Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Mares' Novices' Hurdle (Listed Race) (GBB Race)

Doncaster

15:10

Date 2024-03-02

Distance 3m84y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £17,085

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Lunar Discovery Bay J:Charlotte Jones T:James Moffatt	J:Charlotte Jones T:James Moffatt	154	—	0-1122	125	134	123	26d	—	—	-2	28.1	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Better off with Dontyawantme on Carlisle form; leading player provided she stays new trip
6	Gaye Legacy Bay J:Ben Poste T:Tom Symonds	J:Ben Poste T:Tom Symonds	154	—	-31221	117	131	114	39d	—	—	+21	43	0.69/1	11/4 27%
Form figures of 1221 since upped to 2m7f/3m; worth her place in this; highly respected
1	Ottizzini Chestnut J:Sean Quinlan T:S R B Crawford	J:Sean Quinlan T:S R B Crawford	157	—	-173P1	124	132	127	28d	—	—	+20	35.4	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Suited by step up to 3m at Musselburgh last time; major player, even with 3lb penalty
4	Dontyawantme Chestnut J:Jamie Hamilton T:Craig Lidster	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Craig Lidster	154	—	37-421	114	125	102	26d	—	—	+9	18.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Gamely beat Lunar Discovery at Carlisle; could well improve further over this longer trip
5	For Gina Bay J:Bryony Frost T:Lucy Wadham	J:Bryony Frost T:Lucy Wadham	154	p	212141	102	118	112	15d	—	—	+26	33.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Progressive in Class 5 handicaps; faces a much tougher assignment in this grade
2	Baby Shally Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Anthony Honeyball	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Anthony Honeyball	154	t	1-7154	113	124	100	30d	—	—	+18	24.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Has not built on Wincanton win but may improve for this first crack at 3m under rules
9	Mellificent Bay J:Robert Dunne T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Robert Dunne T:Jonjo O'Neill	154	t	2/16-1	-	113	73	128d	—	—	+8	14.1	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Absent since Carlisle win in October; still unexposed and looks suited by being fresh
10	Pinot Rouge Chestnut J:Edward Austin T:Susan Corbett	J:Edward Austin T:Susan Corbett	154	—	1-3	-	111	99	32d	—	—	+7	11.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Well down this pack on bare form but is open to improvement back at 3m
11	Spice Diva Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:S R B Crawford	J:Gavin Sheehan T:S R B Crawford	154	—	35U242	101	109	79	18d	—	—	+18	20.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Irish mare who remains a maiden under rules; plenty to find on ratings
3	Chatshow Host Bay J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	J:Theo Gillard T:Donald McCain	154	—	15-752	102	110	111	57d	—	—	+11	13.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Showed only ordinary form when second at Musselburgh most recently
NR	Lightening Mahler Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	154	t	1-14	-	125	105	40d	—	—	—	7	—	—
Has had wind surgery since flopping last time; 2-2 previously and retains potential

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Lunar Discovery	9/4	9/4	2/1	9/4	15/8
Gaye Legacy	11/4	11/4	5/2	5/2	11/4
Ottizzini	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2	9/2
Dontyawantme	8/1	7/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
For Gina	12/1	12/1	12/1	10/1	11/1
Baby Shally	16/1	14/1	16/1	12/1	14/1
Mellificent	16/1	14/1	18/1	14/1	14/1
Pinot Rouge	20/1	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1
Spice Diva	40/1	33/1	40/1	28/1	28/1
Chatshow Host	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Gaye Legacy

OR: 16.8 Form: 19.6 Odds: 6.7

11/4

2nd

Ottizzini

35.4

OR: 18.5 Form: 12.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

For Gina

33.7

OR: 13 Form: 18.5 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Lunar Discovery

28.1

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

9/4

Baby Shally

24.7

OR: 15.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Spice Diva

20.5

OR: 12.8 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Dontyawantme

18.7

OR: 16 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Mellificent

14.1

OR: 0 Form: 12.5 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Chatshow Host

13.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Pinot Rouge

11.2

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Lightening Mahler

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Lunar Discovery	125	134	123
Ottizzini	124	132	127
Gaye Legacy	117	131	114
Dontyawantme	114	125	102
Baby Shally	113	124	100
For Gina	102	118	112
Chatshow Host	102	110	111
Spice Diva	101	109	79
Mellificent	—	113	73
Pinot Rouge	—	111	99
Lightening Mahler	—	125	105

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
For Gina	15d ago	Fit
Spice Diva	18d ago	Fit
Lunar Discovery	26d ago	Fit
Dontyawantme	26d ago	Fit
Ottizzini	28d ago	Fit
Baby Shally	30d ago	Fit
Pinot Rouge	32d ago	Fit
Gaye Legacy	39d ago	Fit
Lightening Mahler	40d ago	Fit
Chatshow Host	57d ago	Fresh
Mellificent	128d ago	Long break