Kempton

14:10

Racing TV Profits Returned To Racing Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race)

Date 2024-02-09
Distance 2m5f
Class Class 4
Going Soft
Type Hurdle
Surface Turf
Age Band 4yo+
Prize £4,357

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
2
Masaccio
Grey
J:Tom Cannon
T:Alan King
J:Tom Cannon
T:Alan King
166 27-125
129
131
117
41d -29
39.8
0.04/1
1/6
86%
Has performed very well against smart opposition since winning hurdle debut; major player
4
Defi Nonantais
Bay
J:Brendan Powell
T:Joe Tizzard
J:Brendan Powell
T:Joe Tizzard
159 3-84
-
107
64
18d -6
5.2
2.00/1
8/1
11%
Fairly respectable fourth at Plumpton last month but others have much stronger form
5
Just One Surf
Bay
J:James Bowen
T:Warren Greatrex
J:James Bowen
T:Warren Greatrex
159 t 3-235
-
81
56
45d -5
5
2.00/1
8/1
11%
Placed in two points and a bumper but his hurdling debut was disappointing
9
There's Claude
Chestnut
J:Nick Scholfield
T:Polly Gundry
J:Nick Scholfield
T:Polly Gundry
159 323-76
-
106
77
49d -2
0.9
8.25/1
33/1
3%
Has a modicum of ability but faces a tough task here
13
Tough Approach
Bay
J:Jack Tudor
T:David Pipe
J:Jack Tudor
T:David Pipe
159 t 2-36P
-
85
58
17d 0
4.9
4.00/1
16/1
6%
Placed in a bumper but has dropped out of contention quickly on both hurdling starts
3
Dance To Fame
Bay
J:Niall Houlihan
T:Richard Rowe
J:Niall Houlihan
T:Richard Rowe
159 22/14/
-
-
-
830d -1
0.5
16.50/1
66/1
1%
Irish point winner in 2021; absent since low-key rules debut later that year
8
Pescatorius
Chestnut
J:Ben Poste
T:Harriet Dickin
J:Ben Poste
T:Harriet Dickin
159 0-747
-
85
76
32d -1
0.3
31.25/1
125/1
1%
Showed nothing more than minor promise on first two hurdling starts; handicaps beckon
12
Time To Smile
Bay
J:Robert Dunne
T:Noel Williams
J:Robert Dunne
T:Noel Williams
159 P0P-
-
-
-
287d -1
0.3
31.25/1
125/1
1%
Showed no significant promise in a bumper and two maiden hurdles for previous stable
NR
Gentle Slopes
Bay
J:TBC
T:Nicky Henderson
J:
T:Nicky Henderson
166 5135-1
123
123
94
27d
28.3
Listed bumper winner; won here (2m) on last month's stable debut; has more to offer
NR
Lilting Verse
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Fergal O'Brien
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Fergal O'Brien
159 t 417-14
115
119
-
51d
16.3
Won by 6l at Ludlow in November; below that form next time but still considered here
NR
Lunar Ocean
Brown
J:TBC
T:Paul Webber
J:
T:Paul Webber
159 06-U6
-
75
-
30d
0
Well beaten a triple-digit odds on both hurdling starts (2m/1m7f); moves up in trip today
NR
Thunder N Lightnin
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Harry Derham
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Harry Derham
159 t 32/62
-
111
68
41d
0
Needs to better the form of his Wincanton second but he has potential
NR
Tiger Blade
Bay
J:TBC
T:Harriet Brown
J:
T:Harriet Brown
159 6-6506
-
53
35
52d
0
Tailed off at huge prices on all three hurdling starts; impossible to recommend
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Masaccio
1/6 2/13 2/13 1/6 2/13
Defi Nonantais
8/1 13/2 13/2 7/1 7/1
Just One Surf
8/1 15/2 13/2 8/1 7/1
There's Claude
33/1 28/1 28/1 28/1 28/1
Tough Approach
16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1 16/1
Dance To Fame
66/1 50/1 50/1 50/1 50/1
Pescatorius
125/1 100/1 100/1 125/1 100/1
Time To Smile
125/1 100/1 100/1 100/1 100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Masaccio
39.8
OR: 19.8 Form: 0 Odds: 20
1/6
2nd Gentle Slopes
28.3
OR: 18.3 Form: 10 Odds: 0
3rd Lilting Verse
16.3
OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
4 Defi Nonantais
5.2
OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.1
8/1
5 Just One Surf
5
OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.9
8/1
6 Tough Approach
4.9
OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.4
16/1
7 There's Claude
0.9
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
33/1
8 Dance To Fame
0.5
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
66/1
9 Pescatorius
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
125/1
10 Time To Smile
0.3
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3
125/1
11 Lunar Ocean
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
12 Thunder N Lightnin
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0
13 Tiger Blade
0
OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Masaccio
129
131
117
Gentle Slopes
123
123
94
Lilting Verse
115
119
Defi Nonantais
107
64
Just One Surf
81
56
There's Claude
106
77
Tough Approach
85
58
Dance To Fame
Pescatorius
85
76
Time To Smile
Lunar Ocean
75
Thunder N Lightnin
111
68
Tiger Blade
53
35

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Tough Approach 17d ago Fit
Defi Nonantais 18d ago Fit
Gentle Slopes 27d ago Fit
Lunar Ocean 30d ago Fit
Pescatorius 32d ago Fit
Masaccio 41d ago Fit
Thunder N Lightnin 41d ago Fit
Just One Surf 45d ago Fit
There's Claude 49d ago Fresh
Lilting Verse 51d ago Fresh
Tiger Blade 52d ago Fresh
Time To Smile 287d ago Long break
Dance To Fame 830d ago Long break