BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:45

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2024-01-24

Distance 1m1y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Island Native Grey J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Appleby	J:Robert Havlin T:Michael Appleby	134	p	25-371	61	77	63	6d	—	—	-18	12.1	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Easy win at Chelmsford last week (1m), making all; well in under penalty; respected
6 (10)	Edmund Ironside Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	131	p	6122-4	58	74	68	10d	—	—	-11	7.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
In good form over C&D on last four starts; another wide draw but expected to be invovled
9 (9)	Rabinal Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Simon Dow	J:Rossa Ryan T:Simon Dow	130	—	1357-2	57	75	67	10d	—	—	-4	11.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Pulled hard but finished with a flourish over C&D latest; well handicapped; contender
5 (6)	Delta Legend Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Rowan Scott T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	132	b	94306-	59	71	46	34d	—	—	-2	6	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Stayed on for 6th over 1m3f at Southwell last month (blinkered 1st time); down in trip
1 (4)	Top Button Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Jack Jones	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Jack Jones	135	h	344-40	62	75	65	3d	—	—	-3	5.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Flopped tried in cheekpieces on Sunday but promising beforehand; hooded today; chance
7 (1)	Fitz Perfectly Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	131	p	6872-0	58	75	67	16d	—	—	-3	3.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Second over C&D last month; below par 16 days ago; inconsistent but couldn't dismiss
10 (3)	Rivas Rob Roy Chestnut J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:John Gallagher	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:John Gallagher	129	b	046-49	56	71	38	14d	—	—	-1	2.4	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Prolific winner but he'll need to better this month's two Kempton runs if he's to feature
2 (7)	Aurora Charm Chestnut J:J F Egan T:Pat Phelan	J:J F Egan T:Pat Phelan	134	—	/4447-	61	74	-	132d	—	—	+2	3.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
No show in two handicap runs for this yard last year; drops in trip; still low mileage
8 (2)	Chourmo Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Mark Gillard	J:Liam Keniry T:Mark Gillard	131	—	6487/7	58	73	26	11d	—	—	+1	2.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Didn't run badly after a long absence on his stable debut; still not easily recommended
NR (8)	Give A Little Back Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Amy Murphy	J:NON-RUNNER T:Amy Murphy	133	tp	28795-	60	75	-	25d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Tricky to win with but he's on a good mark if the addition of a tongue-tie does the job

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Island Native	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8
Edmund Ironside	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Rabinal	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Delta Legend	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Top Button	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Fitz Perfectly	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Rivas Rob Roy	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Aurora Charm	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Chourmo	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Island Native

12.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

13/8

2nd

Rabinal

11.2

OR: 1.8 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Edmund Ironside

7.2

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Delta Legend

OR: 2.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Top Button

5.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Fitz Perfectly

3.9

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Give A Little Back

3.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

Aurora Charm

3.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Rivas Rob Roy

2.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Chourmo

2.3

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Top Button	62	75	65
Island Native	61	77	63
Aurora Charm	61	74	—
Give A Little Back	60	75	—
Delta Legend	59	71	46
Edmund Ironside	58	74	68
Fitz Perfectly	58	75	67
Chourmo	58	73	26
Rabinal	57	75	67
Rivas Rob Roy	56	71	38

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Top Button	3d ago	Quick return
Island Native	6d ago	Quick return
Edmund Ironside	10d ago	Quick return
Rabinal	10d ago	Quick return
Chourmo	11d ago	Quick return
Rivas Rob Roy	14d ago	Fit
Fitz Perfectly	16d ago	Fit
Give A Little Back	25d ago	Fit
Delta Legend	34d ago	Fit
Aurora Charm	132d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 1m1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 7 draws with historical results at this course and distance.