Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

20:00

Unibet More Extra Place Races Handicap

Date 2024-03-06

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (7)	Rogue Dream Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	J:Dylan Hogan T:Jack Jones	127	—	87-82	50	72	64	4d	—	—	-31	15.4	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Good 2nd on Saturday's handicap debut (7f); more to come and she's a key player
9 (9)	Amerigo Vespucci Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Rossa Ryan T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	124	t	8930-6	47	68	27	50d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Of interest on his peak Irish effort (7f, AW); been gelded; hood left off; one to consider
1 (5)	Mister Mojito Bay J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:T J Kent	J:Aidan Keeley(3) T:T J Kent	135	—	390-	58	62	11	154d	—	—	-4	6.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Promise on debut; less good since but up in trip for his handicap debut; can do better
7 (4)	Damia Chestnut J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Victor Dartnall	J:Rhiain Ingram(3) T:Victor Dartnall	127	—	46444-	50	64	55	84d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Not beaten far into 4th over C&D in December; didn't totally convince with stamina there
4 (1)	Lord Danielson Bay J:Luke Morris T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:Luke Morris T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	132	h	06-727	55	66	45	4d	—	—	-5	3.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Over 7l behind Rogue Dream on Saturday and opposable for win purposes once more
2 (2)	Interestnpenalties Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	133	—	409-87	56	61	50	29d	—	—	-5	4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Struggled in sprints for new yard but this trip should be more suitable
5 (10)	Mr Influence Bay J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Joe Leavy(7) T:Richard Hannon	130	—	97-665	53	66	53	27d	—	—	-2	1.8	5.50/1	22/1 4%
No improvement for handicapping at Lingfield last month (1m); others have stronger claims
3 (6)	Ruth Langmore Bay J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	J:Laura Pearson T:David Loughnane	133	b	3-07	56	63	41	46d	—	—	+1	4.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Promising debut but well held twice since; blinkers added for handicap debut; unexposed
10 (3)	Majolica Bay J:Barry Lewis(7) T:Simon Hodgson	J:Barry Lewis(7) T:Simon Hodgson	123	—	6985-8	46	54	32	21d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Looks limited and dropping back to 7f isn't enough to tempt
6 (8)	War Zone Chestnut J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	J:Joey Haynes T:Chelsea Banham	129	—	986-06	52	66	30	27d	—	—	-1	0.9	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Not beaten a rival in two handicap runs; down in weights but carries risk

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Rogue Dream	10/11	4/5	4/5	4/5	4/5
Amerigo Vespucci	13/2	6/1	6/1	13/2	13/2
Mister Mojito	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2
Damia	8/1	9/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Lord Danielson	15/2	17/2	8/1	9/1	8/1
Interestnpenalties	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	15/2
Mr Influence	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1	20/1
Ruth Langmore	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Majolica	66/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	66/1
War Zone	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rogue Dream

15.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 15.4

10/11

2nd

Mister Mojito

6.6

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Ruth Langmore

4.4

OR: 1.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Interestnpenalties

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

12/1

Lord Danielson

3.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Amerigo Vespucci

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Damia

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Mr Influence

1.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

War Zone

0.9

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Majolica

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mister Mojito	58	62	11
Interestnpenalties	56	61	50
Ruth Langmore	56	63	41
Lord Danielson	55	66	45
Mr Influence	53	66	53
War Zone	52	66	30
Rogue Dream	50	72	64
Damia	50	64	55
Amerigo Vespucci	47	68	27
Majolica	46	54	32

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rogue Dream	4d ago	Quick return
Lord Danielson	4d ago	Quick return
Majolica	21d ago	Fit
Mr Influence	27d ago	Fit
War Zone	27d ago	Fit
Interestnpenalties	29d ago	Fit
Ruth Langmore	46d ago	Fresh
Amerigo Vespucci	50d ago	Fresh
Damia	84d ago	Fresh
Mister Mojito	154d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.