Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap (Div II)

Southwell (AW)

17:00

Date 2024-03-31

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,025

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (6)	Brother Dave Chestnut J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	133	—	402231	50	67	53	15d	—	—	0	22.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Opened his account in C&D classified race this month; may build on that win; respected
4 (1)	Marcello Si Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	134	—	-14162	51	63	48	19d	—	—	+1	16.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Late-bloomer who ran creditably behind a subsequent scorer last time; likely player
2 (12)	Jems Bond Chestnut J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	J:Clifford Lee T:Alan Brown	136	p	863643	53	63	51	11d	—	—	-3	7.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Ran encouragingly here 11 days ago; possibilities off 8lb below last winning mark
5 (11)	Outreach Grey J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	J:George Bass(3) T:Mark Usher	133	—	1-4653	50	66	58	12d	—	—	+1	9.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Close third at Wolverhampton last time; fighting chance, provided he takes to Southwell
1 (3)	Hombre Grey J:Dylan Hogan T:Joseph Parr	J:Dylan Hogan T:Joseph Parr	137	tp	0-7888	54	62	50	25d	—	—	-5	3.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
May improve for this step back up in trip and addition of cheekpieces
7 (9)	Bluebells Boy Bay J:David Egan T:Darryll Holland	J:David Egan T:Darryll Holland	131	tb	867-03	48	65	53	10d	—	—	-6	2.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Record is only 1-17 but he's on a workable mark returned to handicap level
8 (8)	Billy McGarry Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	131	tb	-57108	48	64	48	9d	—	—	+1	6.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has failed to back up the form of Newcastle win and remains unreliable
10 (7)	Ok Pal Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Adrian Wintle	J:Hollie Doyle T:Adrian Wintle	129	b	-83966	46	66	58	29d	—	—	-2	2.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
0-5 for current yard but ran well under Hollie Doyle in January
3 (10)	Mine That Ship Bay J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Wigham	J:Adam Farragher T:Michael Wigham	135	p	973-28	52	66	59	10d	—	—	-4	2.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ran well on stable/seasonal debut; lesser effort over C&D since
9 (5)	Sumac Chestnut J:Billy Garritty T:Charlie Wallis	J:Billy Garritty T:Charlie Wallis	129	v	432757	46	65	47	22d	—	—	0	2.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Peak effort when second over C&D four starts ago; record is 0-20
11 (2)	Available Angel Bay J:Jason Hart T:John Mackie	J:Jason Hart T:John Mackie	129	p	340-66	46	63	56	21d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Needs to step up on her 2024 efforts; yet to win away from Yarmouth
12 (4)	Legal Mind Chestnut J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Emma Owen	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Emma Owen	129	v	00/065	46	56	29	24d	—	—	0	0.1	37.50/1	150/1 1%
11yo maiden who holds weak claims on 2024 form

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Brother Dave	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Marcello Si	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Jems Bond	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Outreach	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2	15/2
Hombre	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Bluebells Boy	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Billy McGarry	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Ok Pal	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Mine That Ship	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Sumac	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Available Angel	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Legal Mind	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Brother Dave

22.8

OR: 0 Form: 16.1 Odds: 6.7

5/2

2nd

Marcello Si

16.7

OR: 0.3 Form: 12 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Outreach

9.5

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

15/2

Jems Bond

7.7

OR: 0.8 Form: 3.9 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Billy McGarry

6.6

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Hombre

3.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Sumac

2.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Bluebells Boy

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

17/2

Ok Pal

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Mine That Ship

2.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

12/1

Available Angel

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Legal Mind

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Hombre	54	62	50
Jems Bond	53	63	51
Mine That Ship	52	66	59
Marcello Si	51	63	48
Brother Dave	50	67	53
Outreach	50	66	58
Bluebells Boy	48	65	53
Billy McGarry	48	64	48
Ok Pal	46	66	58
Sumac	46	65	47
Available Angel	46	63	56
Legal Mind	46	56	29

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Billy McGarry	9d ago	Quick return
Bluebells Boy	10d ago	Quick return
Mine That Ship	10d ago	Quick return
Jems Bond	11d ago	Quick return
Outreach	12d ago	Quick return
Brother Dave	15d ago	Fit
Marcello Si	19d ago	Fit
Available Angel	21d ago	Fit
Sumac	22d ago	Fit
Legal Mind	24d ago	Fit
Hombre	25d ago	Fit
Ok Pal	29d ago	Fit