British EBF Mares' Open National Hunt Flat Race (Category 1 Elimination) (GBB Race)

Ascot

4:45

Date 2024-02-17

Distance 1m7f152y

Class Class 2

Going Good To Soft

Type NH Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4-6yo

Prize £8,169

Runners (11)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
1	Anno Power b J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	J:Jonathan Burke T:Harry Fry	156	h	2	-	113	104	89d	—	—	-19	16.4	5/4 44%
Encouraging second of 12 at Exeter; hood fitted today; likely to improve; big chance
10	Nala The Lioness b J:Harry Cobden T:K R Burke	J:Harry Cobden T:K R Burke	144	—	22	-	102	-	18d	—	—	-1	12.1	5/1 17%
Flat bred and in a Flat stable; beaten a head and a neck in two AW races at Newcastle
4	Hit For Sixty ch J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	J:Tom Cannon T:Alan King	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-8	3.1	6/1 14%
Very plausible pedigree for a race of this nature; stable 13% in bumpers since April 2019
5	Khutulun Khan b J:Nico de Boinville T:Lucy Wadham	J:Nico de Boinville T:Lucy Wadham	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.2	17/2 11%
72,000euros 3yo; trainer and owner won this race in 2021; makes some appeal on paper
9	Roaring Home b J:Stan Sheppard T:Henry Daly	J:Stan Sheppard T:Henry Daly	156	—	2	-	110	77	43d	—	—	-1	7.1	9/1 10%
Ran a race full of promise when second at Ludlow; could improve plenty; high on the list
6	Lady Jago ch J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	156	—	1-73	-	107	73	43d	—	—	+3	8.4	14/1 7%
Point winner; faded after going well when third in Ludlow bumper; unlikely to be far away
7	Moet At Upton b J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	156	—	P-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1.3	16/1 6%
Sister to three winners; pulled up in a point last spring; has joined an excellent stable
8	Realta Liath gr J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	156	—	13	-	107	63	61d	—	—	+7	11.1	18/1 5%
Winning pointer; green when third on bumper debut; should improve for that experience
3	Briery Butterfly b J:Alice Stevens T:Henry Daly	J:Alice Stevens T:Henry Daly	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	28/1 3%
From a useful NH family but most of its winners have come over obstacles/longer distances
11	Surrey Nemesis b J:Lee Edwards T:Adam West	J:Lee Edwards T:Adam West	144	t	00	-	66	-	20d	—	—	0	0.1	150/1 1%
No promise at triple-figure odds at Newbury or Fontwell; difficult to recommend
NR	Barra Blue b J:TBC T:Fergal O'Brien	J: T:Fergal O'Brien	156	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—
Newcomer by Blue Bresil; yard has a 17% strike-rate in bumpers and won this race last year

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Anno Power	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4	5/4
Nala The Lioness	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Hit For Sixty	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Khutulun Khan	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Roaring Home	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Lady Jago	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Moet At Upton	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Realta Liath	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Briery Butterfly	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Surrey Nemesis	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Anno Power

16.4

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4

5/4

2nd

Nala The Lioness

12.1

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

5/1

3rd

Realta Liath

11.1

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Lady Jago

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Roaring Home

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Hit For Sixty

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Khutulun Khan

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Moet At Upton

1.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.3

16/1

Briery Butterfly

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

28/1

Surrey Nemesis

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

150/1

Barra Blue

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Anno Power	—	113	104
Nala The Lioness	—	102	—
Hit For Sixty	—	—	—
Khutulun Khan	—	—	—
Roaring Home	—	110	77
Lady Jago	—	107	73
Moet At Upton	—	—	—
Realta Liath	—	107	63
Briery Butterfly	—	—	—
Surrey Nemesis	—	66	—
Barra Blue	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Nala The Lioness	18d ago	Fit
Surrey Nemesis	20d ago	Fit
Roaring Home	43d ago	Fit
Lady Jago	43d ago	Fit
Realta Liath	61d ago	Fresh
Anno Power	89d ago	Fresh
Hit For Sixty	—	—
Khutulun Khan	—	—
Moet At Upton	—	—
Briery Butterfly	—	—
Barra Blue	—	—