BetUK. Its Where The UK Bets Restricted Maiden Stakes (For Horses In Bands B-D) (GBB Race)

Southwell (AW)

17:30

Date 2024-02-05

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3-5yo

Prize £6,156

Runners (8)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (5)	Cast No Shadow Bay J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jason Hart T:Hugo Palmer	126	—	6424-8	73	89	77	33d	—	—	-17	16.4	0.47/1	15/8 35%
Well held over 6f latest but good chance on earlier 5f runs on Newcastle Tapeta
7 (1)	Quercine Bay J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Harry Davies T:Charlie Fellowes	119	p	42-	-	81	73	45d	—	—	-12	12.3	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Ran fast for a long way on 2nd start, over 5f at Wolverhampton; entitled to show up well
2 (3)	Big Blue Boy Bay J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	J:Ben Robinson T:David O'Meara	126	—	0-	-	22	-	261d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Bred to sprint but over 17l behind the winner on 5f turf debut last May; off since
8 (8)	Sparklight Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	119	—	22434-	67	88	66	145d	—	—	+2	11.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Thereabouts in all starts at sprint trips, including over C&D, but off since September
6 (7)	Tees Harriet Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	123	—	6	-	75	50	11d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Bred to be speedy; 40-1 for 5f Newcastle debut but showed ability; can improve
4 (6)	Exponential Brown J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	123	—	6-7	-	72	48	11d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Signs of some ability over 5f at Newcastle; very likely to be more at home in handicaps
5 (4)	Mariners Way Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	123	—	57-	-	82	39	59d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Just a hint of ability so far but sister Riversway did well for yard and 1-1 over C&D
1 (2)	Kipp Kelly Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	128	—	9	-	28	-	16d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Nicely bred but finished remote on 7f debut; best watched until handicapping

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cast No Shadow	15/8	15/8	13/8	15/8	13/8
Quercine	3/1	11/4	5/2	5/2	9/4
Big Blue Boy	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Sparklight	9/1	9/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Tees Harriet	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Exponential	12/1	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1
Mariners Way	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Kipp Kelly	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Cast No Shadow

16.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

15/8

2nd

Quercine

12.3

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

3/1

3rd

Sparklight

11.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 4.6 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Big Blue Boy

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Tees Harriet

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Exponential

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Mariners Way

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Kipp Kelly

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Cast No Shadow	73	89	77
Sparklight	67	88	66
Quercine	—	81	73
Big Blue Boy	—	22	—
Tees Harriet	—	75	50
Exponential	—	72	48
Mariners Way	—	82	39
Kipp Kelly	—	28	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tees Harriet	11d ago	Quick return
Exponential	11d ago	Quick return
Kipp Kelly	16d ago	Fit
Cast No Shadow	33d ago	Fit
Quercine	45d ago	Fit
Mariners Way	59d ago	Fresh
Sparklight	145d ago	Long break
Big Blue Boy	261d ago	Long break