Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

19:00

Unibet More Extra Place Races Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-01-24

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Harriet's Angel Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Ed Dunlop	J:Jack Mitchell T:Ed Dunlop	129	—	23750-	61	80	57	111d	—	—	-18	15.3	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Progress has stalled, including in two runs after a wind op; down in weights but risky
5 (3)	Stella Hogan Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:John O'Shea	J:Luke Morris T:John O'Shea	125	—	812-32	57	81	63	6d	—	—	-17	9.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
C&D win in October has been followed by three solid efforts in defeat; one to consider
1 (5)	Capuchinero Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	135	tp	55138-	67	80	72	42d	—	—	-1	16.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Chelmsford winner in November and ran well under a penalty six days later; headgear on now
4 (1)	Princess Naomi Chestnut J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	J:Ross Coakley T:Rod Millman	126	—	2755-7	58	80	46	15d	—	—	-6	5.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Conditions shouldn't be an issue; on a good mark & sharper for recent return; contender
2 (6)	Goldkit Bay J:David Probert T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:David Probert T:Paul & Oliver Cole	130	t	2448-8	62	78	63	21d	—	—	-3	5.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Blinkers/6f didn't work last time but this trip should be more suitable; dangerous mark
6 (4)	Regal Glory Bay J:Raul Da Silva T:Laura Mongan	J:Raul Da Silva T:Laura Mongan	116	—	04648-	48	77	67	182d	—	—	-3	1.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
7f AW winner as a 2yo; running okay when last seen but vulnerable back from six months off
7 (7)	Madam Pickle Chestnut J:George Rooke T:Rod Millman	J:George Rooke T:Rod Millman	116	—	58968/	48	65	-	442d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Little solid form as a 2yo (6f-7f); absent for 442 days and she's hard to recommend

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Harriet's Angel	13/8	7/4	13/8	7/4	13/8
Stella Hogan	5/2	5/2	5/2	85/40	9/4
Capuchinero	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2
Princess Naomi	13/2	13/2	11/2	6/1	13/2
Goldkit	9/1	10/1	10/1	17/2	9/1
Regal Glory	20/1	22/1	20/1	16/1	18/1
Madam Pickle	80/1	66/1	40/1	50/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Capuchinero

16.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Harriet's Angel

15.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 10.6

7/4

3rd

Stella Hogan

9.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Princess Naomi

5.3

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Goldkit

5.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Regal Glory

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Madam Pickle

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Capuchinero	67	80	72
Goldkit	62	78	63
Harriet's Angel	61	80	57
Princess Naomi	58	80	46
Stella Hogan	57	81	63
Regal Glory	48	77	67
Madam Pickle	48	65	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Stella Hogan	6d ago	Quick return
Princess Naomi	15d ago	Fit
Goldkit	21d ago	Fit
Capuchinero	42d ago	Fit
Harriet's Angel	111d ago	Long break
Regal Glory	182d ago	Long break
Madam Pickle	442d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.