Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:00

Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-01-06

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (8)	Cephalus Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	132	—	86001-	61	83	44	17d	—	—	-12	24.5	0.30/1	6/5 45%
C&D winner; back to form latest after very quiet spell; 12lb below highest winning mark
1 (5)	Landlordtothestars Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:James Evans	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:James Evans	135	—	27713-	64	76	57	15d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+4	18.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Acts well on this surface; needs extra following close C&D 3rd but J Leavy's claim a help
6 (4)	Island Native Grey J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	128	p	22325-	57	76	68	49d	—	—	+1	12.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Some good efforts in AW handicaps but couldn't sustain effort for new yard latest
2 (3)	Top Button Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Jack Jones	J:Hollie Doyle T:Jack Jones	135	—	/5344-	64	75	65	26d	—	—	-4	8.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Has improved since handicapping and the extra furlong should suit on pedigree
4 (6)	Island Of Skye Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	132	b	32317-	61	75	64	28d	—	—	+6	16	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Both wins at 1m on Kempton Polytrack but acts on Tapeta elsewhere; place chance
7 (7)	Odd Socks Havana Bay J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	123	tp	2486-3	52	76	56	2d	—	—	-3	5.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Four AW wins on Tapeta elsewhere but rarely runs here and not for two years
3 (2)	Concert Boy Bay J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	134	v	39553-	63	76	56	48d	—	—	+3	8.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has won on Tapeta elsewhere; hampered 3rd over 1m at Newcastle latest; on a handy mark
8 (1)	Fast Deal Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Michael Chapman	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Michael Chapman	116	—	07/89-	45	51	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Maiden; had a stab at many different scenarios without finding his niche

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cephalus	6/5	6/5	6/5	6/5	6/5
Landlordtothestars	5/1	11/2	5/1	4/1	5/1
Island Native	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1
Top Button	13/2	13/2	5/1	13/2	6/1
Island Of Skye	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
Odd Socks Havana	10/1	9/1	10/1	17/2	9/1
Concert Boy	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Fast Deal	200/1	150/1	150/1	200/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cephalus

24.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 10 Odds: 11.8

6/5

2nd

Landlordtothestars

18.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 11 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

Island Of Skye

OR: 2.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Island Native

12.3

OR: 1.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 3.1

13/2

Top Button

8.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Concert Boy

8.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Odd Socks Havana

5.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Fast Deal

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Landlordtothestars	64	76	57
Top Button	64	75	65
Concert Boy	63	76	56
Cephalus	61	83	44
Island Of Skye	61	75	64
Island Native	57	76	68
Odd Socks Havana	52	76	56
Fast Deal	45	51	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Odd Socks Havana	2d ago	Quick return
Landlordtothestars	15d ago	Fit
Cephalus	17d ago	Fit
Top Button	26d ago	Fit
Island Of Skye	28d ago	Fit
Concert Boy	48d ago	Fresh
Island Native	49d ago	Fresh
Fast Deal	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.