/1 1%
15,000gns yearling; dam bred four winners; has a fair standard to aim at on debut
3 (10)	Hector's Left Foot Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	J:Marco Ghiani T:Ivan Furtado	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
5,500gns yearling; pedigree leans towards sprinting and likely to come on for the run
9 (7)	Amiwithani Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	128	—	79-	-	72	35	16d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Unfancied and just minor promise in 1m events on Polytrack in December
7 (11)	Tip Top Tank Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	133	—	00-	-	52	13	24d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Big prices and nothing doing in two starts, at 6f and over C&D; handicaps more likely
10 (6)	Mayo County Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Julie Camacho	J:Cam Hardie T:Julie Camacho	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Useful sprinting pedigree so offputting she starts off over 7f
NR (8)	Arctic Thunder Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	J:NON-RUNNER T:Andrew Balding	133	—	5-	-	64	-	41d	—	—	—	0	—	—
110,000gns yearling; some way off justifying favouritism on 6f AW debut; new trip a plus

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Regimental Code	11/8	6/5	5/4	11/10	6/5
Jackson Street	5/2	2/1	5/2	15/8	2/1
Solomon	7/1	5/1	6/1	5/1	11/2
Queen Of Zafeen	7/1	7/1	11/2	13/2	13/2
Aloula	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Cassanos Lad	14/1	16/1	16/1	11/1	16/1
The Sky Is Blue	25/1	50/1	33/1	66/1	50/1
Hector's Left Foot	50/1	66/1	50/1	66/1	66/1
Amiwithani	125/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Tip Top Tank	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Mayo County	66/1	100/1	66/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jackson Street

20.4

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

5/2

2nd

Regimental Code

17.5

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 12.5

11/8

3rd

Solomon

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

7/1

Queen Of Zafeen

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Aloula

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Cassanos Lad

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

The Sky Is Blue

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Hector's Left Foot

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Amiwithani

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Tip Top Tank

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Mayo County

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Arctic Thunder

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Jackson Street	78	89	68
Regimental Code	—	85	67
Solomon	—	—	—
Queen Of Zafeen	—	—	—
Aloula	—	—	—
Cassanos Lad	—	76	68
The Sky Is Blue	—	—	—
Hector's Left Foot	—	—	—
Amiwithani	—	72	35
Tip Top Tank	—	52	13
Mayo County	—	—	—
Arctic Thunder	—	64	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Amiwithani	16d ago	Fit
Tip Top Tank	24d ago	Fit
Jackson Street	26d ago	Fit
Cassanos Lad	27d ago	Fit
Regimental Code	29d ago	Fit
Arctic Thunder	41d ago	Fit
Solomon	—	—
Queen Of Zafeen	—	—
Aloula	—	—
The Sky Is Blue	—	—
Hector's Left Foot	—	—
Mayo County	—	—