Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30

Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Handicap

Date 2024-01-12

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,716

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (4)	Appellant Bay J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	131	p	34566-	68	81	65	27d	—	—	-8	10.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Unplaced in nurseries; falling in weights but needs to return to his best
9 (7)	Invincible Speed Bay J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	J:Clifford Lee T:James Tate	130	—	535-	67	76	54	64d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-7	12.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Promise on all three outings last year; now tackles a handicap could be unexposed
3 (5)	Graceful Mary Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	132	—	318-	69	81	55	17d	—	—	+5	16.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
C&D winner; excuses next time and may still have untapped potential
10 (1)	Moyola Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	J:Oisin Orr T:Lucinda Russell	130	t	44107-	67	81	65	15d	—	—	-2	13.7	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won easily at Newcastle in October but failed by a long chalk to repeat the form
8 (8)	Vice Captain Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Scott	J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Scott	131	—	43144-	68	77	50	17d	—	—	+3	13.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Consistent type; creditable fourth in nursery here on Boxing Day; unlikely to be far away
6 (11)	Zola Power Chestnut J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	132	ht	2279-1	69	80	60	10d	—	—	+6	18.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Winning debut for Mick Appleby ten days ago; should make another bold bid under penalty
11 (2)	King Street Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:David Loughnane	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Loughnane	129	—	7478-	66	79	48	15d	—	—	0	5.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has not repeated form of C&D fourth in November; blinkers quickly discarded
12 (3)	Moe's Legacy Grey J:Finley Marsh T:Ronald Harris	J:Finley Marsh T:Ronald Harris	122	—	34470-	59	74	-	94d	—	—	-1	4.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Eight-race maiden; well held in big field at Leicester on final 2yo start; AW debut
4 (9)	East Bank Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	J:Tom Eaves T:Craig Lidster	132	h	1505-	69	78	44	15d	—	—	+6	8.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Made winning start at Beverley last spring but has not repeated the form; now hooded
1 (12)	Heed The Call Bay J:Jason Hart T:Amy Murphy	J:Jason Hart T:Amy Murphy	135	tp	21008-	72	75	31	28d	—	—	+7	10.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Hasn't beaten a rival in two outings for current yard; others preferred
NR (10)	Professor Tickle Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Loughnane	134	b	22615-	71	80	73	15d	—	—	—	14.8	—	—
Mostly reliable as 2yo but below par final start and needs to bounce back
NR (6)	Better Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	132	—	7051-	69	79	62	38d	—	—	—	14.8	—	—
Proved well suited by drop in trip when winning over C&D in December; may well follow up

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Appellant	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Invincible Speed	7/2	10/3	10/3	7/2	3/1
Graceful Mary	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Moyola	6/1	11/2	13/2	11/2	5/1
Vice Captain	15/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2
Zola Power	13/2	11/2	5/1	11/2	6/1
King Street	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Moe's Legacy	16/1	18/1	22/1	16/1	16/1
East Bank	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	40/1
Heed The Call	20/1	28/1	33/1	25/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zola Power

18.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

13/2

2nd

Graceful Mary

16.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.3

6/1

3rd

Professor Tickle

14.8

OR: 5.3 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0

—

Better

14.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Moyola

13.7

OR: 4.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

13/2

Vice Captain

13.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Invincible Speed

12.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Heed The Call

10.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 4 Odds: 1

33/1

Appellant

10.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 5.2

4/1

East Bank

8.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.7

40/1

King Street

5.6

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Moe's Legacy

4.5

OR: 2.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.6

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Heed The Call	72	75	31
Professor Tickle	71	80	73
Graceful Mary	69	81	55
Zola Power	69	80	60
East Bank	69	78	44
Better	69	79	62
Appellant	68	81	65
Vice Captain	68	77	50
Invincible Speed	67	76	54
Moyola	67	81	65
King Street	66	79	48
Moe's Legacy	59	74	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Zola Power	10d ago	Quick return
Moyola	15d ago	Fit
King Street	15d ago	Fit
East Bank	15d ago	Fit
Professor Tickle	15d ago	Fit
Graceful Mary	17d ago	Fit
Vice Captain	17d ago	Fit
Appellant	27d ago	Fit
Heed The Call	28d ago	Fit
Better	38d ago	Fit
Invincible Speed	64d ago	Fresh
Moe's Legacy	94d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.