Powered By Bluegrass Handicap Hurdle (Div I) – Down Royal

Down Royal

14:17

Date 2024-03-17

Distance 2m4f

Class

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (17)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Silent Flight Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Philip M Byrne	J:Phillip Enright T:Philip M Byrne	167	—	004-91	94	87	17	48d	—	—	-8	19.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Up 9lb for Punchestown but this is not a strong contest and high on the shortlist
2	The Niffler Grey J:Jack Kennedy T:Eamonn O'Connell	J:Jack Kennedy T:Eamonn O'Connell	167	ht	080-P7	94	93	11	31d	—	—	-1	16	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Fancied to do better on his most recent handicap start at Clonmel; Jack Kennedy on again
3	Maimie's Magic Chestnut J:Mr S Connor(7) T:S R B Crawford	J:Mr S Connor(7) T:S R B Crawford	166	t	2-5843	93	102	84	15d	—	—	+3	18.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Solid Navan handicap form in the context of this race and unlikely to be too far away
12	Fairly Bold Bay J:James O'Sullivan(3) T:P J Rothwell	J:James O'Sullivan(3) T:P J Rothwell	156	—	07/70-	83	93	61	399d	—	—	+2	10.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Not dismissed but needs to find more and entitled to need it after a lengthy absence
11	Rebel Cowgirl Bay J:J J Slevin T:M A Cahill	J:J J Slevin T:M A Cahill	158	—	090F0	85	88	42	8d	—	—	+2	11.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Little to recommend from her maiden form; best watched here on her handicap debut
6	Joeswayornoway Bay J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:E Sheehy	J:Shane Fenelon(7) T:E Sheehy	162	—	-05307	89	97	44	24d	—	—	+6	13.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Each-way claims on her best form although not really proven yet over this sort of trip
16	Flashthelights Bay J:Simon Torrens T:Noel C Kelly	J:Simon Torrens T:Noel C Kelly	153	t	P-7900	80	96	91	82d	—	—	+3	9.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
No show on his stable debut here at Christmas; worth a market check but others preferred
15	Ferrum Bay J:Sam Ewing T:G A Kingston	J:Sam Ewing T:G A Kingston	153	p	-64849	80	93	49	25d	—	—	+3	9.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Probably didn't get home over 3m1f at Punchestown last month; respected on his best form
7	College Causeway Bay J:Ben Harvey T:John C McConnell	J:Ben Harvey T:John C McConnell	161	—	740-0P	88	90	-	171d	—	—	+6	10.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Well beaten in handicaps at up to 3m; off since September and hard to fancy
17	Subset Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Peter Maher	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Peter Maher	153	—	0631-3	80	81	-	281d	—	—	+7	11.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Off since June but if fit enough and if he handles the ground he has to be respected
10	Perfect Pupil Bay J:TBC T:Stephen McConville	J: T:Stephen McConville	158	—	00059U	85	83	45	12d	—	—	+6	9.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
A couple of okay runs in handicap hurdles at Clonmel and Punchestown in December; claims
14	Father Jed Bay J:Philip Donovan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	J:Philip Donovan(5) T:John Patrick Ryan	153	—	506520	80	95	37	142d	—	—	+9	11.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Has tended to need his first run and that is unlikely to have changed at this age
NR	Lady Iseult Chestnut J:TBC T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J: T:Dermot A McLoughlin	165	p	6PP040	92	101	71	142d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
Mostly mediocre form last year; off since October and best watched
NR	Party Pack Bay J:TBC T:J P Flavin	J: T:J P Flavin	164	—	805P	91	86	55	76d	—	—	—	10.3	—	—
No show in maiden hurdles and pulled up on his handicap debut at Tramore; makes no appeal
NR	Flicker Of Hope b/br J:TBC T:Mark Fahey	J: T:Mark Fahey	161	—	009	88	91	37	112d	—	—	—	9.5	—	—
Ordinary maiden form and might have been treated more kindly by the handicapper
NR	Portnacoo Bay J:TBC T:Jamie Albert Sloan	J: T:Jamie Albert Sloan	159	—	6-0PP7	86	99	21	22d	—	—	—	9	—	—
Pulled up behind Silent Flight at Punchestown although did better at Fairyhouse last time
NR	Essential Part Bay J:TBC T:Adrian Sexton	J: T:Adrian Sexton	153	—	776000	80	88	63	77d	—	—	—	7.5	—	—
Well beaten on her last three handicap starts and hard to give a chance to

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Silent Flight	15/8	9/4	5/2	85/40	9/4
The Niffler	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1
Maimie's Magic	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Fairly Bold	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Rebel Cowgirl	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	7/1
Joeswayornoway	12/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Flashthelights	14/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
Ferrum	12/1	12/1	10/1	12/1	11/1
College Causeway	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1	18/1
Subset	20/1	18/1	20/1	16/1	18/1
Perfect Pupil	25/1	25/1	22/1	25/1	25/1
Father Jed	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Silent Flight

19.4

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

2nd

Maimie's Magic

18.7

OR: 10.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 4.4

5/1

3rd

The Niffler

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Joeswayornoway

13.4

OR: 9.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Subset

11.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Father Jed

11.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Rebel Cowgirl

11.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

11/1

College Causeway

10.7

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Fairly Bold

10.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Lady Iseult

10.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Party Pack

10.3

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Perfect Pupil

9.6

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Flicker Of Hope

9.5

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Flashthelights

9.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Ferrum

9.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Portnacoo

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Essential Part

7.5

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Silent Flight	94	87	17
The Niffler	94	93	11
Maimie's Magic	93	102	84
Lady Iseult	92	101	71
Party Pack	91	86	55
Joeswayornoway	89	97	44
College Causeway	88	90	—
Flicker Of Hope	88	91	37
Portnacoo	86	99	21
Rebel Cowgirl	85	88	42
Perfect Pupil	85	83	45
Fairly Bold	83	93	61
Flashthelights	80	96	91
Ferrum	80	93	49
Subset	80	81	—
Father Jed	80	95	37
Essential Part	80	88	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rebel Cowgirl	8d ago	Quick return
Perfect Pupil	12d ago	Quick return
Maimie's Magic	15d ago	Fit
Portnacoo	22d ago	Fit
Joeswayornoway	24d ago	Fit
Ferrum	25d ago	Fit
The Niffler	31d ago	Fit
Silent Flight	48d ago	Fresh
Party Pack	76d ago	Fresh
Essential Part	77d ago	Fresh
Flashthelights	82d ago	Fresh
Flicker Of Hope	112d ago	Long break
Father Jed	142d ago	Long break
Lady Iseult	142d ago	Long break
College Causeway	171d ago	Long break
Subset	281d ago	Long break
Fairly Bold	399d ago	Long break