Betting.Bet Gold Cup Racing Tips Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

19:30

Betting.Bet Gold Cup Racing Tips Handicap

Date 2024-03-14

Distance 5f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £6,621

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (2)	Mick's Spirit Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	123	v	54-511	72	98	87	32d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-10	12.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
C&D winner bidding for a hat-trick; not short of pace but doesn't have to lead; respected
2 (3)	Bang On The Bell Bay J:Clifford Lee T:J R Jenkins	J:Clifford Lee T:J R Jenkins	133	b	221-91	82	91	78	20d	—	—	-2	12	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won well at Wolverhampton last time, but 10lb higher and an uncontested lead unlikely
4 (4)	Lihou Chestnut J:Richard Kingscote T:David Evans	J:Richard Kingscote T:David Evans	129	—	88-956	78	94	82	20d	—	—	-1	10.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Become well handicapped, but out of the frame in three starts since returning in January
9 (6)	Conquistador Bay J:Harry Davies T:Stuart Williams	J:Harry Davies T:Stuart Williams	119	t	6-7938	68	98	75	12d	—	—	-3	7.6	1.50/1	6/1 14%
15lb below last winning mark; losing run now 12 and not threatening to turn things around
7 (8)	Night On Earth Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Ian Williams	J:Saffie Osborne T:Ian Williams	124	t	-42124	73	97	88	28d	—	—	+9	18.4	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Established trailblazer; taken on up front when held here last time; same may happen again
6 (5)	Parisiac Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	126	b	3921-4	75	99	74	19d	—	—	0	8.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Usually seen over further; ran well on return last month but others preferred over 5f
3 (1)	Fantasy Master Chestnut J:Adam Farragher T:Darryll Holland	J:Adam Farragher T:Darryll Holland	130	p	05243-	79	96	-	148d	—	—	+9	14.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Consistent, but well held in three goes on the AW and not sure a fast 5f is ideal
1 (9)	Stars On Fire Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	135	b	1/319-	84	98	-	220d	—	—	+11	17.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ex-Wesley Ward; makes stable/handicap debut after 220 days off; market can guide
5 (7)	Chasseral Bay J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	J:Luke Catton(5) T:Stuart Williams	128	ht	38554-	77	96	-	224d	—	—	+5	8.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Makes her stable debut after 224 days off; likely she needs further now; tongue-tie on

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Mick's Spirit	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Bang On The Bell	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Lihou	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Conquistador	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Night On Earth	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Parisiac	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Fantasy Master	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Stars On Fire	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Chasseral	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Night On Earth

18.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

7/1

2nd

Stars On Fire

17.2

OR: 8.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.7

14/1

3rd

Fantasy Master

14.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Mick's Spirit

12.2

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

5/2

Bang On The Bell

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 4

9/2

Lihou

10.1

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Parisiac

8.8

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Chasseral

8.2

OR: 6.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Conquistador

7.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Stars On Fire	84	98	—
Bang On The Bell	82	91	78
Fantasy Master	79	96	—
Lihou	78	94	82
Chasseral	77	96	—
Parisiac	75	99	74
Night On Earth	73	97	88
Mick's Spirit	72	98	87
Conquistador	68	98	75

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Conquistador	12d ago	Quick return
Parisiac	19d ago	Fit
Bang On The Bell	20d ago	Fit
Lihou	20d ago	Fit
Night On Earth	28d ago	Fit
Mick's Spirit	32d ago	Fit
Fantasy Master	148d ago	Long break
Stars On Fire	220d ago	Long break
Chasseral	224d ago	Long break