Stay Golden With BetMGM Safer Gambling Restricted Novice Stakes (For horses In Bands B-D) (GBB Race)

Lingfield (AW)

14:02

Date 2024-01-26

Distance 6f1y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,942

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (5)	Spirited Lad Bay J:George Rooke T:Karen Jewell	J:George Rooke T:Karen Jewell	133	—	7-3	-	83	62	20d	—	—	-16	11.4	0.56/1	9/4 31%
150-1 third at Kempton three weeks ago and he's a contender if reproducing that promise
1 (7)	Heathcliff Bay J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	133	—	82-	-	80	77	48d	—	—	-14	13.4	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Went close at Newcastle on second run; this well-bred colt is open to further improvement
8 (2)	War Bride Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Amy Murphy	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Amy Murphy	128	—	22-	-	86	73	30d	—	—	-6	14.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Runner-up at Wolverhampton on both starts, behind useful sort last time; one to consider
6 (4)	Harrier Man Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	129	—	75-	-	75	46	48d	—	—	-11	4.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Similar level of fair form on his two starts but improvement is needed today
5 (3)	Take Care Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Pat Murphy	J:Marco Ghiani T:Pat Murphy	131	—	6-	-	70	20	30d	—	—	-8	3.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Green when 6th on debut and could improve, but others have more substance to their claims
7 (1)	Scarlet Lady Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Philip McBride	J:Adam Farragher T:Philip McBride	128	b	76-	-	72	-	128d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Two quick starts in September; better form on second occasion; needs a big step forward
4 (8)	Sergeants Legacy Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	131	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	25.00/1	100/1 1%
12,000gns foal; half-brother to six winners; betting could be informative on debut
9 (6)	Niloufar Bay J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Harry Charlton	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:Harry Charlton	126	h	7-	-	-	-	227d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Half-sister to two winners but she was tailed off at 40-1 on debut at Salisbury last June
NR (9)	Different Breed Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon Hodgson	J:NON-RUNNER T:Simon Hodgson	138	—	232-21	72	85	-	2d	—	—	—	5.5	—	—
Off mark at 7th attempt in 7f novice here on Wednesday; strong claims under a 5lb penalty

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Spirited Lad	9/4	15/8	9/4	9/4	2/1
Heathcliff	11/4	9/4	9/4	5/2	2/1
War Bride	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2
Harrier Man	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Take Care	6/1	7/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Scarlet Lady	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	33/1
Sergeants Legacy	100/1	50/1	66/1	50/1	40/1
Niloufar	200/1	150/1	125/1	150/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

War Bride

14.7

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.2

7/2

2nd

Heathcliff

13.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 8.4

11/4

3rd

Spirited Lad

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 8.4

9/4

Different Breed

5.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Harrier Man

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Take Care

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Scarlet Lady

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Sergeants Legacy

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

100/1

Niloufar

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Different Breed	72	85	—
Spirited Lad	—	83	62
Heathcliff	—	80	77
War Bride	—	86	73
Harrier Man	—	75	46
Take Care	—	70	20
Scarlet Lady	—	72	—
Sergeants Legacy	—	—	—
Niloufar	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Different Breed	2d ago	Quick return
Spirited Lad	20d ago	Fit
War Bride	30d ago	Fit
Take Care	30d ago	Fit
Heathcliff	48d ago	Fresh
Harrier Man	48d ago	Fresh
Scarlet Lady	128d ago	Long break
Niloufar	227d ago	Long break
Sergeants Legacy	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 6f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.