Racing TV Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

17:30

Racing TV Handicap

Date 2024-01-24

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	True Blue Gent Bay J:P J McDonald T:Marco Botti	J:P J McDonald T:Marco Botti	134	tb	79092-	59	70	53	35d	—	—	-14	16.6	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Much improved in first-time blinkers when C&D second; player with headgear again sported
1 (5)	Saxon Magic Chestnut J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Kevin Philippart De Foy	135	—	904-	60	73	30	32d	—	—	-10	7.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Big step forward when fourth at Lingfield; very much considered up to 1m now h'capping
5 (10)	Eccentric Brown J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	J:Saffie Osborne T:Jamie Osborne	133	b	059-	58	59	38	60d	—	—	-9	6.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Has been brought along steadily; blinkered for his handicap debut and no forlorn hope
9 (12)	Glen Heste Chestnut J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	128	—	9709-2	53	70	61	21d	—	—	-5	10.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Good C&D runner-up 3 weeks ago; form franked so he must enter calculations nudged up 1lb
7 (6)	Terratino Fire Bay J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Ross Coakley T:Hugo Palmer	130	b	89366-	55	67	37	34d	—	—	-3	4.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Still a maiden and below-par sixth in 7f Chelmsford nursery last month
6 (8)	Maverick Style Bay J:Rob Hornby T:Paul & Oliver Cole	J:Rob Hornby T:Paul & Oliver Cole	131	b	5541-4	56	67	53	14d	—	—	-5	3.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Took Chelmsford nursery and solid fourth over 7f here since; shortlisted back at 1m
11 (2)	Run Joy Run Bay J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Adam West	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Adam West	121	p	7559-2	46	68	53	10d	—	—	+1	6.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Cheekpieces on when second at Lingfield ten days ago; in the mix again
4 (3)	High Sport Bay J:Harry Davies T:Andrew Balding	J:Harry Davies T:Andrew Balding	133	v	5756-8	58	68	49	14d	—	—	-2	3.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Failed to kick on since sent handicapping, tried in a visor when eighth here last time
13 (7)	Lunar Rocks Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Ollie Sangster	J:Adam Farragher T:Ollie Sangster	121	b	008-	46	53	-	46d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Yet to show much in her three outings thus far; blinkers go on for her handicap debut
12 (9)	Sicilian Sosizza Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Joseph Parr	J:Luke Morris T:Joseph Parr	121	—	790-	46	59	-	35d	—	—	-2	0.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Has shown little in his three runs; needs switch to h'caps to spark major improvement
NR (13)	Mulciber Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	J:Marco Ghiani T:Marco Botti	134	tp	05618-	59	66	39	35d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—
Cheekpieces on when scoring at Newcastle but only eighth over C&D since; not written off
NR (11)	Trois Blancs Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:James Fanshawe	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Fanshawe	130	—	785-5	55	68	-	11d	—	—	—	1.3	—	—
Good fifth on h'cap debut at Wolver 11 days ago; may do better still on Polytrack debut
NR (4)	Catena Bay J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	J:Liam Wright(7) T:Darryll Holland	127	b	777-46	52	67	32	4d	—	—	—	0.5	—	—
Didn't enjoy the best of runs when Wolver sixth latest; ought to be in the shake-up

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
True Blue Gent	9/4	15/8	2/1	13/8	2/1
Saxon Magic	9/2	4/1	9/2	10/3	4/1
Eccentric	4/1	5/1	11/2	9/2	5/1
Glen Heste	11/2	11/2	11/2	4/1	9/2
Terratino Fire	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Maverick Style	11/1	9/1	17/2	9/1	9/1
Run Joy Run	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1
High Sport	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Lunar Rocks	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Sicilian Sosizza	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

True Blue Gent

16.6

OR: 2.3 Form: 5 Odds: 9.4

9/4

2nd

Glen Heste

10.2

OR: 0.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

3rd

Mulciber

9.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Saxon Magic

7.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

9/2

Eccentric

6.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Run Joy Run

6.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Terratino Fire

4.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Maverick Style

3.9

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

High Sport

3.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Trois Blancs

1.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lunar Rocks

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Sicilian Sosizza

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Catena

0.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Saxon Magic	60	73	30
True Blue Gent	59	70	53
Mulciber	59	66	39
Eccentric	58	59	38
High Sport	58	68	49
Maverick Style	56	67	53
Terratino Fire	55	67	37
Trois Blancs	55	68	—
Glen Heste	53	70	61
Catena	52	67	32
Run Joy Run	46	68	53
Lunar Rocks	46	53	—
Sicilian Sosizza	46	59	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Catena	4d ago	Quick return
Run Joy Run	10d ago	Quick return
Trois Blancs	11d ago	Quick return
Maverick Style	14d ago	Fit
High Sport	14d ago	Fit
Glen Heste	21d ago	Fit
Saxon Magic	32d ago	Fit
Terratino Fire	34d ago	Fit
True Blue Gent	35d ago	Fit
Sicilian Sosizza	35d ago	Fit
Mulciber	35d ago	Fit
Lunar Rocks	46d ago	Fresh
Eccentric	60d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.