Grange Novice Handicap Chase – Clonmel

Clonmel

16:05

Grange Novice Handicap Chase

Date 2024-02-15

Distance 2m82y

Class

Going Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Mount Frisco Bay J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Liam Quinlan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	163	—	455131	110	115	76	16d	—	—	+19	37.3	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Front-runner in fine form of late; 5yo unexposed chasing and sure to make bold bid again
10	Junot Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Michael Winters	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Michael Winters	143	—	8P4342	90	-	-	22d	—	—	+4	21	1.00/1	4/1 20%
5yo touched off in recent Fairyhouse handicap hurdle; tries chasing
5	Itwasfate Bay J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	166	p	5328F2	111	119	107	34d	—	—	+11	25.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Good Naas second last month makes him a major player off just 1lb higher
1	Dundaniel Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Michael G Kennedy	J:Jack Kennedy T:Michael G Kennedy	168	—	1-3253	113	115	94	77d	—	—	+16	25.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Consistent form in handicaps this term, 2m6f stretched him latest; back in trip here
2	Dutch Schultz Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	168	—	21F376	113	116	72	22d	—	—	+13	20.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Can't be ruled out here dropped in class for handicap chase debut
9	Mick Charlie Bay J:Kevin Sexton T:Declan Queally	J:Kevin Sexton T:Declan Queally	146	t	P91421	91	117	-	45d	—	—	+21	29.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Veteran in good form hurdling of late but unconvincing so far chasing in light campaign
7	Cosmic Rock Bay J:G B Noonan(5) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:G B Noonan(5) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	154	t	81/553	99	-	-	50d	—	—	+8	14	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Good form hurdling of late; belated chasing debut but not one to rule out
8	Chainofconsequence Bay J:Philip Donovan(5) T:Michael J McDonagh	J:Philip Donovan(5) T:Michael J McDonagh	151	b	296139	96	115	102	19d	—	—	+14	20.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Coughing when below-par latest; claims on earlier C&D third
3	Invictus Machin Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	167	—	0-707F	112	110	74	34d	—	—	+13	16.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
No spark yet chasing and has to jump better
4	Mc Alpine Bay J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	J:Simon Torrens T:P J Rothwell	167	t	-U967F	112	113	87	19d	—	—	+14	15.9	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Dual hurdles winner on better ground; not much of note chasing, needs to jump better

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mount Frisco	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Junot	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Itwasfate	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Dundaniel	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Dutch Schultz	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Mick Charlie	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Cosmic Rock	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Chainofconsequence	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Invictus Machin	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Mc Alpine	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Mount Frisco

37.3

OR: 15 Form: 17.1 Odds: 5.2

10/3

2nd

Mick Charlie

29.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 16.5 Odds: 2.4

8/1

3rd

Dundaniel

25.4

OR: 15.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Itwasfate

25.3

OR: 15.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 4

9/2

Junot

OR: 10 Form: 6.2 Odds: 4.8

4/1

Dutch Schultz

20.9

OR: 15.8 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Chainofconsequence

20.5

OR: 11.5 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Invictus Machin

16.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Mc Alpine

15.9

OR: 15.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Cosmic Rock

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Dundaniel	113	115	94
Dutch Schultz	113	116	72
Invictus Machin	112	110	74
Mc Alpine	112	113	87
Itwasfate	111	119	107
Mount Frisco	110	115	76
Cosmic Rock	99	—	—
Chainofconsequence	96	115	102
Mick Charlie	91	117	—
Junot	90	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mount Frisco	16d ago	Fit
Chainofconsequence	19d ago	Fit
Mc Alpine	19d ago	Fit
Junot	22d ago	Fit
Dutch Schultz	22d ago	Fit
Itwasfate	34d ago	Fit
Invictus Machin	34d ago	Fit
Mick Charlie	45d ago	Fit
Cosmic Rock	50d ago	Fresh
Dundaniel	77d ago	Fresh