Michael Lumsden Memorial Handicap Hurdle – Ludlow

Ludlow

14:55

Michael Lumsden Memorial Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-02-21

Distance 1m7f169y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,281

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
11	Royal Deeside Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Alan King	J:Tom Bellamy T:Alan King	144	—	623	98	117	99	30d	—	—	+6	23.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Flat maiden; beaten in 3 hurdle races won by useful horses; interesting handicap debutant
4	Evenwood Sonofagun Bay J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal O'Brien	J:Liam Harrison T:Fergal O'Brien	164	—	B7-543	106	114	89	92d	—	—	+5	17.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Frustrating maiden and all his best form is on good or faster ground
8	Latin Verse Bay J:Harry Reed T:Syd Hosie	J:Harry Reed T:Syd Hosie	156	p	23152	110	112	96	40d	—	—	+18	30.2	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Capable juvenile hurdler and he is now tackling his first handicap as a jumper
10	Little Pi Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Matt Sheppard	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Matt Sheppard	152	—	-84110	94	110	79	24d	—	—	+15	26.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Poor last time but definite chance off this mark with a repeat of his Wincanton form
5	Gower Prince Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	160	h	00-564	102	111	92	26d	—	—	+7	15.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Handicaps could see him in a better light; market optimism behind him would boost interest
3	Thankyourluckystar Bay J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Alastair Ralph	J:Jay Tidball(5) T:Alastair Ralph	164	—	3613-P	106	112	106	104d	—	—	+8	16.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Just two runs since winning off 4lb lower here last March and latest was over fences
2	Despereaux Bay J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	J:David Noonan T:Jane Williams	167	—	10-357	109	111	76	71d	—	—	+8	17.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ran moderately last time but not disgraced in two handicaps previously
1	John Betjeman Bay J:Theo Gillard T:Mark Gillard	J:Theo Gillard T:Mark Gillard	169	b	252438	111	112	100	40d	—	—	+12	21.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Could have some say back over 2m but he finds winning difficult
9	Mr Hope Street Brown J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	153	—	45-750	95	106	42	93d	—	—	+7	12.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Handicap debutant from a leading yard and it was always going to be tough in latest novice
6	Heross Du Seuil Bay J:Daryl Jacob T:Ryan Potter	J:Daryl Jacob T:Ryan Potter	160	—	2554P5	102	114	99	29d	—	—	+10	14	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Although a winner in September, his recent efforts have been thoroughly underwhelming
7	Black Occ Brown J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	J:Sean Houlihan T:Sheila Lewis	156	—	2424	98	106	56	107d	—	—	+14	18.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Lightly raced but makes handicap debut after quite a break and others are safer
NR	Thatza Dazzler Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David Brace	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Brace	142	h	-9PP6U	84	101	-	20d	—	—	—	8.5	—	—

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Royal Deeside	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2
Evenwood Sonofagun	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Latin Verse	13/2	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1
Little Pi	13/2	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
Gower Prince	8/1	17/2	8/1	9/1	8/1
Thankyourluckystar	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
Despereaux	10/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
John Betjeman	10/1	17/2	8/1	9/1	8/1
Mr Hope Street	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Heross Du Seuil	20/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Black Occ	18/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Latin Verse

30.2

OR: 15 Form: 11.9 Odds: 3.3

13/2

2nd

Little Pi

26.1

OR: 11 Form: 12 Odds: 3.1

13/2

3rd

Royal Deeside

23.5

OR: 12 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5

4/1

John Betjeman

21.5

OR: 15.3 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Black Occ

18.1

OR: 12 Form: 5 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Evenwood Sonofagun

17.6

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Despereaux

17.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Thankyourluckystar

16.5

OR: 14 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Gower Prince

15.4

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Heross Du Seuil

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Mr Hope Street

12.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Thatza Dazzler

8.5

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
John Betjeman	111	112	100
Latin Verse	110	112	96
Despereaux	109	111	76
Evenwood Sonofagun	106	114	89
Thankyourluckystar	106	112	106
Gower Prince	102	111	92
Heross Du Seuil	102	114	99
Royal Deeside	98	117	99
Black Occ	98	106	56
Mr Hope Street	95	106	42
Little Pi	94	110	79
Thatza Dazzler	84	101	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Thatza Dazzler	20d ago	Fit
Little Pi	24d ago	Fit
Gower Prince	26d ago	Fit
Heross Du Seuil	29d ago	Fit
Royal Deeside	30d ago	Fit
Latin Verse	40d ago	Fit
John Betjeman	40d ago	Fit
Despereaux	71d ago	Fresh
Evenwood Sonofagun	92d ago	Long break
Mr Hope Street	93d ago	Long break
Thankyourluckystar	104d ago	Long break
Black Occ	107d ago	Long break