Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

18:15

Unibet Support Safe Gambling Handicap

Date 2024-02-03

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (4)	Volkan Bey Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Stuart Williams	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Stuart Williams	135	—	906-	55	57	-	152d	—	—	-19	10.1	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Likely improver now upped in trip and switched to low-grade handicaps; betting to guide
2 (7)	Aspire To Glory Bay J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Alice Haynes	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:Alice Haynes	133	ht	5581-1	53	64	45	20d	—	—	-6	18	0.69/1	11/4 27%
2-2 in these accessories, including C&D; should remain competitive up just 1lb
6 (2)	Tea Leaf Ted Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	128	p	093-29	48	62	52	17d	—	—	-12	5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two placed efforts over C&D this winter; caught wide when disappointing latest; e-w claims
4 (6)	Surface To Air Grey J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	J:Hollie Doyle T:David Evans	131	b	3075-3	51	61	41	14d	—	—	-5	6.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
0-12 but ran well at Wolverhampton last time and holds each-way claims again
5 (3)	Si Si La Bonne Bay J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:Jonathan Portman	J:Olivia Tubb(7) T:Jonathan Portman	129	—	5589-2	49	63	36	14d	—	—	-1	7.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Improved 2nd at Wolverhampton two weeks ago; may do better yet
8 (1)	Aye Fred Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	126	b	70-6	46	58	24	14d	—	—	-4	1.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Poor form in maiden/novice events; betting revealing now switched to handicaps
7 (8)	Birkie Boy Bay J:David Probert T:J S Moore	J:David Probert T:J S Moore	126	—	7130-6	46	63	47	20d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ran well over C&D in November; unplaced in races won by Aspire To Glory the last twice
3 (9)	Cherryblossom Time Bay J:William Cox T:Roger Teal	J:William Cox T:Roger Teal	132	—	887-5	52	56	27	20d	—	—	-2	1.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Not far behind Aspire To Glory last time and she's still got time to do better
9 (5)	Tejesueno Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Simon Dow	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Simon Dow	126	—	0600-3	46	62	53	12d	—	—	+1	3.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Latest 6f 3rd here was better; return to 7f a plus but more will be needed to win

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Volkan Bey	2/1	2/1	7/4	2/1	15/8
Aspire To Glory	5/2	5/2	11/4	9/4	5/2
Tea Leaf Ted	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	7/2
Surface To Air	7/1	7/1	6/1	13/2	13/2
Si Si La Bonne	10/1	10/1	17/2	10/1	9/1
Aye Fred	20/1	18/1	16/1	14/1	18/1
Birkie Boy	33/1	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Cherryblossom Time	40/1	40/1	50/1	33/1	33/1
Tejesueno	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Aspire To Glory

OR: 0.8 Form: 10 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Volkan Bey

10.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

Si Si La Bonne

7.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Surface To Air

6.6

OR: 0.3 Form: 3 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Tea Leaf Ted

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Tejesueno

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Aye Fred

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Cherryblossom Time

1.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Birkie Boy

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Volkan Bey	55	57	—
Aspire To Glory	53	64	45
Cherryblossom Time	52	56	27
Surface To Air	51	61	41
Si Si La Bonne	49	63	36
Tea Leaf Ted	48	62	52
Aye Fred	46	58	24
Birkie Boy	46	63	47
Tejesueno	46	62	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tejesueno	12d ago	Quick return
Surface To Air	14d ago	Fit
Si Si La Bonne	14d ago	Fit
Aye Fred	14d ago	Fit
Tea Leaf Ted	17d ago	Fit
Aspire To Glory	20d ago	Fit
Birkie Boy	20d ago	Fit
Cherryblossom Time	20d ago	Fit
Volkan Bey	152d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.