Race And Stay At Leopardstown Handicap Hurdle (Listed Race)

Leopardstown

15:00

Date 2024-02-03

Distance 3m104y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €59,000

Runners (24)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
14	Fine Margin Bay J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	156	—	5429-2	127	141	135	70d	—	—	+13	28.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
0-7 under rules but big run on yard debut at Haydock and Crambo (3rd) won Long Walk since
16	Canal End Bay J:Mark Walsh T:Peter Fahey	J:Mark Walsh T:Peter Fahey	154	—	631-53	125	141	109	56d	—	—	+9	22.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
In good form; well backed fav when stepped up to this trip latest, finishing 3rd of 16
19	Music Of Tara Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	151	t	322-31	122	140	122	37d	—	—	+11	20.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Finally won under rules here latest; point winner who may relish further now
6	Shanbally Kid Bay J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:W P Mullins	162	—	/418-4	133	130	110	56d	—	—	+12	24.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Maiden hurdle winner before tailed off at Cheltenham; may resume progress on h'cap bow
12	Nine Graces Bay J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Barry Connell	J:Michael O'Sullivan T:Barry Connell	157	t	11-533	128	142	96	37d	—	—	+13	21.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Won twice last season and in good form this term; beaten 1l here latest; should go well
22	Park Of Kings Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Paul Nolan	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Paul Nolan	143	t	-01133	114	141	119	39d	—	—	+24	31	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won 2 h'cap hurdles this term; has run well in defeat since; stamina for this trip unknown
10	Gaoth Chuil Bay J:Shane O'Callaghan(5) T:T M Walsh	J:Shane O'Callaghan(5) T:T M Walsh	158	—	1P-221	129	140	94	37d	—	—	+14	22.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Dual course winner in good form this year; won here latest; 6lb higher but can go well
13	Will Do Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	157	—	21-116	128	139	90	56d	—	—	+15	21.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Beaten in bid for a 4-timer on h'cap debut latest but ground was testing and may do better
5	Panda Boy Grey J:J J Slevin T:Martin Brassil	J:J J Slevin T:Martin Brassil	163	p	F5-442	134	143	-	38d	—	—	+15	23.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Course winner; has improved over fences since last seen over timber; reduced hurdle mark
20	Black Bamboo Bay J:Daniel King(3) T:John Joseph Murphy	J:Daniel King(3) T:John Joseph Murphy	150	h	-23516	121	141	124	39d	—	—	+22	28.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Didn't need to improve to win Cork maiden hurdle; drop in trip against him since
8	Yeats Star Bay J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Danny Gilligan(5) T:Gordon Elliott	160	—	432113	131	137	121	36d	—	—	+34	38.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Lightly raced improver; won 2 of last 3 starts and shaped like this trip may suit
24	Ishan Bay J:Phillip Enright T:S Curling	J:Phillip Enright T:S Curling	141	—	-08121	112	137	116	37d	—	—	+31	35.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Won 2 of last 3 but needs a lot more from 8lb higher in a race of this depth
1	Maxxum Bay J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Carl Millar(7) T:Gordon Elliott	166	—	0-145P	137	140	87	37d	—	—	+20	22.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Pulled up here over Christmas, a race he had won the previous year; on a tough mark
11	Sequestered Bay J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Paul John Gilligan	J:Jack G Gilligan(7) T:Paul John Gilligan	158	—	412164	129	143	115	13d	—	—	+24	29.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
In good form last year, winning twice; struggled last 2 starts but fair mark for h'cap bow
21	Starzov Brown J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:P J Rothwell	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:P J Rothwell	150	—	1300-4	121	143	121	84d	—	—	+16	18.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Won 2m novice hurdle last term; Aintree return was okay; may find others on better marks
7	Ailie Rose Bay J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:S R B Crawford	J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:S R B Crawford	161	—	410-41	132	144	112	32d	—	—	+18	21.6	7.00/1	28/1 3%
4-17 over hurdles; Ayr winner last month; 1lb higher but this is much more competitive
9	Ballybawn Belter Bay J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:Liz Doyle	J:Charlie O'Dwyer(5) T:Liz Doyle	159	—	81-818	130	141	89	83d	—	—	+18	20.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won valuable race over shorter at this meeting last year; won 2 of 5 runs since; new trip
2	The Very Man Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Keith Donoghue T:Mrs John Harrington	166	p	39032-	137	141	105	—	—	—	+28	30.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
9th in this last year from this mark and hasn't shown enough over this sort of trip
3	Joyeux Machin Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	J:Sean Flanagan T:Paul Nolan	165	tp	134122	136	140	-	48d	—	—	+34	36.2	12.50/1	50/1 2%
2-6 over hurdles; below form in a match over fences latest; doesn't look well treated
23	Mollys Glory Bay J:Jake Coen(5) T:M C Grassick	J:Jake Coen(5) T:M C Grassick	142	t	2068-1	113	142	100	72d	—	—	+24	26.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Off the mark in mares' maiden hurdle at Thurles latest but this is a whole new ball game
15	Castle Field Boy Bay J:Simon Torrens T:Patrick T Foley	J:Simon Torrens T:Patrick T Foley	155	t	1-1PP2	126	140	74	21d	—	—	+24	26.7	17.50/1	70/1 1%
Won h'cap debut on return; bounced back from 2 poor runs when 2nd latest; up 3lb
18	Max Flamingo Bay J:Thomas Reilly(7) T:Francis Casey	J:Thomas Reilly(7) T:Francis Casey	152	b	P0-65P	123	136	120	63d	—	—	+17	18.6	27.50/1	110/1 1%
Struggling over fences and hurdles in recent times; lower hurdle mark helps but deep race
NR	Search For Glory Bay J:TBC T:Gordon Elliott	J: T:Gordon Elliott	165	tp	7-1314	136	139	94	39d	—	—	—	21.5	—	—
Highly tried last year; Grade 3 winner at Cork and ran well in Gr 2 since; drops in class
NR	Extrapolation Grey J:TBC T:Richard John O'Brien	J: T:Richard John O'Brien	154	—	618135	125	142	116	28d	—	—	—	27.9	—	—
Won 3 races on good or yielding last term; drying ground may help up in trip

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Fine Margin	5/1	11/2	11/2	4/1	9/2
Canal End	11/2	11/2	11/2	9/2	11/2
Music Of Tara	15/2	8/1	7/1	13/2	7/1
Shanbally Kid	11/1	7/1	9/1	6/1	6/1
Nine Graces	10/1	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1
Park Of Kings	12/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	11/1
Gaoth Chuil	10/1	10/1	10/1	8/1	9/1
Will Do	14/1	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Panda Boy	10/1	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1
Black Bamboo	16/1	16/1	14/1	11/1	12/1
Yeats Star	22/1	22/1	18/1	18/1	16/1
Ishan	28/1	28/1	22/1	16/1	22/1
Maxxum	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Sequestered	28/1	18/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Starzov	40/1	40/1	28/1	33/1	33/1
Ailie Rose	28/1	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Ballybawn Belter	33/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
The Very Man	50/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Joyeux Machin	50/1	33/1	33/1	40/1	33/1
Mollys Glory	50/1	50/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Castle Field Boy	70/1	50/1	66/1	28/1	50/1
Max Flamingo	110/1	100/1	80/1	100/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Yeats Star

38.7

OR: 20.3 Form: 17.1 Odds: 1.4

22/1

2nd

Joyeux Machin

36.2

OR: 21.5 Form: 14.1 Odds: 0.6

50/1

3rd

Ishan

35.2

OR: 15.5 Form: 18.5 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Park Of Kings

OR: 16 Form: 13.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

The Very Man

30.2

OR: 21.8 Form: 7.7 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Sequestered

29.9

OR: 19.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.6

28/1

Fine Margin

28.7

OR: 19.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Black Bamboo

28.4

OR: 17.8 Form: 8.9 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Extrapolation

27.9

OR: 18.8 Form: 9.1 Odds: 0

—

Castle Field Boy

26.7

OR: 19 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

70/1

Mollys Glory

26.5

OR: 15.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Shanbally Kid

24.1

OR: 20.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/1

Panda Boy

23.4

OR: 21 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Canal End

22.8

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Maxxum

22.5

OR: 21.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Gaoth Chuil

22.1

OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Nine Graces

21.9

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Ailie Rose

21.6

OR: 20.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Search For Glory

21.5

OR: 21.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Will Do

21.2

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Music Of Tara

20.9

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Ballybawn Belter

20.9

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Max Flamingo

18.6

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

110/1

Starzov

18.5

OR: 17.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Maxxum	137	140	87
The Very Man	137	141	105
Joyeux Machin	136	140	—
Search For Glory	136	139	94
Panda Boy	134	143	—
Shanbally Kid	133	130	110
Ailie Rose	132	144	112
Yeats Star	131	137	121
Ballybawn Belter	130	141	89
Gaoth Chuil	129	140	94
Sequestered	129	143	115
Nine Graces	128	142	96
Will Do	128	139	90
Fine Margin	127	141	135
Castle Field Boy	126	140	74
Canal End	125	141	109
Extrapolation	125	142	116
Max Flamingo	123	136	120
Music Of Tara	122	140	122
Black Bamboo	121	141	124
Starzov	121	143	121
Park Of Kings	114	141	119
Mollys Glory	113	142	100
Ishan	112	137	116

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sequestered	13d ago	Quick return
Castle Field Boy	21d ago	Fit
Extrapolation	28d ago	Fit
Ailie Rose	32d ago	Fit
Yeats Star	36d ago	Fit
Music Of Tara	37d ago	Fit
Nine Graces	37d ago	Fit
Gaoth Chuil	37d ago	Fit
Ishan	37d ago	Fit
Maxxum	37d ago	Fit
Panda Boy	38d ago	Fit
Park Of Kings	39d ago	Fit
Black Bamboo	39d ago	Fit
Search For Glory	39d ago	Fit
Joyeux Machin	48d ago	Fresh
Canal End	56d ago	Fresh
Shanbally Kid	56d ago	Fresh
Will Do	56d ago	Fresh
Max Flamingo	63d ago	Fresh
Fine Margin	70d ago	Fresh
Mollys Glory	72d ago	Fresh
Ballybawn Belter	83d ago	Fresh
Starzov	84d ago	Fresh
The Very Man	—	—