Stewart Tory Memorial Open Hunters' Chase – Wincanton

Wincanton

16:15

Stewart Tory Memorial Open Hunters' Chase

Date 2024-02-01

Distance 3m1f30y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £3,229

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Goose Man Bay J:Mr Zac Baker T:Jamie Snowden	J:Mr Zac Baker T:Jamie Snowden	166	—	U61/14	128	130	110	62d	—	—	-1	28.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Ran well in a good 2m4f handicap last time; stays this far and stable is in form
1	Lalor Bay J:Mr Charlie Sprake(7) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Mr Charlie Sprake(7) T:Paul Nicholls	174	t	P36P1/	142	-	-	670d	—	—	+20	37.6	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Classy on his day; interesting to see what the market makes of him after so long out
8	Polish Bay J:Mr Tom Broughton(3) T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Mr Tom Broughton(3) T:Fergal O'Brien	166	—	222273	118	126	79	50d	—	—	+12	30.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Modest overall strike-rate and may be found wanting on hunter chase debut
3	Wick Green Bay J:Mr Peter Mason(5) T:Ben Pauling	J:Mr Peter Mason(5) T:Ben Pauling	174	p	113348	122	123	91	48d	—	—	+12	26.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Two good runs in handicaps before running well on Cheltenham's cross-country course
6	Quintin's Man Bay J:Mr Darren Andrews(5) T:J Heard	J:Mr Darren Andrews(5) T:J Heard	170	—	2-1533	120	123	98	—	—	—	+15	23.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won at Cheltenham last May; beaten in recent points but he'll be running on at the finish
4	Lakota Warrior Brown J:Mr Darren Edwards T:D Summersby	J:Mr Darren Edwards T:D Summersby	170	—	72-124	114	120	90	24d	—	—	+11	17.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
It was a useful hunter chase in which he was beaten only 11l at Taunton recently
5	Myth Buster Bay J:Miss Lily Bradstock(7) T:Mrs Sara V Bradstock	J:Miss Lily Bradstock(7) T:Mrs Sara V Bradstock	170	b	2-3524	125	126	105	—	—	—	+19	23.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Could go well, though it's a bit late in the day to be trying new headgear
NR	Lieutenant Rocco Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Syd Hosie	J:NON-RUNNER T:Syd Hosie	174	t	4P14-P	125	132	-	37d	—	—	—	18.8	—	—
Ability respected but ran a laboured race here last month after 286 days away

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Goose Man	7/4	15/8	15/8	15/8	7/4
Lalor	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1
Polish	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Wick Green	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Quintin's Man	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Lakota Warrior	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Myth Buster	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lalor

37.6

OR: 23 Form: 9.6 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Polish

30.2

OR: 17 Form: 8 Odds: 5.2

9/2

3rd

Goose Man

28.4

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

15/8

Wick Green

26.4

OR: 18 Form: 4.4 Odds: 4

5/1

Myth Buster

23.6

OR: 18.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Quintin's Man

23.4

OR: 17.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Lieutenant Rocco

18.8

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Lakota Warrior

17.9

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lalor	142	—	—
Goose Man	128	130	110
Myth Buster	125	126	105
Lieutenant Rocco	125	132	—
Wick Green	122	123	91
Quintin's Man	120	123	98
Polish	118	126	79
Lakota Warrior	114	120	90

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Lakota Warrior	24d ago	Fit
Lieutenant Rocco	37d ago	Fit
Wick Green	48d ago	Fresh
Polish	50d ago	Fresh
Goose Man	62d ago	Fresh
Lalor	670d ago	Long break
Quintin's Man	—	—
Myth Buster	—	—