Bruce Farms Handicap Hurdle (Qualifier For The Challenger Stayers Hurdle Series Final)

Kelso

15:20

Date 2024-03-10

Distance 3m1f170y

Class Class 3

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,601

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5	Cadell Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	162	—	-21272	123	128	124	36d	—	—	+13	37	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Won here in October; very good Musselburgh 2nd latest so enters calculations now h'capping
9	Velasco Bay J:Nathan Moscrop T:Susan Corbett	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Susan Corbett	147	tp	134711	108	134	117	7d	—	—	+18	37.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
On a hat-trick after wins at Sedgefield and Doncaster recently; very much one to consider
10	Shoeshine Boy b/br J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	J:Craig Nichol T:Donald Whillans	143	t	2-2241	104	130	102	26d	—	—	+9	20.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Tongue tied when winner of Ayr h'cap 26 days ago; not taken lightly
3	Imperial Merlin Bay J:Brian Hughes T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Brian Hughes T:John & Sean Quinn	164	—	F1-53F	125	130	89	23d	—	—	+11	21.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Running well in second when fell 2 out here latest; back hurdling on good mark; player
2	Dare To Shout Grey J:Danny McMenamin T:Ann Hamilton	J:Danny McMenamin T:Ann Hamilton	164	t	7-1856	125	126	104	35d	—	—	+13	20.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Course scorer; good sixth of 14 in 3m Musselburgh handicap 35 days ago; considered
6	Ned Tanner Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:N W Alexander	J:Sean Quinlan T:N W Alexander	158	—	-52U3F	119	129	-	23d	—	—	+14	20.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Running a good race at this track when fell two out in 2m5f handicap chase; not ruled out
8	Guernesey Grey J:Jamie Hamilton T:Jackie Stephen	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Jackie Stephen	148	—	7-2544	109	131	105	37d	—	—	+11	16.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Only fourth at Catterick last month and it's now 11 starts since his last victory
7	Tiger Jet Chestnut J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Brian Ellison	J:Stephen Mulqueen T:Brian Ellison	155	—	-68P35	116	132	109	86d	—	—	+15	18.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Back to form when a solid Cheltenham fifth in December; possibilities after a break
1	Barbados Buck's Bay J:Ryan Mania T:Daragh Bourke	J:Ryan Mania T:Daragh Bourke	168	p	2-4139	129	130	96	36d	—	—	+21	24	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Only ninth at Sandown last month; no surprise to see him bounce back here though
4	Scipion Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	162	tp	2-545P	123	128	-	84d	—	—	+21	22.1	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Yet to hit top form in three outings for his current stable; others are preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Cadell	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Velasco	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Shoeshine Boy	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Imperial Merlin	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Dare To Shout	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Ned Tanner	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Guernesey	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Tiger Jet	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Barbados Buck's	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Scipion	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Velasco

37.8

OR: 14.5 Form: 17.6 Odds: 5.7

3/1

2nd

Cadell

OR: 18.3 Form: 11.5 Odds: 7.3

9/4

3rd

Barbados Buck's

OR: 19.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Scipion

22.1

OR: 18.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Imperial Merlin

21.6

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

13/2

Dare To Shout

20.9

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Ned Tanner

20.3

OR: 17.3 Form: 1.4 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Shoeshine Boy

20.1

OR: 13.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Tiger Jet

18.9

OR: 16.5 Form: 1.4 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Guernesey

16.1

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Barbados Buck's	129	130	96
Imperial Merlin	125	130	89
Dare To Shout	125	126	104
Cadell	123	128	124
Scipion	123	128	—
Ned Tanner	119	129	—
Tiger Jet	116	132	109
Guernesey	109	131	105
Velasco	108	134	117
Shoeshine Boy	104	130	102

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Velasco	7d ago	Quick return
Imperial Merlin	23d ago	Fit
Ned Tanner	23d ago	Fit
Shoeshine Boy	26d ago	Fit
Dare To Shout	35d ago	Fit
Cadell	36d ago	Fit
Barbados Buck's	36d ago	Fit
Guernesey	37d ago	Fit
Scipion	84d ago	Fresh
Tiger Jet	86d ago	Fresh