Bruton Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle – Wincanton

Wincanton

14:30

Bruton Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-01-12

Distance 1m7f50y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,093

Runners (18)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Little Pi Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	161	—	00-841	88	94	70	46d	—	—	-6	16.2	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Better in handicaps, winning at Ludlow (2m on good to soft) in November latest; up 7lb
13	Great Valley Bay J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	151	p	O22	91	105	85	29d	—	—	+7	23.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
2nd in his two completions and should have realistic mark for handicap debut; cheekpieces
8	Daany Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Joe Tickle	J:Micheal Nolan T:Joe Tickle	158	h	-P6241	85	94	78	6d	—	—	+12	24.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
C&D win (heavy) last Saturday; 7lb penalty demands more but he has to be in calculations
1	Dancing Harry Bay J:James Bowen T:Roger Teal	J:James Bowen T:Roger Teal	166	—	5324-5	93	98	74	29d	—	—	+2	14.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Nothing like so good over hurdles (five runs) as on Flat but some encouragement last time
2	Kooky Bay J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	165	—	33-4	92	92	59	92d	—	—	+3	13.4	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Off three months before this handicap debut and stable is among the winners; may improve
18	Cosmic View Chestnut J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	145	tp	474	85	93	49	68d	—	—	+4	10.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Makes handicap hurdle debut off a lowly mark; tongue tied first time; needs a market check
12	Staar Bay J:James Best T:Emma-Jane Bishop	J:James Best T:Emma-Jane Bishop	153	p	87/2-7	80	95	93	21d	—	—	+6	12.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Very lightly raced 10yo; neck second on handicap debut (2m, heavy); may have needed latest
14	Double Powerful Chestnut J:Brendan Powell T:Neil Mulholland	J:Brendan Powell T:Neil Mulholland	151	h	3-7P79	78	88	54	21d	—	—	+4	11	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Prominent long way on handicap debut; drops back in trip today but has no solid claims
6	Tribesmans Glory Bay J:Ben Ffrench Davis(5) T:Chris Down	J:Ben Ffrench Davis(5) T:Chris Down	161	—	0/8-3P	88	97	66	22d	—	—	+7	10.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Pulled up back over fences three weeks ago and longer trips than this would seem to suit
5	Rivers Corner Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Syd Hosie	J:Tom Bellamy T:Syd Hosie	161	—	5458-6	88	101	40	11d	—	—	+6	10.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Showed something on hurdle debut but tailed off all three starts since; handicap debut
10	Renegade Arrow Chestnut J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Neil Mulholland	J:Joe Anderson(5) T:Neil Mulholland	154	—	31/050	81	90	25	31d	—	—	+5	9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Last of 15 at 125-1 over C&D latest; makes handicap debut and market can guide
11	Mr Sociable Bay J:Mr Callum Pritchard(7) T:Chris Down	J:Mr Callum Pritchard(7) T:Chris Down	153	—	/97P-9	80	91	69	22d	—	—	+5	8.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Two lengthy absences and well held in handicaps on last four starts
16	Pivotal Sky Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Mitchell Hunt	J:Sean Houlihan T:Mitchell Hunt	145	b	386	85	99	54	29d	—	—	+9	10.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Has shown a little ability at big odds but more is required for this handicap debut
9	Sous Surveillance Bay J:Harry Bannister T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Harry Bannister T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	157	t	P64-00	84	92	43	29d	—	—	+7	8.9	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Showed a glimmer last March but Flat and hurdle runs since have not gone well
NR	Starevitch Bay J:Will Featherstone(10) T:Jamie Snowden	J:Will Featherstone(10) T:Jamie Snowden	164	—	5584-P	91	101	76	6d	—	—	—	10.3	—	—
Absent for 638 days, then no significant impact in his five runs since
NR	Sangiovese Bay J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	162	—	2564	89	95	84	43d	—	—	—	11.3	—	—
Modest form but improvement is plausible on this handicap debut for an in-form stable
NR	Robber's Bridge Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon Earle	J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon Earle	147	h	233632	74	101	-	2d	—	—	—	14.6	—	—
16-race maiden who has been knocking on the door, very loudly at Leicester on Wednesday
NR	Milton Boy Bay J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	145	p	8P0-68	72	82	57	2d	—	—	—	5.5	—	—
Struggled all five starts, in handicaps last two and latest was at Leicester on Wednesday

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Little Pi	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1	11/4
Great Valley	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2
Daany	11/2	6/1	5/1	11/2	11/2
Dancing Harry	7/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1
Kooky	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
Cosmic View	10/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Staar	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Double Powerful	16/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	11/1
Tribesmans Glory	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Rivers Corner	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Renegade Arrow	20/1	22/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Mr Sociable	25/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	28/1
Pivotal Sky	66/1	66/1	66/1	40/1	50/1
Sous Surveillance	125/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Daany

24.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 12.2 Odds: 3.6

6/1

2nd

Great Valley

23.8

OR: 10.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

4/1

3rd

Little Pi

16.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Robber's Bridge

14.6

OR: 6 Form: 8.6 Odds: 0

—

Dancing Harry

14.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Kooky

13.4

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Staar

12.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Sangiovese

11.3

OR: 9.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0

—

Double Powerful

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Cosmic View

10.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Rivers Corner

10.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Pivotal Sky

10.7

OR: 8.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Tribesmans Glory

10.6

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Starevitch

10.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Renegade Arrow

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Sous Surveillance

8.9

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Mr Sociable

8.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Milton Boy

5.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dancing Harry	93	98	74
Kooky	92	92	59
Great Valley	91	105	85
Starevitch	91	101	76
Sangiovese	89	95	84
Little Pi	88	94	70
Tribesmans Glory	88	97	66
Rivers Corner	88	101	40
Daany	85	94	78
Cosmic View	85	93	49
Pivotal Sky	85	99	54
Sous Surveillance	84	92	43
Renegade Arrow	81	90	25
Staar	80	95	93
Mr Sociable	80	91	69
Double Powerful	78	88	54
Robber's Bridge	74	101	—
Milton Boy	72	82	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Robber's Bridge	2d ago	Quick return
Milton Boy	2d ago	Quick return
Daany	6d ago	Quick return
Starevitch	6d ago	Quick return
Rivers Corner	11d ago	Quick return
Staar	21d ago	Fit
Double Powerful	21d ago	Fit
Tribesmans Glory	22d ago	Fit
Mr Sociable	22d ago	Fit
Great Valley	29d ago	Fit
Dancing Harry	29d ago	Fit
Pivotal Sky	29d ago	Fit
Sous Surveillance	29d ago	Fit
Renegade Arrow	31d ago	Fit
Sangiovese	43d ago	Fit
Little Pi	46d ago	Fresh
Cosmic View	68d ago	Fresh
Kooky	92d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Double Powerful	Prominent
Robber's Bridge	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 18 runners classified.