Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:00

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-01-06

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (7)	Tipperary Moon b J:Rob Hornby T:D Donovan	J:Rob Hornby T:D Donovan	134	p	35660-	62	73	-	190d	—	—	-20	14.2	9/4 31%
Back with original yard and well treated now; absence to defy; check the betting
8 (6)	Al Suil Eile gr J:Laura Pearson T:Shaun Harris	J:Laura Pearson T:Shaun Harris	131	—	24651-	59	75	38	8d	—	—	+1	18.5	4/1 20%
Conditions to suit and he dug deep to score over 1m here last week; contender up 2lb
2 (8)	Turbo Command gr J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	134	—	75801-	62	74	57	22d	—	—	+5	16.3	7/1 13%
Three C&D wins last year; 4lb rise for latest success fair; one to consider
9 (2)	Intoxicata b J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hollie Doyle T:Ed Dunlop	131	v	23223-	59	75	67	15d	—	—	+5	16.5	15/2 12%
String of good runs since the visor went on, including C&D; in the mix once more
1 (5)	Kath's Toyboy gr J:Sam James T:Kevin Frost	J:Sam James T:Kevin Frost	135	b	20303-	63	78	71	30d	—	—	+1	11.8	10/1 9%
C&D winner in April; dangerous mark still and should be sharper for recent return
6 (1)	Top Of The Class ch J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	J:Finley Marsh T:Mark Loughnane	133	—	43502-	61	75	69	47d	—	—	+3	10.8	11/1 8%
Good 2nd at Kempton when last seen; still relatively low mileage; shortlisted
10 (10)	Violeta b J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	129	p	57955-	57	76	46	53d	—	—	-3	3.7	14/1 7%
Exposed maiden but she's run creditably in two starts in today's headgear; others stronger
7 (9)	Dr Rio b J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	J:Zak Wheatley(5) T:Declan Carroll	132	—	41202-	60	74	47	64d	—	—	+8	14.7	16/1 6%
Beverley win last summer and an unlucky loser on AW when last seen in Nov; stable debut
5 (4)	Powdering b J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	133	—	86595-	61	74	57	18d	—	—	-3	5.1	22/1 4%
Encouraging stable debut when keeping on for 5th at Wolverhampton 18 days ago; interesting
3 (11)	Autumn Angel b J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	J:Molly Gunn(7) T:Tony Carroll	134	b	80328-	62	76	53	10d	—	—	+6	8.8	33/1 3%
Two good 6f runs last month before a lesser run ten days ago; needs to settle better at 7f
11 (3)	Atlantic Heart b J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	J:Cam Hardie T:Paul Midgley	128	—	93075-	56	79	46	109d	—	—	+1	3.1	50/1 2%
Down in the weights and a wind op since her latest run could help; worth market check

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tipperary Moon	15/8	15/8	7/4	9/4	11/8
Al Suil Eile	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
Turbo Command	7/1	13/2	7/1	11/2	13/2
Intoxicata	15/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1
Kath's Toyboy	9/1	8/1	10/1	6/1	8/1
Top Of The Class	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Violeta	14/1	10/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Dr Rio	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Powdering	20/1	18/1	22/1	18/1	8/1
Autumn Angel	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Atlantic Heart	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Al Suil Eile

18.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 11 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Intoxicata

16.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 10.9 Odds: 3.3

15/2

3rd

Turbo Command

16.3

OR: 3 Form: 10 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Dr Rio

14.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 10.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Tipperary Moon

14.2

OR: 3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 10.6

9/4

Kath's Toyboy

11.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 3.1

10/1

Top Of The Class

10.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 5.9 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Autumn Angel

8.8

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Powdering

5.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

22/1

Violeta

3.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Atlantic Heart

3.1

OR: 1.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Kath's Toyboy Top Rated	63	78	71
Tipperary Moon	62	73	—
Turbo Command	62	74	57
Autumn Angel	62	76	53
Top Of The Class	61	75	69
Powdering	61	74	57
Dr Rio	60	74	47
Al Suil Eile	59	75	38
Intoxicata	59	75	67
Violeta	57	76	46
Atlantic Heart	56	79	46

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Al Suil Eile	8d ago	Quick return
Autumn Angel	10d ago	Quick return
Intoxicata	15d ago	Fit
Powdering	18d ago	Fit
Turbo Command	22d ago	Fit
Kath's Toyboy	30d ago	Fit
Top Of The Class	47d ago	Fresh
Violeta	53d ago	Fresh
Dr Rio	64d ago	Fresh
Atlantic Heart	109d ago	Long break
Tipperary Moon	190d ago	Long break