BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap (Div I) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:30

BetUK. Home Of The Acca-Fenwa Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-01-30

Distance 6f16y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Back Tomorrow Bay J:Jason Hart T:Richard Spencer	J:Jason Hart T:Richard Spencer	132	—	2451-2	61	79	62	13d	—	—	-13	17.1	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Lightly raced; C&D winner on AW debut; race didn't pan out so well last time; solid
2 (3)	Revolucion Chestnut J:Rossa Ryan T:Joseph Parr	J:Rossa Ryan T:Joseph Parr	134	—	3415-5	63	78	62	25d	—	—	-16	11.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Unraced here; a win and close 2nd from five 6f Tapeta handicaps elsewhere; not ruled out
5 (2)	Kath's Toyboy Grey J:Sam James T:Kevin Frost	J:Sam James T:Kevin Frost	131	b	303-77	60	78	58	11d	—	—	-9	6.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Not quite on his game of late but temptingly treated relative to form here last spring
6 (8)	Porfin Bay J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	J:Grace McEntee(3) T:Phil McEntee	130	p	20787-	59	76	55	40d	—	—	-2	5.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Out of sorts since turf 2nd in August; on a good mark now though and has C&D form
1 (5)	Inanna Bay J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	J:Robert Havlin T:S Woods	135	tb	5607-9	64	76	60	19d	—	—	-1	5.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Good late work over 5f here in December; not as good latest; return to 6f can suit
8 (1)	Pierrefonds Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	126	h	767-9	55	71	36	13d	—	—	-4	3.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Likely better than shown in qualifying events at 7f and 6f; check market on handicap debut
3 (7)	Zargun Bay J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	J:Elisha Whittington(3) T:Scott Dixon	133	—	0099-5	62	75	53	12d	—	—	0	4.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has not beaten many rivals since returning in September from absence; right down weights
7 (6)	Eldeyaar Brown J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	128	—	2110-9	57	78	59	14d	—	—	-1	2.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Effective over C&D but both AW wins at Wolverhampton; well held on Tapeta since turf wins

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Back Tomorrow	15/8	7/4	15/8	7/4	13/8
Revolucion	5/2	9/4	5/2	9/4	9/4
Kath's Toyboy	9/2	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
Porfin	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Inanna	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Pierrefonds	16/1	14/1	9/1	14/1	14/1
Zargun	20/1	20/1	16/1	22/1	20/1
Eldeyaar	20/1	28/1	22/1	28/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Back Tomorrow

17.1

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 9.4

15/8

2nd

Revolucion

11.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

3rd

Kath's Toyboy

6.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Porfin

5.4

OR: 2.3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Inanna

5.2

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Zargun

4.2

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Pierrefonds

3.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Eldeyaar

2.7

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Inanna	64	76	60
Revolucion	63	78	62
Zargun	62	75	53
Back Tomorrow	61	79	62
Kath's Toyboy	60	78	58
Porfin	59	76	55
Eldeyaar	57	78	59
Pierrefonds	55	71	36

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kath's Toyboy	11d ago	Quick return
Zargun	12d ago	Quick return
Back Tomorrow	13d ago	Quick return
Pierrefonds	13d ago	Quick return
Eldeyaar	14d ago	Fit
Inanna	19d ago	Fit
Revolucion	25d ago	Fit
Porfin	40d ago	Fit