William Hill NRMB On The Grand National Apprentice Handicap (Rnd 1 Yorkshire Future Stars) (Div II)

Doncaster

5:20

Date 2024-03-23

Distance 1m2f43y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,468

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
8 (12)	Destinado b J:Sean D Bowen T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen T:James Owen	131	v	164142	61	77	37	7d	—	—	+2	17.2	4/1 20%
Four wins already for new yard this year; 0-11 on turf but had soft-ground form in France
1 (7)	Val Bassett b J:Joe Leavy(3) T:David O'Meara	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:David O'Meara	140	v	07648-	70	82	56	210d	—	—	-4	8.6	5/1 17%
Scraps of form for new yard in 2023; 13lb lower than fair 1m2f reappearance last April
4 (11)	Molly Valentine b J:Ethan Jones(3) T:Dean Ivory	J:Ethan Jones(3) T:Dean Ivory	138	—	340-60	68	79	62	33d	—	—	-2	7.2	7/1 13%
Two wins at 6f (AW) and 1m (soft); stamina questioned on three runs at 1m2f
11 (2)	Zambezi Magic b J:Archie Young(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	J:Archie Young(3) T:Bernard Llewellyn	124	h	805-49	54	77	-	45d	—	—	-6	3.7	7/1 13%
Quiet since back from 11 months off in October but well treated and conditions will suit
10 (1)	Fen Tiger b J:Sam Feilden(3) T:Julia Feilden	J:Sam Feilden(3) T:Julia Feilden	127	—	57822-	57	74	54	202d	—	—	+3	12.9	7/1 13%
All 3 wins at 1m4f; acts well in the mud and proven stamina an asset in the conditions
2 (8)	Big Bear Hug b J:Alice Bond(7) T:Adam West	J:Alice Bond(7) T:Adam West	139	—	16317-	69	76	45	124d	—	—	+9	17.5	17/2 11%
Both wins over 1m on soft/heavy; beaten significant distances on last 3 runs over 1m2f
7 (9)	Chagall b J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Jack Jones	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Jack Jones	133	—	-37442	63	76	48	21d	—	—	+3	11	9/1 10%
Modest turf strike-rate of 2-32 but has won on heavy and in good form at 1m4f on AW
9 (3)	Eleven Eleven b J:Luke Catton T:Jessica Macey	J:Luke Catton T:Jessica Macey	131	h	-17143	61	79	50	15d	—	—	+9	14.4	12/1 8%
Two AW wins this year at 1m and 7f; unconvincing in most attempts beyond about 1m
12 (6)	Corsican Caper gr J:Jack Enright(7) T:Kevin Frost	J:Jack Enright(7) T:Kevin Frost	121	p	-18868	51	76	81	25d	—	—	-3	4.2	10/1 9%
Won 1m2f classified on AW in January; not held his form since; 3lb wrong back on turf
3 (10)	Vecchio b J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Scott Dixon	J:Andrea Pinna(7) T:Scott Dixon	139	—	/47-87	69	78	69	18d	—	—	+2	5.8	18/1 5%
Promising 2yo; not disgraced for new yard on AW this year but question mark about new trip
5 (5)	Orange Martini ch J:Baz Lewis(7) T:Simon Hodgson	J:Baz Lewis(7) T:Simon Hodgson	137	h	3450-6	67	76	50	38d	—	—	+3	4.8	33/1 3%
Conditions likely to suit; well treated and could revive on 2nd run for new yard
6 (4)	Clipsham Gold ch J:Molly Gunn(5) T:Simon West	J:Molly Gunn(5) T:Simon West	134	h	425430	64	79	55	13d	—	—	+5	7.1	40/1 2%
Four wins at 7f-1m; well held on debut for new yard; stamina worries at 1m2f

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Destinado	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Val Bassett	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Molly Valentine	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Zambezi Magic	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Fen Tiger	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Big Bear Hug	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Chagall	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Eleven Eleven	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Corsican Caper	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1
Vecchio	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Orange Martini	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Clipsham Gold	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Big Bear Hug

17.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 10.5 Odds: 2.2

17/2

2nd

Destinado

17.2

OR: 2.8 Form: 10 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Eleven Eleven

14.4

OR: 2.8 Form: 10 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Fen Tiger

12.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Chagall

OR: 3.3 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Val Bassett

8.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

5/1

Molly Valentine

7.2

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Clipsham Gold

7.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Vecchio

5.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

18/1

Orange Martini

4.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Corsican Caper

4.2

OR: 0.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.9

10/1

Zambezi Magic

3.7

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

7/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Val Bassett Top Rated	70	82	56
Big Bear Hug	69	76	45
Vecchio	69	78	69
Molly Valentine	68	79	62
Orange Martini	67	76	50
Clipsham Gold	64	79	55
Chagall	63	76	48
Destinado	61	77	37
Eleven Eleven	61	79	50
Fen Tiger	57	74	54
Zambezi Magic	54	77	—
Corsican Caper	51	76	81

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Destinado	7d ago	Quick return
Clipsham Gold	13d ago	Quick return
Eleven Eleven	15d ago	Fit
Vecchio	18d ago	Fit
Chagall	21d ago	Fit
Corsican Caper	25d ago	Fit
Molly Valentine	33d ago	Fit
Orange Martini	38d ago	Fit
Zambezi Magic	45d ago	Fit
Big Bear Hug	124d ago	Long break
Fen Tiger	202d ago	Long break
Val Bassett	210d ago	Long break