At The Races App Market Movers Handicap Chase – Southwell

Southwell

14:25

At The Races App Market Movers Handicap Chase

Date 2024-02-18

Distance 2m4f88y

Class Class 5

Going Heavy

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Noche Negra Bay J:Lewis Dobb(7) T:L J Morgan	J:Lewis Dobb(7) T:L J Morgan	164	—	80-731	100	109	99	25d	—	—	-18	27.5	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Looks open to plenty of improvement after coming clear at Catterick; raised 8lb
2	Royal Mer Grey J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	165	t	451215	101	106	90	26d	—	—	+6	33.7	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Record of 2-5 over fences and seems best at this trip with 2m6f proving a stretch latest
1	Out On The Tear Bay J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Sam Allwood	J:Toby Wynne(3) T:Sam Allwood	168	—	24-342	104	108	83	23d	—	—	0	19.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
2nd at Sedgefield latest; dropped into a Class 5 this time and must have a chance
5	Leading The Way Chestnut J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Georgie Howell	J:Tabitha Worsley(3) T:Georgie Howell	142	p	5-0967	78	-	36	17d	—	—	+4	8.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Ex-Irish maiden; tailed off in three runs for this yard, latterly on his switch to fences
NR	Rafferty Bay J:Harry Reed T:L J Morgan	J:Harry Reed T:L J Morgan	157	—	-86469	93	100	50	21d	—	—	—	10.8	—	—
Reduced mark is for a reason and Noche Negra looks the yard's main hope

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Noche Negra	11/10	evn	evn
Royal Mer	2/1	2/1	2/1
Out On The Tear	10/3	7/2	10/3
Leading The Way	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Royal Mer

33.7

OR: 12.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 8.4

2/1

2nd

Noche Negra

27.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 15

11/10

3rd

Out On The Tear

19.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Rafferty

10.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Leading The Way

8.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Out On The Tear	104	108	83
Royal Mer	101	106	90
Noche Negra	100	109	99
Rafferty	93	100	50
Leading The Way	78	—	36

Last Run