Best Odds Guaranteed At Bet Victor Maiden Hurdle – Punchestown

Punchestown

13:45

Best Odds Guaranteed At Bet Victor Maiden Hurdle

Date 2024-02-21

Distance 2m148y

Class

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (19)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Lightkeeper Bay J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	158	—	762-22	-	126	107	16d	—	—	-24	11.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
No match for Tullyhill and Mercurey in maiden hurdles at Naas and here; the one to beat
R17	Maroto Chestnut J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	J:Paul Townend T:W P Mullins	158	—	6	-	100	-	28d	—	—	-19	8.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
First reserve; should come on hugely for debut; very much a contender if getting a run
7	Faulty Chestnut J:Sam Ewing T:Noel Meade	J:Sam Ewing T:Noel Meade	158	—	2323S-	-	126	104	364d	—	—	-7	12.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Entitled to need the run after a year off but could be a contender if fit enough
14	Pax Bay J:Mark Walsh T:C A Murphy	J:Mark Walsh T:C A Murphy	158	—	86	-	109	96	55d	—	—	-6	2.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has shown some ability in two starts; needs this for a mark but could sneak into a place
11	Milo Lises Brown J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	158	—	2-U40	-	127	95	22d	—	—	-2	5.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Three runs over hurdles so far have been failures; middle run at Tramore was not terrible
10	Military Alliance Bay J:Sean Cleary-Farrell(7) T:Barry J Fitzgerald	J:Sean Cleary-Farrell(7) T:Barry J Fitzgerald	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-6	2.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Seems to have had his issues but is a very interesting hurdles newcomer here; market watch
3	Hypersonic Missile Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	166	—	-52150	-	102	36	10d	—	—	+4	7.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Soundly beaten on both maiden hurdles for this stable although not beaten far at Navan
5	Red Glory Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Henry De Bromhead	166	—	8-6	-	82	43	25d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Should come on a good bit for his Fairyhouse run but others still more likely
6	Desert Cave Bay J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Declan Queally	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Declan Queally	158	—	122-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+12	14.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Best watched on his track debut after almost a year off
8	Glenriver Bay J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:P J O'Hanlon(3) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	158	—	004	-	64	18	28d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Most recent effort at Fairyhouse was promising enough; needs this for a mark
4	Oakley Bay J:Danny Mullins T:Anthony Mullins	J:Danny Mullins T:Anthony Mullins	166	—	—	-	47	-	28d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Dundalk AW win in October; will need more experience based on hurdling debut at Fairyhouse
12	Monslatt Brown J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:E J O'Grady	J:Mark McDonagh(3) T:E J O'Grady	158	—	P4	-	-	-	55d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Has shown little of any merit in a maiden hurdle and a bumper so far; makes little appeal
1	Ayrton Bay J:Phillip Enright T:T J O'Mara	J:Phillip Enright T:T J O'Mara	166	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
No trace of ability on the Flat for his current trainer; makes no appeal on hurdling debut
2	Game Nation Bay J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	J:Conor McNamara T:E McNamara	166	t	00	-	48	-	38d	—	—	-1	0.3	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Well beaten in both maiden hurdles and qualifies for a mark after this
13	Our Chezney Bay J:Liam McKenna(5) T:Ms Helen P Markham	J:Liam McKenna(5) T:Ms Helen P Markham	158	h	0-9PP8	-	99	72	16d	—	—	-1	0.3	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Best run was in a first-time hood (retained) last time but much more needed here
16	Storm Ryder Bay J:Conor Smithers(7) T:Ms Helen P Markham	J:Conor Smithers(7) T:Ms Helen P Markham	158	h	80	-	70	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.2	125.00/1	500/1 0%
Tailed off in a maiden hurdle here last month; safe to put a line through
NR	Pharney Soldier Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:David Richard Barry	J:NON-RUNNER T:David Richard Barry	158	t	P	-	-	-	122d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Non-runner
NR	Mywayorthehighway Bay J:TBC T:P J Rothwell	J: T:P J Rothwell	158	t	P	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Second reserve; pulled up on his sole point outing at Lingstown in November
NR	Minella Buddy Bay J:TBC T:John J Nallen	J: T:John J Nallen	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
Stoutly bred newcomer; likely to improve for time and distance

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Lightkeeper	5/4	7/4	6/4	13/8	11/8
Maroto	5/2	15/8	2/1	85/40	9/4
Faulty	3/1	3/1	10/3	7/2	10/3
Pax	14/1	10/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Milo Lises	14/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Military Alliance	12/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	8/1
Hypersonic Missile	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Red Glory	25/1	25/1	33/1	28/1	25/1
Desert Cave	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Glenriver	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Oakley	125/1	80/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Monslatt	150/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1
Ayrton	150/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Game Nation	250/1	200/1	200/1	250/1	200/1
Our Chezney	250/1	200/1	200/1	250/1	250/1
Storm Ryder	500/1	250/1	200/1	300/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Desert Cave

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 13.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

2nd

Faulty

12.2

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Lightkeeper

11.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 11.4

7/4

Maroto

8.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

Hypersonic Missile

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Milo Lises

5.4

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Military Alliance

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Pax

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Red Glory

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Glenriver

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Oakley

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Monslatt

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Ayrton

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Game Nation

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250/1

Our Chezney

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

250/1

Storm Ryder

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500/1

Pharney Soldier

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Mywayorthehighway

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Minella Buddy

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lightkeeper	—	126	107
Maroto	—	100	—
Faulty	—	126	104
Pax	—	109	96
Milo Lises	—	127	95
Military Alliance	—	—	—
Hypersonic Missile	—	102	36
Red Glory	—	82	43
Desert Cave	—	—	—
Glenriver	—	64	18
Oakley	—	47	—
Monslatt	—	—	—
Ayrton	—	—	—
Game Nation	—	48	—
Our Chezney	—	99	72
Storm Ryder	—	70	—
Pharney Soldier	—	—	—
Mywayorthehighway	—	—	—
Minella Buddy	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Hypersonic Missile	10d ago	Quick return
Lightkeeper	16d ago	Fit
Our Chezney	16d ago	Fit
Milo Lises	22d ago	Fit
Storm Ryder	23d ago	Fit
Red Glory	25d ago	Fit
Maroto	28d ago	Fit
Glenriver	28d ago	Fit
Oakley	28d ago	Fit
Game Nation	38d ago	Fit
Pax	55d ago	Fresh
Monslatt	55d ago	Fresh
Pharney Soldier	122d ago	Long break
Faulty	364d ago	Long break
Military Alliance	—	—
Desert Cave	—	—
Ayrton	—	—
Mywayorthehighway	—	—
Minella Buddy	—	—