At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

20:30

At The Races App Expert Tips Handicap

Date 2024-03-30

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (1)	Buraback Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Derek Shaw	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Derek Shaw	130	p	588721	55	73	65	7d	—	—	-4	22.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Ended losing sequence over C&D a week ago and has obvious claims again
5 (8)	Smasher Bay J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley(3) T:Michael Attwater	134	p	5-1151	59	72	53	26d	—	—	-10	7.3	1.00/1	4/1 20%
A revelation since fitted with cheekpieces, winning 3-4, all here; leading contender again
6 (11)	Savannah Smiles Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Grace Harris	J:Rossa Ryan T:Grace Harris	132	p	724114	57	73	55	14d	—	—	+3	19.8	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Two wins and a creditable fourth recently; usually delivered late; not discounted
10 (3)	May Remain Bay J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	J:Elle-May Croot(7) T:Ivan Furtado	130	—	421538	55	76	60	10d	—	—	0	10	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Southwell winner in February; type to bounce back quickly from poor run there last time
3 (10)	Mokaatil Brown J:Billy Loughnane T:Ian Williams	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ian Williams	136	b	835186	61	73	61	24d	—	—	+2	10.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Veteran who ended a long losing run over 5f here in February; hard to predict
4 (9)	Jungle Run Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Tom Clover	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Tom Clover	135	b	14809-	60	75	25	130d	—	—	0	6.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Out of form when last seen, but well handicapped and goes well here and when fresh
1 (12)	Araifjan Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	137	b	-07524	62	71	57	30d	—	—	+2	8.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Respectable fourth of nine at Chelmsford (5f) last time; returning to 6f should suit
7 (7)	Josies Kid Bay J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	J:Christian Howarth(3) T:Alice Haynes	131	p	U36684	56	75	69	11d	—	—	-2	3.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Only one placed effort from his last eight outings; best form (all three wins) at 5f
2 (4)	Piranheer Bay J:Cieren Fallon T:Jim & Suzi Best	J:Cieren Fallon T:Jim & Suzi Best	137	p	4/507-	62	74	-	387d	—	—	-1	4.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Lightly raced; mostly well held for the Easterbys but needs a market check on stable debut
12 (2)	Alainn Tu Bay J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:J S Moore	J:Georgia Dobie(3) T:J S Moore	122	—	370-95	47	67	58	19d	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
1-18 and recent runs have been some way below her best; others make more appeal
8 (6)	Elladora Bay J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(5) T:Micky Hammond	130	b	737-09	55	65	27	15d	—	—	-1	2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Four wins for former yard but has shown little since joining Micky Hammond
NR (5)	Louis Treize Chestnut J:TBC T:Deborah Faulkner	J: T:Deborah Faulkner	123	h	1367-6	48	72	39	11d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Quirky and can blow the start but he's not on a bad mark and might have needed last run

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Buraback	2/1	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Smasher	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Savannah Smiles	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2
May Remain	9/1	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2
Mokaatil	8/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	17/2
Jungle Run	16/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Araifjan	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Josies Kid	20/1	14/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Piranheer	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	20/1
Alainn Tu	28/1	28/1	33/1	22/1	28/1
Elladora	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Buraback

22.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 13.5 Odds: 8

5/2

2nd

Savannah Smiles

19.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 13 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Mokaatil

10.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 5.6 Odds: 2.4

9/1

May Remain

OR: 1.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Araifjan

8.1

OR: 3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Smasher

7.3

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

4/1

Jungle Run

6.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 2 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Piranheer

4.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Josies Kid

3.5

OR: 1.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Elladora

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Alainn Tu

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Louis Treize

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Araifjan	62	71	57
Piranheer	62	74	—
Mokaatil	61	73	61
Jungle Run	60	75	25
Smasher	59	72	53
Savannah Smiles	57	73	55
Josies Kid	56	75	69
Buraback	55	73	65
May Remain	55	76	60
Elladora	55	65	27
Louis Treize	48	72	39
Alainn Tu	47	67	58

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Buraback	7d ago	Quick return
May Remain	10d ago	Quick return
Josies Kid	11d ago	Quick return
Louis Treize	11d ago	Quick return
Savannah Smiles	14d ago	Fit
Elladora	15d ago	Fit
Alainn Tu	19d ago	Fit
Mokaatil	24d ago	Fit
Smasher	26d ago	Fit
Araifjan	30d ago	Fit
Jungle Run	130d ago	Long break
Piranheer	387d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.