Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div I) – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

16:30

Bet £10 Get £40 At BetMGM Classified Stakes (Div I)

Date 2024-01-15

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,234

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Big Narstie b/br J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	135	tb	0760-2	50	64	53	6d	—	—	-29	22.9	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Made a bold bid when a close second at Southwell last week; big player back in trip
4 (6)	Hawajes Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	135	—	0790-8	49	57	40	5d	—	—	-14	5.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Yet to be placed in nine starts and was well held in a classified event last week
2 (4)	Billy McGarry Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	135	p	87575-	48	58	41	24d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Sole win came on turf in May 2022 and has been well held in three runs for current yard
6 (8)	Rebel Redemption Grey J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	J:Phil Dennis T:Scott Dixon	135	tp	66852-	46	60	42	20d	—	—	0	6.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
All seven wins have been at 6f but he went close over C&D on Boxing Day; respected
5 (1)	Merry Secret Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	135	p	5605-5	45	59	26	7d	—	—	-5	1.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Hard to predict but last win was on Tapeta and he could be dangerous back up in trip
7 (3)	Say Grace Bay J:George Rooke T:Grace Harris	J:George Rooke T:Grace Harris	135	—	00753-	44	58	39	20d	—	—	-1	4.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Turned things around with a third over C&D on Boxing Day and has each-way claims again
8 (2)	Vivency Bay J:P J McDonald T:John Mackie	J:P J McDonald T:John Mackie	135	—	440/0-	50	-	-	199d	—	—	-3	1.1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
7yo who has struggled last twice and needs a major revival after another absence
3 (7)	Fragrance Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Ronald Harris	J:Liam Keniry T:Ronald Harris	135	—	88007-	44	58	-	122d	—	—	-1	0.5	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Losing run is up to 14 and has plenty to prove at this new trip on her return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Big Narstie	4/5	4/5	5/6	5/6	4/5
Hawajes	7/2	7/2	4/1	10/3	7/2
Billy McGarry	7/1	13/2	13/2	7/1	13/2
Rebel Redemption	11/1	10/1	10/1	12/1	10/1
Merry Secret	14/1	12/1	10/1	16/1	11/1
Say Grace	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Vivency	25/1	22/1	18/1	22/1	20/1
Fragrance	150/1	50/1	100/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Big Narstie

22.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 17.9

5/6

2nd

Rebel Redemption

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Hawajes

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Say Grace

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Billy McGarry

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Merry Secret

1.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Vivency

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Fragrance

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Big Narstie	50	64	53
Vivency	50	—	—
Hawajes	49	57	40
Billy McGarry	48	58	41
Rebel Redemption	46	60	42
Merry Secret	45	59	26
Say Grace	44	58	39
Fragrance	44	58	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hawajes	5d ago	Quick return
Big Narstie	6d ago	Quick return
Merry Secret	7d ago	Quick return
Rebel Redemption	20d ago	Fit
Say Grace	20d ago	Fit
Billy McGarry	24d ago	Fit
Fragrance	122d ago	Long break
Vivency	199d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.