Franciscan Well Rated Novice Hurdle – Down Royal

Down Royal

13:10

Franciscan Well Rated Novice Hurdle

Date 2024-01-23

Distance 2m1f33y

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €8,555

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	D Art D Art Chestnut J:Donagh Meyler T:Thomas Cooper	J:Donagh Meyler T:Thomas Cooper	165	—	10-71	-	124	110	17d	—	—	-29	14.2	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Won a Cork maiden hurdle on second start in this discipline and has to be taken seriously
1	Joshua Des Flos Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	J:Daryl Jacob T:S R B Crawford	168	—	3-3331	123	122	104	21d	—	—	+8	25.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won at Ayr and a repeat of that will see him involved; will be suited by plenty of rain
5	Soldante Bay J:E Walsh T:Ciaran Murphy	J:E Walsh T:Ciaran Murphy	163	t	525-13	-	127	110	39d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Tramore winner ran a cracker in a Cheltenham novice and can be involved
2	The Other Mozzie Brown J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	168	—	2-5261	-	123	104	28d	—	—	-4	6.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won a maiden hurdle over C&D at Christmas; should have improved and a major player
3	Western Fold Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	168	—	-3U15F	123	117	89	25d	—	—	+15	24.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Maiden hurdle winner can make mistakes but has a shout if his jumping holds up
8	Ah Remy Martin Bay J:Kieren Buckley T:Thomas Gibney	J:Kieren Buckley T:Thomas Gibney	155	—	6-273	-	104	78	22d	—	—	-5	1.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has been well held in two maiden hurdles; has to do much better
NR	My Gaffer Bay J:TBC T:John Patrick Ryan	J: T:John Patrick Ryan	160	—	197400	115	123	111	28d	—	—	—	16.3	—	—
Was 4th in a Navan Grade 3 novice but has been below that twice since; has to bounce back
NR	Condesa Brown J:TBC T:S R B Crawford	J: T:S R B Crawford	156	t	230/14	-	120	79	118d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Won a Perth novice hurdle last July; below form there next time; needs her best on return

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
D Art D Art	evn	11/10	11/10	6/5	evn
Joshua Des Flos	9/2	9/2	9/2	7/2	9/2
Soldante	11/2	5/1	5/1	4/1	5/1
The Other Mozzie	15/2	7/1	7/1	6/1	7/1
Western Fold	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Ah Remy Martin	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Joshua Des Flos

25.4

OR: 18.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Western Fold

24.8

OR: 18.3 Form: 3.7 Odds: 2.9

8/1

3rd

My Gaffer

16.3

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

D Art D Art

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 14.2

6/5

The Other Mozzie

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Soldante

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Ah Remy Martin

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Condesa

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Joshua Des Flos	123	122	104
Western Fold	123	117	89
My Gaffer	115	123	111
D Art D Art	—	124	110
Soldante	—	127	110
The Other Mozzie	—	123	104
Ah Remy Martin	—	104	78
Condesa	—	120	79

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
D Art D Art	17d ago	Fit
Joshua Des Flos	21d ago	Fit
Ah Remy Martin	22d ago	Fit
Western Fold	25d ago	Fit
The Other Mozzie	28d ago	Fit
My Gaffer	28d ago	Fit
Soldante	39d ago	Fit
Condesa	118d ago	Long break