Country Shows Agility Novices' Hurdle (Novices' Championship Hurdle Series Qualifier) (GBB Race)

Warwick

14:25

Date 2024-03-10

Distance 2m

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,085

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Tactical Affair Chestnut J:Sean Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:Sean Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	166	—	5-3134	127	126	80	59d	—	—	-8	32.6	0.34/1	11/8 42%
2m hurdle winner (soft); took a backward step latest; changed hands since; big player.
6	King Of Tara Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo O'Neill	159	—	223	-	-	-	55d	—	—	-11	17.9	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Showed ability in three bumpers; pedigree suggests he should take to hurdling.
5	Illico De Montave Grey J:Ben Poste T:Rosemary Gasson	J:Ben Poste T:Rosemary Gasson	159	—	7-054	-	101	90	21d	—	—	-6	2.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Under 6l fourth at Southwell (2m, heavy) last month; can probably improve on that.
10	The Northernlights Brown J:James Bowen T:Georgina Nicholls	J:James Bowen T:Georgina Nicholls	159	—	259	-	-	-	60d	—	—	-4	4.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Promise in one of his bumper runs and hurdling could be more his forte; watching brief.
13	Cher Tara Bay J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	J:Tristan Durrell(3) T:Dan Skelton	152	—	7	-	90	72	82d	—	—	-6	2.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
33-1 for debut when she was never better than midfield; should come on for that.
9	Platenium Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	J:Kielan Woods T:Ben Pauling	159	—	7908	-	105	28	29d	—	—	-4	1.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Beaten 14l at Newbury (2m, heavy) latest; much more needed to be competitive in this.
4	Horsesomeharry Bay J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Henry Brooke T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	159	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
3rd foal; dam placed at 2m-2m5f as hurdler; yard among the winners recently; market check.
3	Absolutely Fine Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	159	—	76	-	67	57	8d	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
100-1 when making a low-key debut over hurdles (2m3f, soft) last week; much more needed.
8	Pillar Rock Bay J:Fergus Gillard T:Dan Skelton	J:Fergus Gillard T:Dan Skelton	159	—	07	-	85	30	37d	—	—	-1	0.5	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Never seriously involved on his hurdling debut at Southwell (2m, good to soft) last month.
11	Westbrook Lad Bay J:Alex Edwards T:Mel Rowley	J:Alex Edwards T:Mel Rowley	159	h	75P	-	94	76	47d	—	—	-1	0.4	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Well held in a bumper and novice hurdle (heavy); pulled up in similar conditions latest.
12	Bella Cavalla Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Neil Mulholland	152	—	80	-	52	-	18d	—	—	-1	0.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Big prices and well beaten in a Fontwell bumper and Ludlow maiden hurdle.
14	Tooting Bay J:Thomasina Eyston(7) T:Neil Mulholland	J:Thomasina Eyston(7) T:Neil Mulholland	152	—	80	-	76	-	122d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Has finished last in 2m novice hurdles at Plumpton and Newbury.
7	Lucky Lugger Bay J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	J:Stan Sheppard T:Matt Sheppard	159	t	/PP-PP	-	-	-	18d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Poor form in bumpers and failed to complete on his hurdling debut.
NR	Doyen Quest Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Dan Skelton	J:NON-RUNNER T:Dan Skelton	166	—	/10631	112	107	92	19d	—	—	—	29.6	—	—
Improving hurdler; penalised for Taunton win but open to further progress; likely player.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Tactical Affair	11/8	11/10	evn	5/4	11/10
King Of Tara	15/8	15/8	2/1	2/1	15/8
Illico De Montave	9/1	17/2	9/1	10/1	9/1
The Northernlights	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Cher Tara	10/1	9/1	17/2	10/1	9/1
Platenium	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Horsesomeharry	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1
Absolutely Fine	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Pillar Rock	80/1	66/1	80/1	66/1	66/1
Westbrook Lad	100/1	100/1	125/1	80/1	100/1
Bella Cavalla	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Tooting	100/1	150/1	125/1	150/1	150/1
Lucky Lugger	100/1	150/1	125/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tactical Affair

32.6

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

11/8

2nd

Doyen Quest

29.6

OR: 15.5 Form: 14.1 Odds: 0

—

3rd

King Of Tara

17.9

OR: 0 Form: 9 Odds: 8.9

2/1

The Northernlights

4.9

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Cher Tara

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Illico De Montave

2.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Platenium

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Horsesomeharry

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Absolutely Fine

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Pillar Rock

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Westbrook Lad

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Bella Cavalla

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Tooting

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Lucky Lugger

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Tactical Affair	127	126	80
Doyen Quest	112	107	92
King Of Tara	—	—	—
Illico De Montave	—	101	90
The Northernlights	—	—	—
Cher Tara	—	90	72
Platenium	—	105	28
Horsesomeharry	—	—	—
Absolutely Fine	—	67	57
Pillar Rock	—	85	30
Westbrook Lad	—	94	76
Bella Cavalla	—	52	—
Tooting	—	76	—
Lucky Lugger	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Absolutely Fine	8d ago	Quick return
Bella Cavalla	18d ago	Fit
Lucky Lugger	18d ago	Fit
Doyen Quest	19d ago	Fit
Illico De Montave	21d ago	Fit
Platenium	29d ago	Fit
Pillar Rock	37d ago	Fit
Westbrook Lad	47d ago	Fresh
King Of Tara	55d ago	Fresh
Tactical Affair	59d ago	Fresh
The Northernlights	60d ago	Fresh
Cher Tara	82d ago	Fresh
Tooting	122d ago	Long break
Horsesomeharry	—	—