Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

17:00

Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap

Date 2024-01-31

Distance 1m2f219y

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (3)	Charlie's Choice Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	J:Callum Shepherd T:David Simcock	135	—	5354-1	67	79	55	24d	—	—	-7	23.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Well backed when winning a Class 6 at Wolverhampton this month; one to consider
7 (2)	Luna Effect Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:Roger Varian	133	p	673-22	65	80	51	14d	—	—	-13	11	0.83/1	10/3 23%
0-10 & expensive to follow but he's been knocking on the door off this mark; new headgear
12 (12)	Mr Boson Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Hughie Morrison	J:Jason Hart T:Hughie Morrison	131	—	6/20-8	63	78	59	19d	—	—	-4	5.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Ran well over 1m on h'cap debut here last May; sharper for recent return; new trip today
11 (9)	Star Of Sussex Bay J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	J:Tom Queally T:Gary Moore	131	—	5580-6	63	75	50	16d	—	—	-3	5.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
No significant impact in handicaps but latest run did hint that better could be on the way
3 (1)	Lookingdandy Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	J:Rossa Ryan T:David Evans	138	—	657-0	68	71	35	18d	—	—	-1	6.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Not obviously well treated but Rossa Ryan booked and better could be on the cards
6 (4)	Sea Of Charm Bay J:William Cox T:Georgina Nicholls	J:William Cox T:Georgina Nicholls	135	v	27916-	65	74	69	36d	—	—	+7	13.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Not at best on Boxing Day but pick of her AW efforts since September gives her a squeak
10 (8)	Gonnetot Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	132	—	55/82-	62	75	48	268d	—	—	-3	5.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Promising handicap debut (1m2f) when last seen in May; still has time to do better
1 (10)	Moonlit Cloud Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	J:Robert Havlin T:Dean Ivory	140	—	12205-	70	76	-	174d	—	—	+7	12.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Two turf wins last May; returns from a break but has shown promise over C&D
9 (6)	Grigio Grey J:David Probert T:Simon Pearce	J:David Probert T:Simon Pearce	133	—	06808-	65	71	57	48d	—	—	+1	4.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
No progress in two handicaps this winter; longer trip needs to spark something extra
2 (11)	Let Her Loose Chestnut J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	140	—	25-009	70	74	51	11d	—	—	+3	5.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Three heavy defeats this month but drops in class & Hollie Doyle takes over; check market
8 (5)	Sir Laurence Graff Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	133	—	0050-7	65	73	42	29d	—	—	+2	4.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Struggling for current stable but tumbling down weights & needs a market check
13 (7)	Logistical Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	128	v	/347-9	60	69	50	17d	—	—	+1	3.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
100-1 and never featured on recent stable debut; too much to prove for now
NR (13)	Uzincso Bay J:TBC T:John Butler	J: T:John Butler	138	p	5504-3	68	79	63	7d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
Multiple 1m winner here; on reduced mark but does have to prove his stamina

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Charlie's Choice	2/1	2/1	7/4	2/1	15/8
Luna Effect	3/1	3/1	11/4	10/3	11/4
Mr Boson	7/1	8/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Star Of Sussex	9/1	10/1	10/1	17/2	10/1
Lookingdandy	12/1	10/1	11/1	9/1	9/1
Sea Of Charm	16/1	12/1	14/1	11/1	12/1
Gonnetot	9/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Moonlit Cloud	20/1	16/1	16/1	12/1	16/1
Grigio	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Let Her Loose	25/1	33/1	33/1	25/1	28/1
Sir Laurence Graff	28/1	40/1	40/1	28/1	40/1
Logistical	50/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Charlie's Choice

23.6

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 9.4

2/1

2nd

Sea Of Charm

13.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.7

16/1

3rd

Moonlit Cloud

12.6

OR: 5 Form: 6 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Luna Effect

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

10/3

Uzincso

7.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Lookingdandy

6.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Mr Boson

5.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Let Her Loose

5.8

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Star Of Sussex

5.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Gonnetot

5.1

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Grigio

4.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Sir Laurence Graff

4.5

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Logistical

3.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Moonlit Cloud	70	76	—
Let Her Loose	70	74	51
Lookingdandy	68	71	35
Uzincso	68	79	63
Charlie's Choice	67	79	55
Luna Effect	65	80	51
Sea Of Charm	65	74	69
Grigio	65	71	57
Sir Laurence Graff	65	73	42
Mr Boson	63	78	59
Star Of Sussex	63	75	50
Gonnetot	62	75	48
Logistical	60	69	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Uzincso	7d ago	Quick return
Let Her Loose	11d ago	Quick return
Luna Effect	14d ago	Fit
Star Of Sussex	16d ago	Fit
Logistical	17d ago	Fit
Lookingdandy	18d ago	Fit
Mr Boson	19d ago	Fit
Charlie's Choice	24d ago	Fit
Sir Laurence Graff	29d ago	Fit
Sea Of Charm	36d ago	Fit
Grigio	48d ago	Fresh
Moonlit Cloud	174d ago	Long break
Gonnetot	268d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m2f219y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.