Bet Responsibly At Vickers.Bet Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Fontwell

16:30

Date 2024-01-28

Distance 2m1f162y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-6yo

Prize £2,451

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Bond Broker Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	158	—	1-3	-	112	98	69d	—	—	-14	21.4	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Joined Paul Nicholls after winning point debut; placed at Exeter in November; a player
5	Silver Thorn Grey J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-13	5.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Out of a Flat-winning half-sister to Champion Hurdler Katchit; no surprise if he features
6	Tom Doniphon Brown J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	158	—	4-2	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	9.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Bought for £55,000 after coming second in slow-ground Irish point in October; rules debut
4	Lumi Plugin Bay J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	J:Niall Houlihan T:Gary Moore	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Brother to stable's useful jumpers Robin's Dream and Jerrash; looks the part on paper
11	Chocolate Hobbnob Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Amanda Perrett	J:Brendan Powell T:Amanda Perrett	142	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Out of half-sister to smart jumpers Deep Purple and Conquisto; rare bumper runner for yard
8	Ellie's Warrior Bay J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Ben Clarke	J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Ben Clarke	151	—	6	-	104	54	41d	—	—	-4	1.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Beaten about 21l when sixth at Plumpton last month; improvement needed here
3	John Balliol Bay J:Rex Dingle T:George Baker	J:Rex Dingle T:George Baker	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Out of a fairly useful 1m4f AW winner; market may guide on debut
9	Grenadier Jed Bay J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Robert Walford	J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Robert Walford	145	—	5	-	104	91	47d	—	—	-2	0.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Safely held when fifth of nine (albeit on heavy ground) at Wincanton last month
10	Staff Sergeant Len Bay J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Anthony Charlton	J:Bradley Harris(3) T:Anthony Charlton	145	—	P	-	-	-	27d	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ran as though something was amiss when 33-1 for Listed race at Cheltenham this month
7	Bella Cavalla Bay J:Thomasina Eyston(7) T:Neil Mulholland	J:Thomasina Eyston(7) T:Neil Mulholland	151	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Sister to a useful staying jumper; stable has pretty good record in bumpers
2	Fiftyfifty Brown J:Alex Edwards T:Laura Horsfall	J:Alex Edwards T:Laura Horsfall	158	—	33-7	-	77	49	41d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Made low-key start to rules career when seventh at Musselburgh last month
12	Surrey Nemesis Bay J:Ben Ffrench Davis(5) T:Adam West	J:Ben Ffrench Davis(5) T:Adam West	142	—	—	-	78	-	39d	—	—	-1	0.3	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Always behind when 150-1 for last month's debut at Newbury (soft)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Bond Broker	5/4	11/8	5/4	5/4	11/8
Silver Thorn	4/1	10/3	7/2	10/3	7/2
Tom Doniphon	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Lumi Plugin	10/1	17/2	10/1	9/1	9/1
Chocolate Hobbnob	18/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Ellie's Warrior	20/1	18/1	20/1	18/1	18/1
John Balliol	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1
Grenadier Jed	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Staff Sergeant Len	25/1	25/1	20/1	22/1	22/1
Bella Cavalla	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Fiftyfifty	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Surrey Nemesis	100/1	125/1	100/1	125/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bond Broker

21.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 11.4

11/8

2nd

Tom Doniphon

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

9/2

3rd

Silver Thorn

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Lumi Plugin

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

John Balliol

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Chocolate Hobbnob

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ellie's Warrior

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Staff Sergeant Len

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Grenadier Jed

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Bella Cavalla

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Fiftyfifty

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Surrey Nemesis

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bond Broker	—	112	98
Silver Thorn	—	—	—
Tom Doniphon	—	—	—
Lumi Plugin	—	—	—
Chocolate Hobbnob	—	—	—
Ellie's Warrior	—	104	54
John Balliol	—	—	—
Grenadier Jed	—	104	91
Staff Sergeant Len	—	—	—
Bella Cavalla	—	—	—
Fiftyfifty	—	77	49
Surrey Nemesis	—	78	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Staff Sergeant Len	27d ago	Fit
Surrey Nemesis	39d ago	Fit
Ellie's Warrior	41d ago	Fit
Fiftyfifty	41d ago	Fit
Grenadier Jed	47d ago	Fresh
Bond Broker	69d ago	Fresh
Silver Thorn	—	—
Tom Doniphon	—	—
Lumi Plugin	—	—
Chocolate Hobbnob	—	—
John Balliol	—	—
Bella Cavalla	—	—