BetMGM: It's Showtime Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div II) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:15

BetMGM: It's Showtime Amateur Jockeys' Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-03-12

Distance 1m13y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,563

Winning Time 1m 41.60s (slow by 3.90s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Sirius White (IRE) Miss Ellie Mayo · L J Morgan	100/1	Won
2nd	Belleplaine (IRE) Mr Lewis Kent · Joseph Parr	12/1	.5
3rd	The Follower (IRE) Miss Alice Keighley · David & Nicola Barron	9/2	.75
4th	Eight Mile (IRE) Miss Lillie May · George Scott	14/1	.75
5th	Al Suil Eile (FR) Miss Stephanie Dorey · Shaun Harris	11/2	.75
6th	Breguet Boy (IRE) Miss Brodie Hampson · Archie Watson	8/1	1.75
7th	Fieldsman (USA) Miss Sarah Bowen · Tony Carroll	7/2	5
8th	Dancing Master (IRE) Miss Clodagh Horrigan · Neil Mulholland	100/1	0.3
9th	Glencalvie (IRE) Miss Amy Tucker · Phil McEntee	20/1	1
10th	Dance Angel (IRE) Miss Megan Wingrove · Damien Wingrove	66/1	5
11th	Candy Warhol (USA) Mr Frederick Tett · Scott Dixon	9/4F	8
12th	Damoiseau (IRE) Miss Katie Martin · Ian Williams	40/1	9.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
5 (5)	Candy Warhol Bay J:Mr Frederick Tett T:Scott Dixon	J:Mr Frederick Tett T:Scott Dixon	152	t	700-42	60	59	49	35d	—	—	-10	7.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
0-13, but only beaten a nose over 7f last time; stays this far and one for the shortlist
8 (1)	Fieldsman Bay J:Miss Sarah Bowen T:Tony Carroll	J:Miss Sarah Bowen T:Tony Carroll	149	—	-22132	57	57	45	6d	—	—	+6	20.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Has been running consistently well lately; stays this far and likely to run his race again
6 (7)	The Follower Grey J:Miss Alice Keighley T:David & Nicola Barron	J:Miss Alice Keighley T:David & Nicola Barron	151	—	0/8-74	59	52	39	7d	—	—	-9	6.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Suggested he may have more to offer when fourth on handicap debut over C&D a week ago
2 (8)	Al Suil Eile Grey J:Miss Stephanie Dorey(7) T:Shaun Harris	J:Miss Stephanie Dorey(7) T:Shaun Harris	156	—	1-5811	64	56	32	26d	—	—	+3	13.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Three C&D wins since December; shortlisted despite jockey having her first ride
7 (4)	Breguet Boy Brown J:Miss Brodie Hampson T:Archie Watson	J:Miss Brodie Hampson T:Archie Watson	150	b	3351-2	58	53	8	15d	—	—	-1	10.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Second on recent return; may need further than this now, but still considered
3 (9)	Belleplaine Bay J:Mr Lewis Kent(5) T:Joseph Parr	J:Mr Lewis Kent(5) T:Joseph Parr	155	—	6-654	63	52	25	39d	—	—	-1	5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Some ability on her final start at Dundalk; worth a market check on stable/handicap debut
1 (11)	Eight Mile Bay J:Miss Lillie May(7) T:George Scott	J:Miss Lillie May(7) T:George Scott	156	—	1644-5	64	57	42	10d	—	—	0	4.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Not sure this trip on a galloping track is ideal; jockey having her first ride
4 (2)	Glencalvie Bay J:Miss Amy Tucker(7) T:Phil McEntee	J:Miss Amy Tucker(7) T:Phil McEntee	153	—	271755	61	55	38	15d	—	—	+3	7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Out of the frame in three starts since winning at Chelmsford; needs to bounce back
10 (10)	Damoiseau Bay J:Miss Katie Martin(7) T:Ian Williams	J:Miss Katie Martin(7) T:Ian Williams	144	t	-90777	52	50	30	4d	—	—	-2	1.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Hasn't beaten many in five outings since joining this yard; tongue-tie on
12 (12)	Dancing Master Grey J:Miss Clodagh Horrigan(7) T:Neil Mulholland	J:Miss Clodagh Horrigan(7) T:Neil Mulholland	137	t	5223-5	45	52	-	15d	—	—	-1	0.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
1-30 under rules; 8l behind Breguet Boy at Wolverhampton last time
9 (3)	Dance Angel Bay J:Miss Megan Wingrove(5) T:Damien Wingrove	J:Miss Megan Wingrove(5) T:Damien Wingrove	145	—	556-89	53	53	31	31d	—	—	0	1.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-8 in handicaps including three for this yard; others make greater appeal
11 (6)	Sirius White Grey J:Miss Ellie Mayo(7) T:L J Morgan	J:Miss Ellie Mayo(7) T:L J Morgan	142	v	710-60	50	54	33	31d	—	—	-1	0.2	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Dual Chelmsford winner for Henry Spiller, but tailed off on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Candy Warhol	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3	10/3
Fieldsman	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
The Follower	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Al Suil Eile	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Breguet Boy	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Belleplaine	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Eight Mile	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Glencalvie	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Damoiseau	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Dancing Master	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Dance Angel	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Sirius White	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fieldsman

20.4

OR: 1.8 Form: 14.6 Odds: 4

9/2

2nd

Al Suil Eile

13.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 7 Odds: 3.1

6/1

3rd

Breguet Boy

10.3

OR: 2 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

11/2

Candy Warhol

7.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

10/3

Glencalvie

OR: 2.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

16/1

The Follower

6.7

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Belleplaine

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

11/1

Eight Mile

4.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Damoiseau

1.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Dance Angel

1.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Dancing Master

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Sirius White

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Al Suil Eile	64	56	32
Eight Mile	64	57	42
Belleplaine	63	52	25
Glencalvie	61	55	38
Candy Warhol	60	59	49
The Follower	59	52	39
Breguet Boy	58	53	8
Fieldsman	57	57	45
Dance Angel	53	53	31
Damoiseau	52	50	30
Sirius White	50	54	33
Dancing Master	45	52	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Damoiseau	4d ago	Quick return
Fieldsman	6d ago	Quick return
The Follower	7d ago	Quick return
Eight Mile	10d ago	Quick return
Breguet Boy	15d ago	Fit
Glencalvie	15d ago	Fit
Dancing Master	15d ago	Fit
Al Suil Eile	26d ago	Fit
Dance Angel	31d ago	Fit
Sirius White	31d ago	Fit
Candy Warhol	35d ago	Fit
Belleplaine	39d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Southwell (AW) over 1m13y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.