Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Handicap (Div I)

Southwell (AW)

16:25

Date 2024-03-31

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £5,025

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (10)	Catherine Chroi Bay J:Archie Young(7) T:Iain Jardine	J:Archie Young(7) T:Iain Jardine	143	b	98-211	60	70	56	6d	—	—	-16	10.5	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Has form figures of 211 (all over 6f) since rejoining this yard; lesser strike-rate at 7f
3 (1)	Drakeholes Grey J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Alison Hamilton	136	—	-89521	53	64	50	9d	—	—	+1	20	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Comfortably justified favouritism in classified event at Newcastle nine days ago
7 (8)	Kodebreaker Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	131	—	577433	48	63	52	5d	—	—	-3	8.2	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Made the frame at this course in last three runs; defied an 8lb higher mark last March
9 (11)	Written Broadcast Grey J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Ollie Pears	J:Brandon Wilkie(5) T:Ollie Pears	131	b	-95452	48	65	53	15d	—	—	-1	7.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Close second in C&D classified event last time; 8lb below last winning mark; respected
5 (9)	Inexplicable gr/b J:Mark Winn(3) T:Antony Brittain	J:Mark Winn(3) T:Antony Brittain	133	tv	203214	50	64	55	5d	—	—	+5	12.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Most wins at about 1m; doesn't appear to be crying out for this return to 7f
12 (6)	Coconut Bay Bay J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	J:Jason Hart T:Tristan Davidson	129	—	553664	46	62	50	9d	—	—	-3	2.3	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ties in with Drakeholes on latest effort; however, strike-rate remains poor
8 (5)	Higher Law Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Kevin Frost	J:Hollie Doyle T:Kevin Frost	131	tp	245462	48	68	47	10d	—	—	+2	6.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
21-race maiden but went close under Hollie Doyle here ten days ago; not dismissed
6 (4)	Monsieur Fantaisie Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Peter Niven	J:Joanna Mason T:Peter Niven	133	p	251853	50	68	59	8d	—	—	+4	6.9	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Ran creditably on latest 6f start; worth another crack at 7f and could go well
2 (12)	Asmund Bay J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	J:Harrison Shaw T:Declan Carroll	137	b	22526-	54	65	39	163d	—	—	+5	7.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Capable of being involved but others are higher up the list; no win since 2022
10 (2)	Atrafan Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Alan Brown	J:Connor Beasley T:Alan Brown	129	b	259068	46	66	50	15d	—	—	-2	0.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Multiple AW winner but is far from solid on 2024 form
11 (7)	Wood Farm Wag Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Nikki Evans	J:Joshua Bryan T:Nikki Evans	129	—	09-948	46	61	50	12d	—	—	-1	0.4	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Still a maiden and holds weak claims on overall form
4 (3)	Twilight Jazz Bay J:David Probert T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	J:David Probert T:P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck	135	—	15026-	52	62	38	139d	—	—	+5	6.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Only 1-17 for Mick Appleby; makes debut for new stable (still with same owner)

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Ladbrokes	Unibet	Boyle Sports
Catherine Chroi	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1
Drakeholes	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Kodebreaker	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Written Broadcast	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Inexplicable	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Coconut Bay	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Higher Law	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Monsieur Fantaisie	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Asmund	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Atrafan	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Wood Farm Wag	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Twilight Jazz	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Drakeholes

OR: 0.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 5.7

3/1

2nd

Inexplicable

12.5

OR: 0 Form: 10.4 Odds: 2.1

9/1

3rd

Catherine Chroi

10.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 8

2/1

Kodebreaker

8.2

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 3.1

6/1

Asmund

7.8

OR: 1 Form: 6 Odds: 0.8

25/1

Written Broadcast

7.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

9/1

Monsieur Fantaisie

6.9

OR: 0 Form: 6 Odds: 0.9

22/1

Twilight Jazz

6.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0.3

66/1

Higher Law

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

16/1

Coconut Bay

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.4

14/1

Atrafan

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

33/1

Wood Farm Wag

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Catherine Chroi	60	70	56
Asmund	54	65	39
Drakeholes	53	64	50
Twilight Jazz	52	62	38
Inexplicable	50	64	55
Monsieur Fantaisie	50	68	59
Kodebreaker	48	63	52
Written Broadcast	48	65	53
Higher Law	48	68	47
Coconut Bay	46	62	50
Atrafan	46	66	50
Wood Farm Wag	46	61	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Kodebreaker	5d ago	Quick return
Inexplicable	5d ago	Quick return
Catherine Chroi	6d ago	Quick return
Monsieur Fantaisie	8d ago	Quick return
Drakeholes	9d ago	Quick return
Coconut Bay	9d ago	Quick return
Higher Law	10d ago	Quick return
Wood Farm Wag	12d ago	Quick return
Written Broadcast	15d ago	Fit
Atrafan	15d ago	Fit
Twilight Jazz	139d ago	Long break
Asmund	163d ago	Long break