Ludlow

16:40

Farm & Garden Machinery Novices' Handicap Chase

Date 2024-02-21
Distance 1m7f212y
Class Class 5
Going Soft
Type Chase
Surface Turf
Age Band 5yo+
Prize £4,753

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)
# Silk Horse Jockey / Trainer Wt Gear Form OR RPR TS Last Crs Dst Val Scr EW Odds
7
Gorcombe Moonshine
Bay
J:Harry Kimber(3)
T:Robert Walford
J:Harry Kimber(3)
T:Robert Walford
147 p 633-13
79
101
88
30d -5
12.3
0.88/1
7/2
22%
Has taken well to fences, winning at Fontwell then third at Plumpton; enters calculations
2
Famoso
Bay
J:Tom Bellamy
T:Matt Sheppard
J:Tom Bellamy
T:Matt Sheppard
166 512313
98
106
96
14d +14
32.2
0.83/1
10/3
23%
Form figures since November read 12313; ran well in higher grade over C&D most recently
3
Guillaume
Bay
J:Theo Gillard
T:Donald McCain
J:Theo Gillard
T:Donald McCain
163 t 43-441
95
110
97
55d +2
14.9
1.25/1
5/1
17%
Opened his rules account at Catterick eight weeks ago; may build on that success
1
Mister Marbles
Brown
J:Gavin Sheehan
T:Evan Williams
J:Gavin Sheehan
T:Evan Williams
168 p 3/3-UP
100
104
-
37d +8
19.2
1.50/1
6/1
14%
Currently hard to assess but first-time cheekpieces may have positive effect
4
Icarat
Bay
J:Charlie Deutsch
T:Venetia Williams
J:Charlie Deutsch
T:Venetia Williams
155 P4-68U
87
-
-
20d +2
11.9
1.75/1
7/1
13%
Well held when unseating rider two out at Ffos Las (11-2 for chase debut) last month
10
Key Factor
Bay
J:James Davies
T:Henry Oliver
J:James Davies
T:Henry Oliver
142 47-46P
74
96
80
48d 0
8.4
2.00/1
8/1
11%
Has not improved over fences but is seemingly thought capable of better
5
Lustleigh
Bay
J:Sam Twiston-Davies
T:Polly Gundry
J:Sam Twiston-Davies
T:Polly Gundry
154 3/4/0P
86
-
-
40d +7
11.9
3.50/1
14/1
7%
Lightly raced; has achieved nothing in two runs (hurdle/chase) for new stable
9
Beannaigh Do
Bay
J:Brendan Powell
T:Sheila Lewis
J:Brendan Powell
T:Sheila Lewis
142 P605P5
74
105
74
14d +4
6.8
6.25/1
25/1
4%
Inconsistent maiden; achieved nothing of value here the last twice
8
Thatza Dazzler
Bay
J:Connor Brace
T:David Brace
J:Connor Brace
T:David Brace
145 h -9PP6U
77
-
-
20d +4
7.6
5.50/1
22/1
4%
11
Dancing Dani
Chestnut
J:Shane Quinlan(3)
T:Nikki Evans
J:Shane Quinlan(3)
T:Nikki Evans
142 tp 704966
74
98
-
77d +5
6.5
10.00/1
40/1
2%
Maiden under rules; holds weak claims on this season's hurdles form
NR
Tropical Talent
Bay
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
J:NON-RUNNER
T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero
149 44-P3
83
-
-
60d
8.3
Solid third, behind subsequent scorers, at Newcastle on the switch to fences; interesting
Horse bet365 William Hill Ladbrokes Unibet Boyle Sports
Gorcombe Moonshine
7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2 7/2
Famoso
10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3 10/3
Guillaume
5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1 5/1
Mister Marbles
6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1 6/1
Icarat
7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1 7/1
Key Factor
8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1 8/1
Lustleigh
14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1 14/1
Beannaigh Do
25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1 25/1
Thatza Dazzler
22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1 22/1
Dancing Dani
40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1 40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st Famoso
32.2
OR: 12 Form: 15 Odds: 5.2
10/3
2nd Mister Marbles
19.2
OR: 12.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 3.1
6/1
3rd Guillaume
14.9
OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6
5/1
4 Gorcombe Moonshine
12.3
OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5
7/2
5 Icarat
11.9
OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7
7/1
6 Lustleigh
11.9
OR: 9 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.4
14/1
7 Key Factor
8.4
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4
8/1
8 Tropical Talent
8.3
OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0
9 Thatza Dazzler
7.6
OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9
22/1
10 Beannaigh Do
6.8
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8
25/1
11 Dancing Dani
6.5
OR: 6 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5
40/1

Ratings

HorseORRPRTS
Mister Marbles
100
104
Famoso
98
106
96
Guillaume
95
110
97
Icarat
87
Lustleigh
86
Tropical Talent
83
Gorcombe Moonshine
79
101
88
Thatza Dazzler
77
Key Factor
74
96
80
Beannaigh Do
74
105
74
Dancing Dani
74
98

Last Run

HorseLast RunStatus
Famoso 14d ago Fit
Beannaigh Do 14d ago Fit
Icarat 20d ago Fit
Thatza Dazzler 20d ago Fit
Gorcombe Moonshine 30d ago Fit
Mister Marbles 37d ago Fit
Lustleigh 40d ago Fit
Key Factor 48d ago Fresh
Guillaume 55d ago Fresh
Tropical Talent 60d ago Fresh
Dancing Dani 77d ago Fresh