Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:00

Always Gamble Responsibly With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-02-13

Distance 5f

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £5,443

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (3)	Better Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	J:Billy Loughnane T:George Boughey	134	—	7051-	69	78	60	70d	—	—	-3	22.4	0.53/1	85/40 32%
Easy win dropped to 6f for nursery debut in December; up 11lb but should have more to come
1 (5)	Buzz Box Bay J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	J:Andrew Breslin(3) T:Bryan Smart	135	—	06-1	70	83	55	36d	—	—	+3	20	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Dead-heated on stable debut five weeks ago (form boosted); opening mark looks tempting
2 (2)	The Liegeman Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	134	p	4312-3	69	80	69	23d	—	—	-3	12.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Improved since handicapping but he took a backward step tried in this headgear latest
5 (8)	Moyola Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Lucinda Russell	J:Ryan Sexton T:Lucinda Russell	130	t	107-26	65	80	66	21d	—	—	-5	7.1	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Chance on his best AW form; today's drop back to 5f looks worth exploring
9 (9)	Pinpoint Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	J:Jason Hart T:Ewan Whillans	125	—	32326-	60	76	74	88d	—	—	+5	11.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Promising start for this yard when 6th over C&D in November (poor track position); gelded
7 (4)	Havana Prince Grey J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	J:Tom Eaves T:Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood	127	—	98815-	62	79	49	147d	—	—	+6	11.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
6f win here last September; absent since lesser run over 7f one week later
4 (7)	Graceful Mary Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:K R Burke	132	p	318-77	67	79	55	8d	—	—	+2	5.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Struggled in handicaps after a 6f maiden win; headgear now added; others look safer
8 (1)	Tees Douge Bay J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	J:Paddy Mathers T:Adrian Nicholls	127	—	63779-	62	78	-	139d	—	—	+2	4.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Inconsistent at two but he's got claims if returning to action in peak form
6 (6)	Soul Singer Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	127	—	676-9	62	68	42	19d	—	—	+2	3.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Faces a more realistic chance now handicapping but others bring more pressing claims

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Better	85/40	85/40	85/40	85/40	85/40
Buzz Box	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
The Liegeman	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Moyola	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Pinpoint	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Havana Prince	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Graceful Mary	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Tees Douge	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Soul Singer	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Better

22.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 10 Odds: 7.6

85/40

2nd

Buzz Box

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 5

7/2

3rd

The Liegeman

12.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Havana Prince

11.6

OR: 3 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Pinpoint

11.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Moyola

7.1

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Graceful Mary

5.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Tees Douge

4.8

OR: 3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Soul Singer

3.3

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Buzz Box	70	83	55
Better	69	78	60
The Liegeman	69	80	69
Graceful Mary	67	79	55
Moyola	65	80	66
Havana Prince	62	79	49
Tees Douge	62	78	—
Soul Singer	62	68	42
Pinpoint	60	76	74

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Graceful Mary	8d ago	Quick return
Soul Singer	19d ago	Fit
Moyola	21d ago	Fit
The Liegeman	23d ago	Fit
Buzz Box	36d ago	Fit
Better	70d ago	Fresh
Pinpoint	88d ago	Fresh
Tees Douge	139d ago	Long break
Havana Prince	147d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 5f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.