Unibet Support Safe Gambling Novice Stakes – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

18:00

Unibet Support Safe Gambling Novice Stakes

Date 2024-01-31

Distance 7f

Class Class 5

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,780

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	King's Vanity Bay J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	J:William Carver(3) T:Andrew Balding	137	—	5-1	-	93	53	17d	—	—	-21	25.4	0.21/1	5/6 55%
Posted a solid effort at Newcastle then beat Alexandretta by 1l at Lingfield; respected
7 (3)	Alexandretta Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	125	b	/223-2	76	92	57	17d	—	—	-2	17.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Frustrating sort but ties in closely with King's Vanity on latest effort; not written off
2 (2)	Thats Dandy Harry Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roger Teal	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Roger Teal	137	t	1-	-	79	29	32d	—	—	+1	13.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
The form of his Wolverhampton win is nothing special but he looks open to progress
5 (4)	Metaverse Chestnut J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	J:Kyle Strydom T:David Menuisier	130	—	6-6	-	83	49	14d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has shown ability in both runs but handicaps may be his ideal scene
4 (5)	King's Conquest Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Shaun Lycett	J:Rossa Ryan T:Shaun Lycett	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Kingman half-brother to four winners; yard not associated with debut scorers
6 (7)	Sugar Hill Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Boughey	J:Daniel Muscutt T:George Boughey	130	ht	437-	-	88	-	265d	—	—	0	3	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Looked far from straightforward on final start for Charles Hills; comes with risk
3 (6)	Elusive Empire Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	130	—	86229-	74	82	18	165d	—	—	+10	12.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Best form when runner-up in his only two attempts over 7f; possibilities

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
King's Vanity	5/6	5/6	5/6	5/6	4/5
Alexandretta	9/2	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Thats Dandy Harry	13/2	6/1	6/1	5/1	6/1
Metaverse	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
King's Conquest	10/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Sugar Hill	25/1	28/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Elusive Empire	33/1	33/1	25/1	25/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

King's Vanity

25.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 15.4

5/6

2nd

Alexandretta

17.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

9/2

3rd

Thats Dandy Harry

13.6

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Elusive Empire

12.8

OR: 6 Form: 6 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Sugar Hill

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Metaverse

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

King's Conquest

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Alexandretta	76	92	57
Elusive Empire	74	82	18
King's Vanity	—	93	53
Thats Dandy Harry	—	79	29
Metaverse	—	83	49
King's Conquest	—	—	—
Sugar Hill	—	88	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Metaverse	14d ago	Fit
King's Vanity	17d ago	Fit
Alexandretta	17d ago	Fit
Thats Dandy Harry	32d ago	Fit
Elusive Empire	165d ago	Long break
Sugar Hill	265d ago	Long break
King's Conquest	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.