BetUK. Its Where The UK Bets Restricted Novice Stakes (Horses In Bands C And D) (Colts & Geldings)

Southwell (AW)

17:30

Date 2024-01-18

Distance 1m3f23y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £3,942

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (5)	Siempre Arturo Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Jack Mitchell T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	145	—	81-	70	67	34	42d	—	—	-17	31.3	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Impressed at Chelmsford and probably the one to beat even with a penalty
5 (2)	Alrazeen Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Gay Kelleway	J:Hayley Turner T:Gay Kelleway	116	—	4-	-	81	19	29d	—	—	-28	13.3	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Finished well over the 1m3f at Kempton to be hot on the heels of some well-bred rivals
2 (1)	Didactic Patrick Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Dr Jon Scargill	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Dr Jon Scargill	140	—	38-	-	65	24	82d	—	—	-2	3.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Some promise in two 1m2f novices on Polytrack but probably has to find a bit
4 (4)	Soham Ranger Brown J:Adam Farragher T:Marco Botti	J:Adam Farragher T:Marco Botti	118	b	0-9	-	56	38	13d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Showed a bit more in blinkers here recently but still finished only ninth over 1m
3 (3)	Reign Of Thunder Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Mark Usher	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Mark Usher	140	—	9	-	29	-	8d	—	—	-1	0.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
200-1 when trailing in last over 1m3f at Kempton only last week

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Siempre Arturo	5/6	10/11	5/6	4/5	5/6
Alrazeen	6/5	6/5	11/10	11/10	11/10
Didactic Patrick	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Soham Ranger	40/1	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1
Reign Of Thunder	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Siempre Arturo

31.3

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 16.3

10/11

2nd

Alrazeen

13.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

6/5

3rd

Didactic Patrick

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Soham Ranger

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Reign Of Thunder

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Siempre Arturo	70	67	34
Alrazeen	—	81	19
Didactic Patrick	—	65	24
Soham Ranger	—	56	38
Reign Of Thunder	—	29	—

Last Run

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m3f23y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.