Broadway & Horton Cricket Club Novices' Handicap Chase

Taunton

15:20

Date 2024-02-06

Distance 2m2f40y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £5,519

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Merry Monty Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	151	—	7/5522	83	105	58	36d	—	—	-17	20	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Finished well for second on chasing debut but today's much faster ground may not be ideal
2	Our Nel Chestnut J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Harry Fry	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Harry Fry	164	h	-32343	96	106	94	49d	—	—	+5	23.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Low-mileage mare; third behind two next-time-out winners on chasing debut; good chance
14	Etincelle Artiste Bay J:Rex Dingle T:Fiona Shaw	J:Rex Dingle T:Fiona Shaw	142	tp	83P-34	74	98	71	47d	—	—	-3	9.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
0-8 under rules but has each-way claims if judged on last May's Worcester third
4	Herecomeshogan Bay J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	J:James Best T:Martin Keighley	153	tv	P57862	85	104	83	22d	—	—	+8	16.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Arrested decline with good run in defeat at Hereford last month; one to consider
6	Howyouplaythegame Bay J:Craig Nichol T:Sam Allwood	J:Craig Nichol T:Sam Allwood	150	t	024-33	82	107	101	55d	—	—	+3	10.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Good third on seasonal debut and subsequent lesser effort on heavy ground is forgivable
8	Poet's Reflection Bay J:Sean Houlihan T:Linda Blackford	J:Sean Houlihan T:Linda Blackford	147	—	623-P8	79	106	-	49d	—	—	+1	9.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Safely held over hurdles, after a break, but made good start to chase career last spring
13	Noah's Light Bay J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Richenda Ford	J:Harry Kimber(3) T:Richenda Ford	142	tv	6P67P4	74	98	69	22d	—	—	+1	7.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Hurdle winner in Ireland in November 2021 but very disappointing for this stable since
7	Blue Ribbon Bay J:Kevin Brogan T:Ryan Chapman	J:Kevin Brogan T:Ryan Chapman	148	—	442-5P	80	110	91	36d	—	—	+4	8.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Pulled up last month, after a break, but today's faster ground ought to be more suitable
9	Tonto Foley Bay J:Ellis Collier(7) T:Christian Williams	J:Ellis Collier(7) T:Christian Williams	146	t	048-1P	78	-	-	219d	—	—	+3	8.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Hurdle winner last June; open to more improvement over fences but has fitness to prove
11	Sevenofus Bay J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Carroll Gray	J:Elizabeth Gale(7) T:Carroll Gray	142	—	3336-8	74	-	-	29d	—	—	+4	6.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Soundly beaten over hurdles on stable debut; has quite a bit to prove on chasing debut
3	No Mean Feat Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Alexandra Dunn	J:Nick Scholfield T:Alexandra Dunn	156	t	073P00	90	-	-	29d	—	—	+9	10.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
A well-beaten outsider in all three handicap hurdles; makes chasing debut today
10	Invincible Wish Bay J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Sarah-Jayne Davies	142	—	/62P-0	74	100	-	27d	—	—	+5	6.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Tailed off over hurdles last month, after a long absence; current ability hard to gauge
12	Broadoak Bay J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Fiona Shaw	J:Ben Godfrey(3) T:Fiona Shaw	142	t	4P-PPP	74	104	-	25d	—	—	+5	6.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Pulled up in four consecutive handicap chases since last spring and now 0-12 overall
NR	Trapista Bay J:NON-RUNNER(10) T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:NON-RUNNER(10) T:Jonjo O'Neill	168	—	242356	100	112	94	49d	—	—	—	15.5	—	—
Safely held when dropped to Class 5 last time and now 0-11 over fences; revival needed

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Merry Monty	6/4	13/8	6/4	13/8	6/4
Our Nel	9/2	7/2	4/1	9/2	4/1
Etincelle Artiste	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	6/1
Herecomeshogan	9/1	9/1	17/2	9/1	8/1
Howyouplaythegame	10/1	11/1	9/1	11/1	11/1
Poet's Reflection	9/1	11/1	17/2	10/1	10/1
Noah's Light	16/1	11/1	16/1	12/1	12/1
Blue Ribbon	22/1	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1
Tonto Foley	18/1	18/1	20/1	20/1	18/1
Sevenofus	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
No Mean Feat	40/1	50/1	33/1	40/1	40/1
Invincible Wish	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Broadoak	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Our Nel

23.3

OR: 11.5 Form: 6.6 Odds: 5.2

9/2

2nd

Merry Monty

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 11.8

13/8

3rd

Herecomeshogan

16.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Trapista

15.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

No Mean Feat

10.7

OR: 10 Form: 0.2 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Howyouplaythegame

10.1

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Etincelle Artiste

9.6

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Poet's Reflection

9.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Blue Ribbon

8.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Tonto Foley

8.4

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Noah's Light

7.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Sevenofus

6.8

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Invincible Wish

6.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Broadoak

6.4

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Trapista	100	112	94
Our Nel	96	106	94
No Mean Feat	90	—	—
Herecomeshogan	85	104	83
Merry Monty	83	105	58
Howyouplaythegame	82	107	101
Blue Ribbon	80	110	91
Poet's Reflection	79	106	—
Tonto Foley	78	—	—
Etincelle Artiste	74	98	71
Noah's Light	74	98	69
Sevenofus	74	—	—
Invincible Wish	74	100	—
Broadoak	74	104	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Herecomeshogan	22d ago	Fit
Noah's Light	22d ago	Fit
Broadoak	25d ago	Fit
Invincible Wish	27d ago	Fit
Sevenofus	29d ago	Fit
No Mean Feat	29d ago	Fit
Merry Monty	36d ago	Fit
Blue Ribbon	36d ago	Fit
Etincelle Artiste	47d ago	Fresh
Our Nel	49d ago	Fresh
Poet's Reflection	49d ago	Fresh
Trapista	49d ago	Fresh
Howyouplaythegame	55d ago	Fresh
Tonto Foley	219d ago	Long break