Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:30

Build Your Acca With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-01-18

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 3

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £7,851

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (4)	Cavern Club Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Marco Botti	129	p	48129-	83	98	-	97d	—	—	+1	23.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Drops back in trip/grade on his return and he needs watching in the market
9 (11)	Tenerife Sunshine Chestnut J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Johnston	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Charlie Johnston	127	—	6897-4	81	102	86	15d	—	—	-7	13.9	0.75/1	3/1 25%
On workable mark and was beaten less than 2l at Kempton (1m3f) last time; shortlisted
5 (2)	Qaasid Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	133	v	23232-	85	99	35	201d	—	—	+11	23.9	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Dual Tapeta winner who has finished placed in his last five runs; respected on return
1 (7)	Valsad Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	J:Callum Shepherd T:Jamie Osborne	138	—	62177-	90	99	55	93d	—	—	+10	19.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Bit to prove for new yard but has claims if he can get back near best; market informative
6 (6)	Howth Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	133	h	53060-	85	100	70	33d	—	—	+4	11.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Sole win was in 2021 and was tailed off at Newcastle (1m4f) on his return last month
4 (8)	Queen Of Ipanema Chestnut J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	134	tp	1051-0	86	99	57	17d	—	—	+4	10.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
7-15 on AW but was well below form at Newcastle latest and needs to bounce back after that
11 (3)	Tiger Beetle Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Mark Rimell	J:Rob Hornby T:Mark Rimell	122	—	1366-3	74	97	78	13d	—	—	+4	10.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
In-form 6yo but this is a step back up in grade and he's never won over this far
7 (5)	Haveyoumissedme Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	129	—	1/875-	81	93	76	33d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+10	16.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Has struggled since returning from a lengthy absence in October and others are preferred
2 (1)	Barenboim Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	137	—	9599-9	89	100	55	17d	0W/0P 1 run	—	+7	10.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
On dangerous mark but he's struggled in last three runs and needs a major revival
10 (10)	Furzig Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	125	—	50749-	77	96	84	20d	—	—	+4	8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
His last win was in October 2022 and he's been well held on Tapeta in last four runs
3 (9)	Sonnerie Power Chestnut J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	134	—	47107-	86	100	75	23d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+12	14.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
In rear at Wolverhampton in both runs for current yard and he needs to get back on track

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cavern Club	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2
Tenerife Sunshine	3/1	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Qaasid	7/1	11/2	13/2	6/1	11/2
Valsad	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Howth	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Queen Of Ipanema	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1
Tiger Beetle	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1
Haveyoumissedme	20/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Barenboim	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Furzig	16/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Sonnerie Power	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Qaasid

23.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 11.5 Odds: 3.6

7/1

2nd

Cavern Club

23.4

OR: 8.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.7

11/4

3rd

Valsad

19.2

OR: 10 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Haveyoumissedme

16.5

OR: 7.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

20/1

Sonnerie Power

14.9

OR: 9 Form: 5 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Tenerife Sunshine

13.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

3/1

Howth

11.9

OR: 8.8 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Queen Of Ipanema

10.9

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Barenboim

10.8

OR: 9.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Tiger Beetle

10.7

OR: 6 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Furzig

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Valsad	90	99	55
Barenboim	89	100	55
Queen Of Ipanema	86	99	57
Sonnerie Power	86	100	75
Qaasid	85	99	35
Howth	85	100	70
Cavern Club	83	98	—
Tenerife Sunshine	81	102	86
Haveyoumissedme	81	93	76
Furzig	77	96	84
Tiger Beetle	74	97	78

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tiger Beetle	13d ago	Quick return
Tenerife Sunshine	15d ago	Fit
Queen Of Ipanema	17d ago	Fit
Barenboim	17d ago	Fit
Furzig	20d ago	Fit
Sonnerie Power	23d ago	Fit
Howth	33d ago	Fit
Haveyoumissedme	33d ago	Fit
Valsad	93d ago	Long break
Cavern Club	97d ago	Long break
Qaasid	201d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.