Leugh Handicap Hurdle – Thurles

Thurles

16:50

Leugh Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-03-16

Distance 2m6f193y

Class

Going Heavy

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,490

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Temptationinmilan Bay J:Philip Byrnes(5) T:C Byrnes	J:Philip Byrnes(5) T:C Byrnes	159	v	-0P675	100	105	51	13d	—	—	-2	18.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Winning a 3m handicap chase at Navan last year, fair chance off 15lb lower than chase mark
10	Lough Nigara Bay J:Ricky Doyle T:Matthew A Daly	J:Ricky Doyle T:Matthew A Daly	152	—	58-803	93	114	51	61d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	-1	15.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Made pleasing handicap debut when clear third in 2m7f Punchestown event, worth considering
3	Givehimthehonour Bay J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Paul Nolan	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(5) T:Paul Nolan	164	p	-86633	105	109	51	49d	—	—	+8	23.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Point-to-point winner, 0-5 hurdling, best run yet when upped to 3m at Fairyhouse last time
4	No Fussing Bay J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:Timothy Doyle	J:Mr D Doyle(7) T:Timothy Doyle	164	—	53622P	105	112	58	12d	—	—	+9	22.9	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Second at Punchestown 5l in front of today's rival Lough Nigara, flopped on latest
1	Winding River Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	167	t	0231-5	108	114	69	306d	—	—	+7	17.6	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Both wins have come at Downpatrick, may need this after a lengthy break
13	Cloudy Fountain Bay J:Mr Alan O'Sullivan(7) T:W J Burke	J:Mr Alan O'Sullivan(7) T:W J Burke	141	—	456695	82	113	85	24d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+2	10.5	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Beaten around 7l in fifth behind the progressive Aodhan May at Punchestown; could feature
12	Well Polly Bay J:Rachael Blackmore T:Miss J M Lee	J:Rachael Blackmore T:Miss J M Lee	142	p	906468	83	112	65	70d	—	—	+3	10.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
2-29 over hurdles; never better than fourth in seven outings in 2023; hard to fancy
2	Chance The Robin Bay J:Simon Torrens T:John C McConnell	J:Simon Torrens T:John C McConnell	166	—	2-1464	107	108	66	12d	—	—	+13	19.7	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Two wins at Hexham, not a bad effort when fourth on handicap debut at Leopardstown
6	Cregane Ned Chestnut J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Paul O'Flynn	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Paul O'Flynn	160	t	/55-77	101	105	-	97d	—	—	+10	14	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Has been chasing in recent seasons, little impact on return to hurdling at Cork last time
9	Makaela's Choice Bay J:Jack Foley T:Thomas Mullins	J:Jack Foley T:Thomas Mullins	154	h	70-53P	95	111	69	21d	—	—	+8	12.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Fair third on penultimate run, tackles a staying trip for the first time, plenty to prove
5	Smackwater Jack Bay J:Eoin G Kelly(7) T:Mrs Denise Foster	J:Eoin G Kelly(7) T:Mrs Denise Foster	161	p	5R6-P8	102	99	10	14d	—	—	+11	13.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Winner for Olly Murphy in 2021; pulled up on yard debut after a year off, in rear at Navan
NR	Solly Attwell Bay J:TBC T:Cian Collins	J: T:Cian Collins	156	—	275002	97	107	55	21d	—	0W/0P 1 run	—	16.8	—	—
Has found her level now judged on encouraging handicap debut at Fairyhouse, solid chance
NR	Lucy Prunella Bay J:TBC T:M F Morris	J: T:M F Morris	145	—	0/0P3	86	105	33	24d	—	—	—	9	—	—
Some improvement when a remote third behind two market leaders in a maiden at Punchestown

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Temptationinmilan	4/1	10/3	10/3	10/3	11/4
Lough Nigara	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Givehimthehonour	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
No Fussing	9/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Winding River	15/2	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1
Cloudy Fountain	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Well Polly	14/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Chance The Robin	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Cregane Ned	18/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Makaela's Choice	20/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Smackwater Jack	50/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Givehimthehonour

23.3

OR: 13.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 4.4

5/1

2nd

No Fussing

22.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 5.1 Odds: 4

5/1

3rd

Chance The Robin

19.7

OR: 14.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Temptationinmilan

18.7

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

4/1

Winding River

17.6

OR: 14.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Solly Attwell

16.8

OR: 11.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Lough Nigara

15.8

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Cregane Ned

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Smackwater Jack

13.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Makaela's Choice

12.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

25/1

Cloudy Fountain

10.5

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Well Polly

10.2

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Lucy Prunella

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Winding River	108	114	69
Chance The Robin	107	108	66
Givehimthehonour	105	109	51
No Fussing	105	112	58
Smackwater Jack	102	99	10
Cregane Ned	101	105	—
Temptationinmilan	100	105	51
Solly Attwell	97	107	55
Makaela's Choice	95	111	69
Lough Nigara	93	114	51
Lucy Prunella	86	105	33
Well Polly	83	112	65
Cloudy Fountain	82	113	85

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
No Fussing	12d ago	Quick return
Chance The Robin	12d ago	Quick return
Temptationinmilan	13d ago	Quick return
Smackwater Jack	14d ago	Fit
Makaela's Choice	21d ago	Fit
Solly Attwell	21d ago	Fit
Cloudy Fountain	24d ago	Fit
Lucy Prunella	24d ago	Fit
Givehimthehonour	49d ago	Fresh
Lough Nigara	61d ago	Fresh
Well Polly	70d ago	Fresh
Cregane Ned	97d ago	Long break
Winding River	306d ago	Long break