Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-01-06

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (7)	Kitaab Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Ian Williams	J:Clifford Lee T:Ian Williams	134	t	/7358-	62	77	52	44d	—	—	-11	11.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Ten-race maiden but there have been flickers of promise and the return to 7f may help
4 (2)	Once Adaay Bay J:George Wood T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	J:George Wood T:Mrs Ilka Gansera-Leveque	133	tv	76321-	61	75	59	30d	—	—	+7	22.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Cosy win at Chelmsford last time but more will be needed up 3lb; return to Tapeta fine
8 (5)	Diamondsinthesand Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	131	h	63159-	59	74	65	15d	—	—	0	11.5	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Not seen to best effect in either start since a Wolverhampton win in November; e-w claims
5 (9)	Berkshire Phantom Grey J:Paddy Mathers T:Fionn McSharry	J:Paddy Mathers T:Fionn McSharry	133	b	08966-	61	73	45	28d	—	—	-5	5.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Handicap mark in freefall but hard to gauge how much of his ability remains; new headgear
1 (3)	Reputation Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	135	—	07715-	63	73	62	15d	—	—	+1	13.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Didn't run badly in a stronger C&D handicap two weeks ago; considered back down in class
3 (6)	Dynamic Talent Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:Darryll Holland	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Darryll Holland	134	tb	07480-	62	75	58	32d	—	—	-4	5.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Tumbling down the weights but keeps getting it wrong at the start; remains too risky
6 (8)	Angel Amadea Grey J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Morgan Cole(5) T:Rebecca Menzies	132	t	80361-	60	74	56	33d	—	—	+8	16.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Powerful finish to win easily at Wolverhampton last month; not dismissed up 7lb
9 (10)	Absolute Dream Chestnut J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	130	—	00304-	58	74	48	22d	—	—	-3	5.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Challenged away from the main action when 4th over C&D latest; in the mix with a repeat
7 (4)	Floral Splendour Brown J:Andrew Mullen T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Andrew Mullen T:Adrian Nicholls	131	—	09009-	59	67	30	48d	—	—	-1	3.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
On losing run and hasn't looked in the form required to capitalise on her reduced mark
10 (1)	Star Of St James Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	129	h	43389-	57	68	25	22d	—	—	+3	4.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Yet to shine in two runs for new yard; hood added today but others appeal more

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Kitaab	11/4	3/1	3/1	10/3	3/1
Once Adaay	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Diamondsinthesand	7/1	13/2	7/1	13/2	13/2
Berkshire Phantom	8/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	7/1
Reputation	13/2	13/2	6/1	5/1	6/1
Dynamic Talent	8/1	15/2	8/1	8/1	7/1
Angel Amadea	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Absolute Dream	8/1	17/2	10/1	17/2	8/1
Floral Splendour	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Star Of St James	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Once Adaay

22.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 15 Odds: 4.4

9/2

2nd

Angel Amadea

16.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

3rd

Reputation

13.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 7 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Diamondsinthesand

11.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Kitaab

11.2

OR: 3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 6.7

10/3

Dynamic Talent

5.9

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Absolute Dream

5.9

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Berkshire Phantom

5.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Star Of St James

4.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.4 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Floral Splendour

3.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Reputation	63	73	62
Kitaab	62	77	52
Dynamic Talent	62	75	58
Once Adaay	61	75	59
Berkshire Phantom	61	73	45
Angel Amadea	60	74	56
Diamondsinthesand	59	74	65
Floral Splendour	59	67	30
Absolute Dream	58	74	48
Star Of St James	57	68	25

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Diamondsinthesand	15d ago	Fit
Reputation	15d ago	Fit
Absolute Dream	22d ago	Fit
Star Of St James	22d ago	Fit
Berkshire Phantom	28d ago	Fit
Once Adaay	30d ago	Fit
Dynamic Talent	32d ago	Fit
Angel Amadea	33d ago	Fit
Kitaab	44d ago	Fit
Floral Splendour	48d ago	Fresh