Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:30

Find More Big Deals At BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-02-13

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,595

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (12)	Sibyl Charm Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	125	—	02-212	70	96	76	8d	—	—	-9	10.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Comes here in top form but her recent win came over 7f; good pace would suit
2 (8)	Tyke Bay J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	132	—	021-43	77	93	81	4d	—	—	-3	10.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
3 Southwell wins at this trip; this track may suit better than his last 2 races; contender
7 (4)	Grant Wood Grey J:Jason Hart T:Paul Midgley	J:Jason Hart T:Paul Midgley	128	—	/783-1	73	93	73	21d	—	—	+7	19.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Ran on well to win 7f handicap at Southwell 3 weeks ago; 5lb rise fair; drop in trip the ?
5 (11)	Dark Side Thunder Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	130	p	3155-3	75	94	81	21d	—	—	+2	12.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Comes here in good order but he'll need a career best to come out on top today
12 (2)	Secret Road Grey J:James Sullivan T:Tristan Davidson	J:James Sullivan T:Tristan Davidson	122	h	127-33	67	94	75	8d	—	—	-1	6.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Conditions to suit and he comes here in good form; likely to be invovled once again
9 (1)	Sir Maxi Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Billy Garritty T:Richard Fahey	127	—	183-95	72	94	70	11d	0W/0P 1 run	—	+1	7.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Course winner; disappointing latest; needs strong pace back at 6f but he's on a good mark
4 (5)	Illusionist Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	131	—	04338-	76	95	75	47d	—	—	+5	12	2.50/1	10/1 9%
On a losing run but better treated now and a strong pace would aid his cause
3 (7)	Master Dandy Chestnut J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:James Fanshawe	J:Tommie Jakes(7) T:James Fanshawe	132	—	31-2	77	88	63	29d	—	—	+7	13.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
A win and a 2nd in novice events this winter; opening mark doesn't look an obvious gift
11 (9)	Kats Bob Chestnut J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	J:Cam Hardie T:Iain Jardine	123	p	58-130	68	93	71	11d	—	—	+2	5.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Had excuses last time & better judged on earlier solid 6f form; each-way shout; yard run 2
8 (6)	El Montejean Bay J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	J:Harry Russell T:Mark Walford	127	—	00421-	72	94	-	177d	—	—	+17	19.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Game effort at Pontefract when last seen; can do better this year but may need this return
6 (10)	Hallowed Time Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	J:Billy Loughnane T:Mark Loughnane	129	p	4289-7	74	87	34	21d	—	—	+4	6.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Needs to step up on the form he's shown in two runs for his new yard this winter
1 (3)	Shobiz Bay J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	J:Jonny Peate(3) T:Roger Fell & Sean Murray	135	—	3127-8	80	89	27	28d	—	—	+6	8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Low-key stable debut here last month; should be sharper today but he'll need to be

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Sibyl Charm	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Tyke	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Grant Wood	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Dark Side Thunder	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Secret Road	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Sir Maxi	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Illusionist	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Master Dandy	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Kats Bob	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
El Montejean	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Hallowed Time	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Shobiz	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

El Montejean

19.8

OR: 5.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.8

25/1

2nd

Grant Wood

19.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.6

5/1

3rd

Master Dandy

13.7

OR: 6.8 Form: 5 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Dark Side Thunder

12.1

OR: 6.3 Form: 3 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Illusionist

OR: 6.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Tyke

10.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Sibyl Charm

10.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

3/1

Shobiz

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Sir Maxi

7.4

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Hallowed Time

6.7

OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Secret Road

6.4

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Kats Bob

5.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Shobiz	80	89	27
Tyke	77	93	81
Master Dandy	77	88	63
Illusionist	76	95	75
Dark Side Thunder	75	94	81
Hallowed Time	74	87	34
Grant Wood	73	93	73
Sir Maxi	72	94	70
El Montejean	72	94	—
Sibyl Charm	70	96	76
Kats Bob	68	93	71
Secret Road	67	94	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tyke	4d ago	Quick return
Sibyl Charm	8d ago	Quick return
Secret Road	8d ago	Quick return
Sir Maxi	11d ago	Quick return
Kats Bob	11d ago	Quick return
Grant Wood	21d ago	Fit
Dark Side Thunder	21d ago	Fit
Hallowed Time	21d ago	Fit
Shobiz	28d ago	Fit
Master Dandy	29d ago	Fit
Illusionist	47d ago	Fresh
El Montejean	177d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.