Injured Jockeys' Fund Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

15:40

Injured Jockeys' Fund Handicap

Date 2024-01-18

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,004

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (4)	Island Native Grey J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Appleby	J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Appleby	133	p	325-37	56	71	58	4d	—	—	-24	13.3	0.38/1	6/4 40%
0-14 but wasn't beaten far on Sunday; has fighting chance on the pick of his form
3 (2)	Havana Goldrush Bay J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:J S Moore	J:Taylor Fisher(3) T:J S Moore	133	b	59374-	56	73	62	19d	—	—	-16	11.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Drop back to 1m is ideal; has gained all handicap wins off higher marks; respected
4 (1)	Struck Gold Bay J:Hector Crouch T:John Butler	J:Hector Crouch T:John Butler	131	—	6114-5	54	69	60	10d	—	—	-11	6	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Record of 2-4 since upped to about 1m; ran respectably last week despite a poor start
1 (5)	Stella Hogan Chestnut J:David Probert T:John O'Shea	J:David Probert T:John O'Shea	134	—	6812-3	57	73	54	15d	—	—	-5	8.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
In good form over 7f of late; major player provided she's as effective back at 1m
6 (3)	United Force Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Clare Hobson	J:Marco Ghiani T:Clare Hobson	130	v	8006-0	53	67	46	4d	—	—	-2	1.7	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Unconvincing form for current yard; change of headgear needs to help
5 (6)	Green Go Chestnut J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Pat Phelan	131	—	50-5	54	59	-	8d	—	—	0	1.3	25.00/1	100/1 1%
May do better now handicapping but has weak form claims as things stand

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Island Native	11/8	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8
Havana Goldrush	9/4	5/2	5/2	9/4	9/4
Struck Gold	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
Stella Hogan	11/2	5/1	9/2	9/2	5/1
United Force	25/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	22/1
Green Go	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Island Native

13.3

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

6/4

2nd

Havana Goldrush

11.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 8.4

5/2

3rd

Stella Hogan

8.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Struck Gold

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

United Force

1.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Green Go

1.3

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stella Hogan	57	73	54
Island Native	56	71	58
Havana Goldrush	56	73	62
Struck Gold	54	69	60
Green Go	54	59	—
United Force	53	67	46

Last Run